Aldosivi vs Rosario Central Prediction

Aldosivi vs Rosario Central prediction: tight night by the sea

The Aldosivi vs Rosario Central Prediction for Saturday, 2.25-02-07 (20:00 GMT) feels like one of those Argentine evenings where the wind off Mar del Plata does half the defending for you. Round 4 of the Torneo Apertura brings Aldosivi and Central together at Estadio José María Minella, and the early-season storylines point toward patience, discipline, and not many clear chances.

Match context, form, and what to expect

Aldosivi arrive still searching for rhythm. They were beaten 3-1 by Gimnasia LP on February 2, and before that they put together back-to-back 0-0 draws with Barracas Central and Defensa y Justicia. That leaves them 12th in Zone B and craving a “clean” performance more than a pretty one. Guillermo Farré has spoken about losing focus in the “decisive minutes” last time out, so expect a sharper, safer approach.

Rosario Central, meanwhile, look steadier in 6th. Their most recent result was a gritty 0-0 against River Plate on February 1, and the new cycle under Jorge Almirón has started with strong defensive work, even if the finishing has not been loud yet. Almirón has talked about “setting the pace” away from home—usually code for controlling the ball and squeezing the game.

Tactics, absences, and small details that matter

Farré’s Aldosivi have leaned on a 4-3-3: Axel Werner in goal, a hardworking midfield led by Federico Gino, and direct threats like Junior Arias and Nicolás Cordero. They will miss Néstor Breitenbruch (ACL), while Federico Laurelli may not be fully ready.

Central’s 4-2-3-1 should look familiar, with wing use and pressing. Jeremías Ledesma is the clear No.1, and Ángel Di María remains the creative magnet behind the striker (Veliz or Copetti). But there are issues to manage: Quintana is out (ankle), Giménez and Segovia are injured, Campaz is a major doubt, and Komar is reportedly under health monitoring.

• Head to head: Central historically lead the series (11 wins to Aldosivi’s 5), even if Aldosivi won the last meeting in 2022 (1-0).
• Law of the ex: Aldosivi’s Tobías Cervera is on loan from Central—football loves these little dramas.
• Market reality: squad value gap is big (€7.90m vs €47.25m), which often shows over 90 minutes.

Betting odds and NerdyTips picks

The 1X2 betting odds price Central as the clear favorite: Home 4.1, Draw 2.95, Away 2.25. Our Aldosivi vs Rosario Central prediction in the 1X2 market leans to Rosario Central to win (2) at 2.25, but with a low trust score (2.4). That suggests value exists, yet it’s not a spot to go wild—think sensible stake, not hero mode.

Best angle: total goals

NerdyTips’ AI sees a slow burner: Under 2.5 total goals is the best wager (confidence 5.1/10) at odds 1.4, backed again by the under/over model (confidence 4.1). The predicted final score is 0-1, with 0-0 at half-time.

• Possession: 39% Aldosivi vs 61% Central points to Central control, not necessarily a goal fest.
• Shots: 11-11 and 4 on target each hints at “busy” but not “clinical.”
• Discipline: 3 yellows forecast for Aldosivi vs 1 for Central—home side likely defending more, and a step late.

If you want one clean bet, take the under. If you want a second, pair it with Central on the moneyline—just remember the sea air in Mar del Plata has ruined many perfect plans.