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Match Prediction

Alianza Petrolera vs Union Magdalena Prediction

Finished
Colombia flag Colombia
Primera A

Alianza P

€7.60m

8 Mar16:10
1 : 0

Union M

€6.25m

Preview

Alianza P vs Union M Prediction Primera A
Alianza Petrolera hosts Union Magdalena on March 8, 2025, in what promises to be a closely contested Primera A fixture at Estadio Armando Maestre Pavajeau. With odds favoring the home side at 1.85, a draw at 3.1, and an away win at 4.75, bookmakers expect Alianza to have the upper hand. However, recent trends suggest a cagey affair with limited goal-scoring opportunities. Best Betting Tip: Under 2.5 Goals (Odds: 1.48, Confidence: 4.9/10) The most compelling bet for this matchup is Under 2.5 goals, given the historical data and the teams’ playing styles. Only 34.6% of Primera A matches exceed this threshold, reinforcing the likelihood of a low-scoring contest. Additionally, Alianza Petrolera’s last H2H meeting with Union Magdalena ended 1-0 in favor of the visitors, aligning well with our final score prediction. 1X2 Prediction: Alianza Petrolera to Win (Odds: 1.85, Trust Level: 1.4/10) While Alianza Petrolera is the favorite, their low trust level of 1.4/10 suggests caution. Home teams in Primera A win 41.1% of the time, but Union Magdalena has shown resilience, securing an impressive away victory against Independiente Medellin earlier this year. Still, with Alianza expected to dominate possession (58% vs. 42%) and Union Magdalena struggling offensively, a narrow home win is the most probable outcome. Key Match Insights - Possession & Control: Alianza Petrolera is expected to dictate play with 58% possession, which could limit Union Magdalena’s attacking opportunities. - Shots & Accuracy: Despite similar total shots (12 vs. 13), Alianza should have a slight edge in shots on target (4 vs. 3). - Discipline & Set-Pieces: A relatively clean game is expected, with just 3 total yellow cards and a modest 6 corners predicted. Final Score Prediction: Alianza Petrolera 1-0 Union Magdalena Expect a cautious first half, likely ending 0-0, before the home side finds a breakthrough in the second period. Given the low-scoring nature of Primera A games, this match aligns well with the Under 2.5 goals bet. Conclusion For bettors, the safest approach is to back Under 2.5 goals at 1.48, considering the statistical trends. While Alianza Petrolera is favored to win, their 1.85 odds come with risk, given Union Magdalena’s potential to grind out a result. A disciplined, tactical battle awaits, with a single goal likely deciding the outcome.

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AI Predictions
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Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Alianza P vs Union M

U2.5 -217

No more than 2 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -217
4/10

1x2 Tip

1 -106

Alianza P is expected to win with odds of -106
1/10

Total Goals

Under 2.5 -217

No more than 2 goals will be scored in the match
4/10

Both Teams To Score

No -161

At least one team is not expected to score
1/10

Bet Builder Tip

1X&U3.5 -196

Home win/draw and under 3.5 goals
3/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

1:0

Stats Predictions

58%
Ball Possession
42%
12
Total Shots
13
4
Shots on Goal
3
4
Shots Off Goal
6
4
Corners
2
1
Yellow Cards
2

Average / Match

2.6
Total Goals
2
1.2
Goals Scored
0.8
1.4
Goals Against
1.2
46%
Possession
50%
8.8
Total Shots
14.1
3.2
Shots on Goal
4
3.5
Shots off Goal
7
8.8
Fouls
13.4
3
Corners
2.3
1.7
Offsides
2
2.6
Yellow Cards
2.43
0.4
Red Cards
0.14
281
Total Passes
362

Overview Last 10 Matches

3
Wins
2
7
Over 1.5 Goals
6
6
Over 2.5 Goals
3
4
Over 3.5 Goals
2
5
Both Teams Scored
5
0
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Alianza Petrolera
3 - 2 - 2
Union Magdalena
Alianza Petrolera Alianza P 08-Mar-25
1:0
Union M Union Magdalena
Union Magdalena Union M 27-Aug-23
2:0
Alianza P Alianza Petrolera
Alianza Petrolera Alianza P 13-Mar-23
2:1
Union M Union Magdalena
Alianza Petrolera Alianza P 13-Jul-22
0:1
Union M Union Magdalena
Union Magdalena Union M 27-Jan-22
0:0
Alianza P Alianza Petrolera
Alianza Petrolera Alianza P 22-Sep-19
1:0
Union M Union Magdalena

Colombia - Primera A Colombia - Primera A

Team Matches Goals Points
1 Independiente MedellinIndependiente 20
46-28
40
2 Deportes TolimaDeportes Tolim 20
29-17
38
3 Atletico NacionalAtletico Nacio 20
38-24
37
4 BucaramangaBucaramanga 20
31-20
37
5 JuniorJunior 20
35-25
35
6 Fortaleza FCFortaleza FC 20
25-19
35
7 Santa FeSanta Fe 20
21-17
31
8 America de CaliAmerica de Cal 20
23-19
29
9 Alianza PetroleraAlianza Petrol 20
24-22
29
10 Rionegro AguilasRionegro Aguil 20
29-27
27
11 Once CaldasOnce Caldas 20
21-24
27
12 MillonariosMillonarios 20
23-26
26
13 LlanerosLlaneros 20
17-25
25
14 Deportivo CaliDeportivo Cali 20
22-28
21
15 Union MagdalenaUnion Magdalen 20
22-32
21
16 EnvigadoEnvigado 20
18-22
20
17 Deportivo PastoDeportivo Past 20
26-28
19
18 Deportivo PereiraDeportivo Pere 20
19-36
18
19 ChicoChico 20
14-29
16
20 La EquidadLa Equidad 20
14-29
14
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