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Match Prediction

Almeria vs Granada CF Prediction

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Spain flag Spain
Segunda División

Almeria

€47.65m

3 Jan10:15
3 : 2

Granada CF

€20.55m

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Almeria vs Granada CF Prediction Segunda División

Almeria vs Granada CF Prediction: Stats, Odds, and Smart Betting Tips

Welcome to our Almeria vs Granada CF prediction for the big Segunda División match on January 3, 2026. If you’re looking for the best betting tips, head to head stats, and expert analysis, you’re in the right place. This local derby not only promises drama but also offers plenty of value for punters who know where to look.

Team Form, Tactics, and What’s at Stake

This fixture at the UD Almería Stadium is more than just another league game. Almeria, sitting fourth in the table with 32 points from 19 matches, are pushing hard for a playoff spot. Their home form is a real asset: 5 wins, 2 draws, and just 2 losses in front of their fans. However, recent results have been a mixed bag—just one win in their last five outings, including a 2-1 defeat to Málaga CF. Still, their attacking numbers are impressive, with 35 goals scored and a positive goal difference to show for it.

Granada CF, meanwhile, are fighting for survival. Nineteenth in the standings with 21 points, they’ve struggled to find consistency, both in attack and defense. Their away record is patchy—2 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses—but recent form shows signs of life: 2 wins and 2 draws in their last five. With the relegation zone looming, every point matters.

Key Players and Tactical News

  • Almeria will miss Federico Bonini, Lucas Robertone, and Nico Ribaudo due to injuries, while Soko is away on international duty. The attacking burden falls on Adri Embarba (10 goals, 1 assist) and Sergio Arribas (9 goals), who have been in fine form this season.
  • Granada CF have a clean bill of health and will look to Jorge Pascual (4 goals) for inspiration, with support from P. Alemañ, S. Faye, and J. Arnaiz.

Almeria’s coach Rubi is expected to stick to his attacking philosophy, especially at home. Granada’s tactical approach is less clear, but expect them to play cautiously, hoping to frustrate the hosts and strike on the counter.

Head to Head: Recent History and Rivalry

The Almeria vs Granada CF head to head record is tight and competitive. In their last five meetings, both sides have two wins each, with one draw. The most recent encounter saw Granada CF win 3-1, but historically, Almeria have the upper hand with 13 wins from 29 matches since 2003. Granada have managed just 5 wins, while 11 games have ended all square.

  • Last meeting: Almeria 2-1 Granada CF (2024-11-30)
  • Previous odds: Almeria 1.93, Granada CF 4.04
  • Both teams have shown they can punch above their weight, with Almeria drawing 2-2 at Mallorca as big underdogs and Granada holding Athletic Club 1-1 away despite long odds.

Almeria vs Granada CF Prediction: AI Insights, Odds, and Betting Tips

Our Almeria vs Granada CF prediction is built on a blend of stats, odds, and expert analysis. Here’s what the numbers say:

  1. 1x2 Market: Almeria are strong favourites at 1.9 to win, while a draw is priced at 3.6 and a Granada CF victory at 4.6. Our AI gives a confidence rating of 4.1/10 for the home win, reflecting both Almeria’s home strength and Granada’s struggles.
  2. Goals Market: The best value bet is under 3.5 goals at odds of 1.36 (confidence 4.2/10). Both teams have been involved in low-scoring games recently, and the predicted final score is 2-1 to Almeria. Expect a tight first half (1-1 at the break), with Almeria edging it after the interval.
  3. Stats to Watch: Almeria are projected to dominate possession (59%), take more shots (13 vs 8), and create more chances (5 shots on target vs 2). Corners and cards should be fairly even, with a slight edge to the home side.

With Almeria’s squad valued at €47.65m compared to Granada’s €20.55m, the gulf in resources is clear. But as past results have shown, Granada are no strangers to upsetting the odds.

Best Betting Tips for Almeria vs Granada CF

  • Under 3.5 goals is the standout tip, given the teams’ recent form and the AI’s trust rating of 4.2/10.
  • Home win (Almeria) at 1.9 offers solid value, especially considering their strong home record and Granada’s away struggles.
  • For those seeking a riskier punt, a 2-1 correct score bet could be worth a look, matching our AI’s predicted outcome.

In summary, our Almeria vs Granada CF prediction favours the hosts to take all three points in a closely fought contest, with goals at a premium. Whether you’re after head to head stats, betting tips, or just want to make a smart bet, this local derby should deliver both drama and value.

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AI Predictions
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Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Almeria vs Granada CF

U3.5 -278

No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -278
4/10

1x2 Tip

1 -111

Almeria is expected to win with odds of -111
4/10

Total Goals

Under 3.5 -278

No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match
4/10

Both Teams To Score

Yes -125

Both teams are expected to score
1/10

Bet Builder Tip

1X&U4.5 -222

Home win/draw and under 4.5 goals
6/10
Both Teams To Score

Half-Time Score

1:1

Correct Score

2:1

Stats Predictions

1.43
xG
0.84
59%
Ball Possession
41%
13
Total Shots
8
5
Shots on Goal
2
5
Shots Off Goal
3
4
Corners
2
2
Yellow Cards
3

Average / Match

1.32
Expected Goals
1.33
2.6
Total Goals
2.6
1.7
Goals Scored
1.6
0.9
Goals Against
1
53%
Possession
52%
12.6
Total Shots
12.2
5.1
Shots on Goal
4.4
4.8
Shots off Goal
5.2
14
Fouls
12.9
4.4
Corners
4.3
1.7
Offsides
2.8
2.3
Yellow Cards
2.89
393
Total Passes
374

Overview Last 10 Matches

5
Wins
4
9
Over 1.5 Goals
7
7
Over 2.5 Goals
4
1
Over 3.5 Goals
3
6
Both Teams Scored
7
0
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Almeria
7 - 4 - 4
Granada CF
Granada CF Granada CF 05-Apr-25
3:1
Almeria Almeria
Almeria Almeria 30-Nov-24
2:1
Granada CF Granada CF
Almeria Almeria 20-Jul-24
2:1
Granada CF Granada CF
Granada CF Granada CF 18-Feb-24
1:1
Almeria Almeria
Almeria Almeria 01-Oct-23
3:3
Granada CF Granada CF
Granada CF Granada CF 05-Aug-23
0:1
Almeria Almeria
Granada CF Granada CF 30-Jul-22
3:2
Almeria Almeria
Almeria Almeria 17-Mar-19
0:0
Granada CF Granada CF
Granada CF Granada CF 27-Oct-18
1:0
Almeria Almeria

Profile time Recent Matches of Almeria

17 Jan Almeria Almeria.
-
Deportivo. Deportivo
10 JanD Mirandes Mirandes.
2:2
Almeria. Almeria
03 JanW Almeria Almeria.
3:2
Granada CF. Granada CF
21 DecL Malaga Malaga.
2:1
Almeria. Almeria
14 DecL Almeria Almeria.
1:2
Burgos CF. Burgos CF
06 DecW Andorra Andorra.
1:2
Almeria. Almeria
03 DecL Eldense Eldense.
2:1
Almeria. Almeria
29 NovD Almeria Almeria.
0:0
Huesca. Huesca
22 NovW Leganes Leganes.
0:3
Almeria. Almeria
16 NovW Almeria Almeria.
3:0
Cadiz CF. Cadiz CF

Profile time Recent Matches of Granada CF

11 JanDGranada CF Granada CF.
0:0
Castellon.Castellon
06 JanLGranada CF Granada CF.
1:3
Vallecano.Vallecano
03 JanLAlmeria Almeria.
3:2
Granada CF.Granada CF
21 DecDGranada CF Granada CF.
1:1
Albacete.Albacete
13 DecLGijon Gijon.
1:0
Granada CF.Granada CF
07 DecDGranada CF Granada CF.
1:1
Ceuta.Ceuta
04 DecWTenerife Tenerife.
0:1
Granada CF.Granada CF
29 NovWCultural Cultural .
0:1
Granada CF.Granada CF
22 NovDGranada CF Granada CF.
1:1
Cordoba.Cordoba
15 NovDRacing S Racing S.
2:2
Granada CF.Granada CF

Spain - Segunda División Spain - Segunda División

Team Matches Goals Points
1 Racing Santander Racing Santand21
45-31
38
2 Las Palmas Las Palmas21
26-13
38
3 Almeria Almeria21
40-30
36
4 Castellón Castellón21
34-25
35
5 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La C21
35-24
34
6 Cadiz Cadiz21
25-23
34
7 Malaga Malaga21
31-26
32
8 Burgos Burgos21
25-20
32
9 Cordoba Cordoba21
27-24
32
10 AD Ceuta FC AD Ceuta FC21
25-26
32
11 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon21
26-29
30
12 Leganes Leganes21
23-21
26
13 Valladolid Valladolid21
21-23
25
14 FC Andorra FC Andorra21
23-29
25
15 Cultural Leonesa Cultural Leone21
22-30
25
16 Eibar Eibar21
23-26
24
17 Albacete Albacete21
26-34
24
18 Real Sociedad II Real Sociedad 21
28-30
23
19 Huesca Huesca21
20-30
23
20 Granada CF Granada CF21
23-27
22
21 Zaragoza Zaragoza21
20-34
20
22 Mirandes Mirandes21
22-35
17
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