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Match Prediction

Almeria vs La Coruna Prediction

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Almeria

€47.65m

17 Jan16:00
1 : 2

La Coruna

€45.00m

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Almeria vs La Coruna Prediction Segunda División

Almeria vs La Coruna Prediction: Form, Odds, and Tactical Insights

If you’re searching for the most insightful Almeria vs La Coruna prediction ahead of their Segunda División fixture on January 17, 2026, you’ve come to the right place. With both teams in the thick of the promotion race, this match at the Estadio de los Juegos Mediterráneos promises to be more than just another date on the calendar—it’s a pivotal moment in the season for both Almeria and Deportivo La Coruña.

Team Form, Tactics, and What’s at Stake

Almeria, currently sitting 3rd with 36 points, have been a force at home, winning four of their last six matches in front of their fans. Their recent form is impressive, boasting four wins in their last five outings—a remarkable turnaround after a sluggish start to the campaign. Deportivo La Coruña, meanwhile, are just two points behind in 5th place. While their recent record is mixed (three losses in their last six), they’ve shown resilience, including a crucial 1-0 win over Eibar.

The head to head record slightly favors Almeria, who have won twice in their last five meetings, with two draws and one win for La Coruña. Notably, Almeria is undefeated in their last seven encounters with La Coruña, a streak stretching back to 2018. Most goals in these matches tend to come after halftime, so don’t be surprised if the action ramps up as the clock ticks on.

Squad News and Tactical Adjustments

Almeria’s coach Rubi has had his hands full with injuries and international call-ups. Key players like Bonini, Chumi, Dion Lopy, and Nico Melamed are sidelined, while Patrick Soko is away at the Africa Cup of Nations. The squad’s depth is being tested, with several B-team youngsters stepping up. Despite these challenges, Almeria’s adaptability was on full display in their recent derby win over Granada, achieved with just 15 first-team players.

La Coruña, under Antonio Hidalgo, have their own injury headaches. Daniel Bachmann and Ximo Navarro are doubts, and Sergio Escudero is racing against time to return from a muscle injury. Several players are also walking a disciplinary tightrope, with Dani Barcia, Miguel Loureiro, and Zakaria Eddahchouri all one yellow card away from suspension.

  • Almeria squad value: €47.65m
  • La Coruña squad value: €45.00m
  • Recent head to head: Almeria 2-1 La Coruña (Nov 2024)

AI-Driven Almeria vs La Coruna Prediction and Betting Tips

Now for the part that every punter and football fan loves: the Almeria vs La Coruna prediction and betting tips, powered by NerdyTips’ statistical models. The odds currently stand at 2.02 for a home win, 3.5 for a draw, and 3.75 for an away win. Our AI leans towards a home win or draw (1X) with a trust level of 2.02 and odds of 1.29—reflecting Almeria’s strong home form and historical dominance in this fixture.

For those who prefer goals over results, the over 1.5 goals market looks attractive. Our data suggests a trust rating of 3.5 out of 10, with odds of 1.28, making it the most reliable bet for this match. The AI predicts a lively affair, forecasting a 2:2 final score and a 1:1 draw at halftime. Expect Almeria to control possession (59%), take 13 shots (5 on target), while La Coruña will look to make the most of their 8 shots (2 on target).

  1. Best bet: Over 1.5 goals (trust: 3.5/10, odds: 1.28)
  2. 1x2 prediction: 1X (trust: 2.02/10, odds: 1.29)
  3. Correct score prediction: 2:2 (first half: 1:1)

Final Thoughts and Betting Insights

With both teams eyeing promotion and recent meetings often producing drama, this Almeria vs La Coruna prediction suggests a match that could swing either way. Almeria’s home advantage and resilience in the face of adversity make them slight favorites, but La Coruña’s ability to grind out results means nothing is guaranteed. Expect a tactical battle, a few goals, and a contest that could have a big say in the promotion race.

For those looking for betting tips, over 1.5 goals is the safest play, but don’t rule out a high-scoring draw. Mark your calendars for January 17, 2026—this is one Segunda División fixture you won’t want to miss.

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AI Predictions
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Warning

Almeria didn't play better in the last H2H match!

Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Almeria vs La Coruna

O1.5 -357

At least 2 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -357
3/10

1x2 Tip

1X -333

Almeria to win or draw
2/10

Total Goals

Over 1.5 -357

At least 2 goals will be scored in the match
3/10

Both Teams To Score

Yes -147

Both teams are expected to score
1/10

Bet Builder Tip

1X&O1.5 -161

Home win/draw and over 1.5 goals
1/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

2:2

Stats Predictions

1.31
xG
1.04
59%
Ball Possession
41%
13
Total Shots
8
5
Shots on Goal
2
5
Shots Off Goal
2
3
Corners
3
2
Yellow Cards
2

Average / Match

1.31
Expected Goals
1.36
2.9
Total Goals
2.6
1.7
Goals Scored
1.4
1.2
Goals Against
1.2
54%
Possession
50%
13.2
Total Shots
11.2
5.5
Shots on Goal
4.5
5.1
Shots off Goal
3.5
13.5
Fouls
9.9
4.7
Corners
4.3
2
Offsides
2.1
2.56
Yellow Cards
2.33
392
Total Passes
412

Overview Last 10 Matches

4
Wins
5
9
Over 1.5 Goals
8
8
Over 2.5 Goals
5
2
Over 3.5 Goals
3
7
Both Teams Scored
5
0
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
1

Head to Head

Almeria
4 - 6 - 1
La Coruna
La Coruna Deportivo 04-Oct-25
1:1
Almeria Almeria
La Coruna Deportivo 09-Feb-25
3:1
Almeria Almeria
Almeria Almeria 17-Nov-24
2:1
Deportivo La Coruna
Almeria Almeria 07-Mar-20
4:0
Deportivo La Coruna
La Coruna Deportivo 06-Oct-19
0:0
Almeria Almeria
La Coruna Deportivo 22-Mar-19
0:0
Almeria Almeria
Almeria Almeria 19-Nov-18
1:1
Deportivo La Coruna
Almeria Almeria 28-Feb-15
0:0
Deportivo La Coruna
La Coruna Deportivo 28-Sep-14
0:1
Almeria Almeria
Almeria Almeria 20-Feb-11
1:1
Deportivo La Coruna

Profile time Recent Matches of Almeria

09 Mar Almeria Almeria - Cultural Cultural -
27 FebD Albacete Albacete 1 Almeria Almeria 1
21 FebW Almeria Almeria 2 Cordoba Cordoba 1
13 FebW Almeria Almeria 3 Andorra Andorra 2
08 FebW Cadiz CF Cadiz CF 1 Almeria Almeria 2
01 FebW Almeria Almeria 4 Ceuta Ceuta 2
25 JanL Eibar Eibar 1 Almeria Almeria 0
17 JanL Almeria Almeria 1 Deportivo Deportivo 2
10 JanD Mirandes Mirandes 2 Almeria Almeria 2
03 JanW Almeria Almeria 3 Granada CF Granada CF 2

Profile time Recent Matches of Deportivo

08 MarDeportivo Deportivo - Granada CF Granada CF -
01 MarWReal II Real II 2 Deportivo Deportivo 3
21 FebWDeportivo Deportivo 1 Eibar Eibar 0
15 FebLCastellon Castellon 2 Deportivo Deportivo 0
08 FebWDeportivo Deportivo 2 Albacete Albacete 1
31 JanWCultural Cultural 0 Deportivo Deportivo 1
25 JanLDeportivo Deportivo 0 Racing S Racing S 1
17 JanWAlmeria Almeria 1 Deportivo Deportivo 2
13 JanLDeportivo Deportivo 0 Atl. Madrid Atl. Madrid 1
10 JanDLas Palmas Las Palmas 1 Deportivo Deportivo 1

Spain - Segunda División Spain - Segunda División

Team Matches Goals Points
1 Racing Santander Racing28
56-36
53
2 Castellón Castellón28
46-29
49
3 Almeria Almeria28
53-40
49
4 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La28
44-31
49
5 Malaga Malaga28
41-31
47
6 Las Palmas Las Palmas28
34-22
45
7 AD Ceuta FC AD Ceuta FC28
36-39
44
8 Burgos Burgos28
30-26
43
9 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon28
38-36
42
10 Cordoba Cordoba28
38-37
41
11 Eibar Eibar28
31-30
38
12 FC Andorra FC Andorra28
35-40
35
13 Albacete Albacete28
33-39
35
14 Cadiz Cadiz28
29-35
35
15 Leganes Leganes28
29-28
34
16 Real Sociedad II Real Sociedad28
38-39
34
17 Granada CF Granada CF28
32-33
32
18 Valladolid Valladolid28
29-38
32
19 Huesca Huesca28
26-37
30
20 Cultural Leonesa Cultural28
27-44
27
21 Mirandes Mirandes28
28-45
24
22 Zaragoza Zaragoza28
23-41
24
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