Ameliano
€5.80m
Cerro Porteno
€28.52m
Preview
When Ameliano vs Cerro Porteno takes center stage on May 21, 2025, at Estadio Ameliano Villeta, it’ll be more than just a league fixture—it’s a classic underdog story. The betting odds tell part of the tale: Cerro Porteno, with a squad value of €28.52m, are heavy favorites at 1.72, while Ameliano (€5.80m) are priced at 4.75 for a home win. But as any football fan knows, money doesn’t always decide matches. This Ameliano vs Cerro Porteno prediction dives into the stats, trends, and smart betting angles for what promises to be a fascinating encounter.
Cerro Porteno, one of Paraguay’s traditional powerhouses, are expected to dominate, but Ameliano have made a habit of punching above their weight. Their gritty 1-1 draw against Libertad Asuncion last August—a match where they were priced at 6.2—proves they can frustrate the elite. Meanwhile, Cerro’s narrow 1-0 win in their last head to head meeting (September 2024) suggests this won’t be a walk in the park.
Paraguay’s Division Profesional is a league where defenses often shine. Here’s how the numbers break down:
Goals aren’t guaranteed either:
The odds for this Ameliano vs Cerro Porteno clash have shifted slightly since their last meeting. In September 2024, Cerro were priced at 1.621 for a win—now at 1.72, the market sees them as slightly less dominant. Ameliano’s home win odds have tightened from 5.25 to 4.75, hinting at cautious respect for their resilience.
Our data-driven model has crunched the numbers, and here’s what stands out:
The AI predicts a tight 0-1 victory for Cerro Porteno, replicating the scoreline from their last head to head. Given that both teams score in fewer than half of league games and over 2.5 goals land just 43.7% of the time, a low-scoring affair makes statistical sense.
While Cerro Porteno’s financial and historical superiority makes them favorites, Ameliano’s knack for defying betting odds adds intrigue. If you’re leaning toward value, the underdog’s double-chance (X2) could tempt, but the AI’s pick of Under 2.5 goals feels like the safer play. Either way, this Ameliano vs Cerro Porteno prediction points to a tense, tactical battle—one where patience might just pay off for punters.
When Ameliano vs Cerro Porteno takes center stage on May 21, 2025, at Estadio Ameliano Villeta, it’ll be more than just a league fixture—it’s a classic underdog story. The betting odds tell part of the tale: Cerro Porteno, with a squad value of €28.52m, are heavy favorites at 1.72, while Ameliano (€5.80m) are priced at 4.75 for a home win. But as any football fan knows, money doesn’t always decide matches. This Ameliano vs Cerro Porteno prediction dives into the stats, trends, and smart betting angles for what promises to be a fascinating encounter.
Cerro Porteno, one of Paraguay’s traditional powerhouses, are expected to dominate, but Ameliano have made a habit of punching above their weight. Their gritty 1-1 draw against Libertad Asuncion last August—a match where they were priced at 6.2—proves they can frustrate the elite. Meanwhile, Cerro’s narrow 1-0 win in their last head to head meeting (September 2024) suggests this won’t be a walk in the park.
Paraguay’s Division Profesional is a league where defenses often shine. Here’s how the numbers break down:
Goals aren’t guaranteed either:
The odds for this Ameliano vs Cerro Porteno clash have shifted slightly since their last meeting. In September 2024, Cerro were priced at 1.621 for a win—now at 1.72, the market sees them as slightly less dominant. Ameliano’s home win odds have tightened from 5.25 to 4.75, hinting at cautious respect for their resilience.
Our data-driven model has crunched the numbers, and here’s what stands out:
The AI predicts a tight 0-1 victory for Cerro Porteno, replicating the scoreline from their last head to head. Given that both teams score in fewer than half of league games and over 2.5 goals land just 43.7% of the time, a low-scoring affair makes statistical sense.
While Cerro Porteno’s financial and historical superiority makes them favorites, Ameliano’s knack for defying betting odds adds intrigue. If you’re leaning toward value, the underdog’s double-chance (X2) could tempt, but the AI’s pick of Under 2.5 goals feels like the safer play. Either way, this Ameliano vs Cerro Porteno prediction points to a tense, tactical battle—one where patience might just pay off for punters.
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Derby match
U2.5 -161
No more than 2 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -1612 -139
Cerro Porteno is expected to win with odds of -139Under 2.5 -161
No more than 2 goals will be scored in the matchNo -152
At least one team is not expected to scoreX2&U3.5 -179
Away win/draw and under 3.5 goals
0:1
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1
-
2
-
12
|
|
Sportivo |
21-May-25
0:0
| Cerro P ![]() |
Cerro P |
16-Mar-25
2:0
| Sportivo ![]() |
Sportivo |
22-Sep-24
0:1
| Cerro P ![]() |
Cerro P |
01-Aug-24
1:0
| Sportivo ![]() |
Cerro P |
15-Apr-24
3:0
| Sportivo ![]() |
Sportivo |
25-Jan-24
1:4
| Cerro P ![]() |
Cerro P |
01-Oct-23
3:2
| Sportivo ![]() |
Cerro P |
27-Sep-23
1:3
| Sportivo ![]() |
Sportivo |
15-Jul-23
0:1
| Cerro P ![]() |
Paraguay - Division Profesional - Apertura| Team | Matches | Goals | Points | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Libertad Asunc | 22 | 35-15 | 44 |
| 2 |
Cerro Porteno | 22 | 33-18 | 39 |
| 3 |
Club Guarani | 22 | 27-24 | 38 |
| 4 |
Sportivo Trini | 22 | 27-22 | 34 |
| 5 |
Olimpia | 22 | 27-22 | 33 |
| 6 |
Sportivo Ameli | 22 | 23-20 | 29 |
| 7 |
Deportivo Reco | 22 | 29-31 | 27 |
| 8 |
Nacional Asunc | 22 | 23-28 | 25 |
| 9 |
General Caball | 22 | 19-26 | 22 |
| 10 |
Sportivo Luque | 22 | 13-25 | 22 |
| 11 |
2 de Mayo | 22 | 15-26 | 18 |
| 12 |
Atlético Temb | 22 | 17-31 | 18 |