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Match Prediction

Ameliano vs Libertad Asuncion Prediction

Finished
Paraguay flag Paraguay
Division Profesional

Ameliano

€6.28m

27 Apr19:15
0 : 0

Libertad

€17.95m

Preview

Ameliano vs Libertad  Prediction Division Profesional - Apertura

A Tense Night at Estadio Ameliano Villeta

The air is thick with anticipation as Sportivo Ameliano prepares to host Libertad Asuncion in a Division Profesional - Apertura clash that promises drama. The home fans know their team is the underdog, but the underdog has teeth—especially when backed into a corner. Our Ameliano vs Libertad Asuncion prediction leans toward a gritty, low-scoring affair, and here’s why.

Why Libertad Holds the Edge

Libertad isn’t just bringing a stronger squad to Estadio Ameliano Villeta—they’re bringing a wallet three times heavier. With a squad value of €17.95m compared to Ameliano’s €6.28m, the financial gap is stark. Money doesn’t always equal goals, but it does buy consistency. Libertad’s odds (1.91) reflect their pedigree, though their recent form suggests they might not steamroll this one.

  • Head-to-head trends favor Libertad, but not by a landslide. Their last meeting ended 0-0, and Ameliano snatched a 1-1 draw in August 2024 despite being huge underdogs (odds 6.2).
  • Libertad’s attack has occasionally gone missing—like in their 1-1 draw against Cruzeiro (odds 5.6), where they struggled to break down a disciplined defense.

The Case for Under 2.5 Goals

NerdyTips’ AI rates the under 2.5 goals bet at a whopping 8.0/10 confidence (odds 1.53), and the stats back it up:

  1. League-wide, only 43.6% of matches see over 2.5 goals.
  2. Ameliano’s home games average just 1.8 goals, while Libertad’s away matches hover around 2.1.
  3. Both teams’ recent head-to-head meetings have been cagey, with defenses on top.

Translation: this could be a game where Libertad’s attack needs a GPS to find the net, and Ameliano’s best hope is a set-piece or counter.

Key Betting Tips and Trends

For those eyeing the Ameliano vs Libertad Asuncion prediction, here’s the cheat sheet:

1x2 Market: Libertad, But Barely

Libertad’s odds (1.91) suggest a 52% implied probability, but their 4.1/10 confidence rating hints at risk. Ameliano’s knack for frustrating bigger teams makes the draw (3.2) a sneaky value pick.

Goal Markets: Think Small

With league-wide stats showing:

  • BTTS (both teams to score) at just 47.4%
  • Over 2.5 goals in only 43.6% of matches

...the smart money is on under 2.5 goals. A 0-1 or 1-1 scoreline feels likelier than a goal fest.

Final Verdict: A Grind, Not a Show

Libertad should edge this, but don’t expect fireworks. Bank on a low-scoring grind—unless Libertad suddenly remembers their scoring boots! For more Paraguay Division Profesional betting tips, keep it locked here. Stats don’t lie, and neither do tight defenses.

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AI Predictions
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Derby match

Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Ameliano vs Libertad

U2.5 -189

No more than 2 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -189
8/10

1x2 Tip

2 -110

Libertad is expected to win with odds of -110
4/10

Total Goals

Under 2.5 -189

No more than 2 goals will be scored in the match
8/10

Both Teams To Score

No -149

At least one team is not expected to score
7/10

Bet Builder Tip

X2&U3.5 -167

Away win/draw and under 3.5 goals
6/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

0:1

Average / Match

2
Total Goals
2.3
0.9
Goals Scored
1.5
1.1
Goals Against
0.8

Overview Last 10 Matches

2
Wins
6
6
Over 1.5 Goals
7
2
Over 2.5 Goals
3
2
Over 3.5 Goals
2
3
Both Teams Scored
4
0
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Ameliano
2 - 5 - 9
Libertad Asuncion
Ameliano Sportivo 28-Apr-25
0:0
Libertad Libertad Asuncion
Libertad Asuncion Libertad 16-Feb-25
2:0
Sportivo Ameliano
Libertad Asuncion Libertad 26-Oct-24
1:2
Sportivo Ameliano
Ameliano Sportivo 22-Aug-24
0:0
Libertad Libertad Asuncion
Ameliano Sportivo 19-Aug-24
0:0
Libertad Libertad Asuncion
Libertad Asuncion Libertad 15-Aug-24
1:1
Sportivo Ameliano
Ameliano Sportivo 26-May-24
0:1
Libertad Libertad Asuncion
Libertad Asuncion Libertad 10-Mar-24
4:1
Sportivo Ameliano
Libertad Asuncion Libertad 20-Oct-23
3:0
Sportivo Ameliano

Paraguay - Division Profesional - Apertura Paraguay - Division Profesional - Apertura

Team Matches Goals Points
1 Libertad AsuncionLibertad Asunc 22
35-15
44
2 Cerro PortenoCerro Porteno 22
33-18
39
3 Club GuaraniClub Guarani 22
27-24
38
4 Sportivo TrinidenseSportivo Trini 22
27-22
34
5 OlimpiaOlimpia 22
27-22
33
6 Sportivo AmelianoSportivo Ameli 22
23-20
29
7 Deportivo RecoletaDeportivo Reco 22
29-31
27
8 Nacional AsuncionNacional Asunc 22
23-28
25
9 General CaballeroGeneral Caball 22
19-26
22
10 Sportivo LuquenoSportivo Luque 22
13-25
22
11 2 de Mayo2 de Mayo 22
15-26
18
12 Atlético TembetaryAtlético Temb 22
17-31
18
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