Match Prediction
Match Prediction
Belgium
Preview
Welcome to our friendly and insightful Anderlecht vs Dender prediction for the Jupiler Pro League match on January 25, 2026. If you’re looking for the latest sports betting tips, betting odds, and a clear-eyed look at both teams, you’re in the right place. Let’s break down the story behind the stats and see what makes this fixture at Lotto Park so intriguing for football fans and punters alike.
Anderlecht, or “Paars-wit” as their fans affectionately call them, are enjoying a solid season. Currently 4th in the Jupiler Pro League with 35 points from 21 matches, they’ve turned Lotto Park into something of a fortress—winning five of their last six league games at home. However, their defense has been a bit leaky lately, conceding in each of their last six matches. Still, with a market value of over €104 million, Anderlecht’s squad depth and quality are hard to ignore.
Dender, meanwhile, are fighting at the other end of the table in 16th place with 16 points. They’ve had a tough time on the road, failing to win in 13 of their last 15 away games and conceding in thirteen straight matches. Their attack has struggled, averaging just 0.83 goals per game recently, but they have shown flashes of resilience—like their hard-fought 1-1 draw at Westerlo as underdogs.
In terms of lineups, Anderlecht are missing key players like I. Camara (muscle injury), M. Stroeykens (knee), and L. Augustinsson (muscle), but they still have attacking threats in Thorgan Hazard, Adriano Bertaccini, and Kasper Dolberg. Hazard, back after a long injury layoff, has already netted six times this season. Dender have their own injury woes, including A. Maamar (knock), M. Verrips (shoulder), and G. Gallon (suspended), but Bruny Nsimba remains their main goal threat.
Tactically, expect Anderlecht to stick with their attacking 4.15-3, aiming to control possession (predicted at 64%) and create chances from the flanks. Dender will likely set up in a compact 4.15-2, hoping to frustrate the hosts and hit on the counter.
Let’s talk numbers. Bookmakers have set the betting odds as follows:
Those odds reflect Anderlecht’s dominance at home and Dender’s struggles on their travels. Other stats to keep in mind for your Anderlecht vs Dender prediction:
Market value tells its own story: Anderlecht’s squad is worth over €104 million, while Dender’s is just under €19 million. The gulf in resources is clear, but as we saw in their last Lotto Park meeting, football isn’t played on spreadsheets!
Now, let’s get nerdy. According to NerdyTips’ AI, the most profitable bet for this fixture is a home win for Anderlecht, with a trust rating of 5.7/10 and odds of 1.652. The 1x2 prediction is also firmly in Anderlecht’s favor, with the same trust rating and odds.
The AI expects Anderlecht to control the game, rack up the shots and corners, and ultimately take all three points. Dender might sneak a goal—perhaps from a set piece or a rare counter—but the hosts’ quality should shine through.
In summary, all signs point to Anderlecht extending their strong home form, but Dender have shown they can spring a surprise if the hosts take their foot off the gas. For your sports betting slip, a home win looks the safest bet, but if you’re feeling adventurous, a 2-1 correct score or over 1.5 goals could add a little extra excitement.
That’s our Anderlecht vs Dender prediction—may your bets be as sharp as Anderlecht’s attack and your nerves steadier than Dender’s away defense!
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1 -154
Anderlecht is expected to win with odds of -1541 -154
Anderlecht is expected to win with odds of -154Over 1.5 -357
At least 2 goals will be scored in the matchYes -118
Both teams are expected to score1X&O1.5 -213
Home win/draw and over 1.5 goals
1:0
2:1
|
|
2
-
1
-
1
|
|
 Dender |
17-Aug-25
0:2
| Anderlecht  |
| Anderlecht |
27-Dec-24
2:3
| Dender |
| Dender |
28-Sep-24
1:1
| Anderlecht |
| Anderlecht |
29-Jun-24
2:1
| Dender |
Recent Matches of Anderlecht| 01 Feb |
St. Liege.
|
-
| Anderlecht.
| |
| 25 Jan | D |
Anderlecht.
|
0:0
| Dender.
|
| 18 Jan | L |
Gent.
|
4:2
| Anderlecht.
|
| 15 Jan | W |
Anderlecht.
|
1:0
| Gent.
|
| 07 Jan | L |
St. Gallen.
|
2:1
| Anderlecht.
|
| 26 Dec | L |
Anderlecht.
|
1:2
| Charleroi.
|
| 21 Dec | D |
Antwerp.
|
2:2
| Anderlecht.
|
| 13 Dec | W |
Anderlecht.
|
2:1
| St. Truiden.
|
| 07 Dec | L |
Westerlo.
|
4:0
| Anderlecht.
|
| 04 Dec | W |
Genk.
|
1:3
| Anderlecht.
|
Recent Matches of Dender
| 25 Jan | D | Anderlecht. |
0:0 |
Dender. |
| 18 Jan | W | Dender. |
1:0 |
Antwerp. |
| 14 Jan | L | Dender. |
0:2 |
Union S. |
| 09 Jan | D |  Kortrijk. |
0:0 |
Dender. |
| 27 Dec | D |  KV Mechelen. |
1:1 |
Dender. |
| 20 Dec | L | Dender. |
0:1 |
St. Liege. |
| 14 Dec | L | Dender. |
1:5 |
Club B. |
| 05 Dec | W |  RAAL L. |
1:2 |
Dender. |
| 02 Dec | W | Dender. |
3:2 |
St. Liege. |
| 29 Nov | D | Dender. |
2:2 |
Westerlo. |
Belgium - Jupiler Pro League| Team | Matches | Goals | Points | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Union St. | 22 | 37-12 | 46 |
| 2 |
St. Truiden | 22 | 33-24 | 45 |
| 3 |
Club Brugge KV | 22 | 42-28 | 44 |
| 4 |
Anderlecht | 22 | 30-26 | 36 |
| 5 |
Gent | 22 | 36-31 | 32 |
| 6 |
KV Mechelen | 22 | 26-24 | 32 |
| 7 |
Charleroi | 22 | 27-26 | 30 |
| 8 |
Standard Liege | 22 | 18-29 | 27 |
| 9 |
Antwerp | 22 | 24-24 | 27 |
| 10 |
Zulte Waregem | 22 | 31-34 | 26 |
| 11 |
Genk | 22 | 29-34 | 26 |
| 12 |
KVC Westerlo | 22 | 29-33 | 25 |
| 13 |
RAAL La | 22 | 19-25 | 23 |
| 14 |
OH Leuven | 22 | 19-30 | 21 |
| 15 |
Cercle Brugge | 22 | 28-31 | 21 |
| 16 |
Dender | 22 | 17-34 | 17 |
