Andorra vs Zaragoza Prediction

Andorra vs Zaragoza prediction: a tense survival game

This Andorra vs Zaragoza prediction comes with the kind of pressure you can almost hear in the stands: Round 27 of the Segunda División, kick-off at 15:15 GMT on 2026-02-22 at the Estadi Nacional in Andorra la Vella. It is a genuine relegation six-pointer, with FC Andorra sitting 18th (only two points above the drop) and Zaragoza down in 21st, trying to climb out of trouble.

Context, form, and why this match feels heavy

Andorra’s recent weeks have been uneven, and the 3-2 defeat to Almería on February 13 is a good example: they can play, they can score, but they have struggled to protect advantages and often look vulnerable right after conceding. Zaragoza arrive with a different problem: results have been scarce, with just one win in their last nine. Their latest 0-0 against Cultural Leonesa was described locally as “toothless”—solid enough at the back, but short on punch where it matters.

Tactical snapshot and key absences

Carles Manso, appointed in November 2025, wants Andorra to dominate through possession. He has also publicly asked for more self-criticism after defensive lapses, stressing that the group can look shaken when they fall behind. That matters here, because games at the bottom are rarely pretty—mental control is often the real “tactic.”

Rubén Sellés usually lines Zaragoza up in a 4-2-3-1, aiming for a more compact, proactive shape. The issue is finishing the plan with personnel: injuries have forced experiments, including Mario Soberón as the reference point or even a false nine look.

• Andorra absences: Manu Nieto (knee sprain), Álex Calvo (hamstring), Berto Rosas (plantar fascia).
• Zaragoza absences: Kenan Kodro (hamstring), Keidi Bare (muscle), Toni Moya (thigh), Raúl Guti (ligament), A. Radovanović (broken rib).

Off the pitch, Sellés has tried to calm the noise after comments about traveling support, now calling for “total union.” Manso, meanwhile, has attempted to lower the temperature around his young squad, framing this as a normal fight for a developing project.

Extra angles: surface, altitude, and head to head

The Estadi Nacional’s synthetic turf and Andorra’s altitude can be a quiet advantage—visitors often need time to adjust. In the most recent head to head (2023-10-05), Zaragoza won 0-1, a reminder that margins are thin. Both teams have also shown they can upset stronger opponents away from home: Andorra beat Valladolid 0-1 as a big underdog (5.1), and Zaragoza shocked Eibar 1-2 at the same price.

NerdyTips betting view: odds, totals, and match script

The market slightly favors the hosts: betting odds are 2.07 home, 3.65 draw, 3.7 away. Our model leans the same way for this Andorra vs Zaragoza prediction, but expects a tight, low-scoring story rather than a free-flowing one.

• Best value safety net: 1X (Andorra win or draw) at 1.32, trust 8.5/10.
• Main 1X2 pick: Andorra to win (1) at 2.05, confidence 7.4.
• Total goals pick: Under 3.5 at 1.32, trust 7.9/10.

The predicted match script supports those angles: Andorra are projected to hold 61% possession, with 16 shots to Zaragoza’s 10. On target it is still modest (4 vs 3), which lines up neatly with the under on total goals. Corners are estimated at 8 (4-4), and cards at 2-2—competitive, but not chaotic.

Correct score lean

Our final score prediction is 1-0, with 0-0 at half-time. If Andorra can stay calm after inevitable nervy moments—and if Zaragoza’s injury-hit attack lacks a true finisher—this has the profile of a narrow home win where control matters more than sparkle.