Antigua GFC and Xelajú are set to clash at Estadio Pensativo on March 9, 2025, at 01:00 UTC, and we’ve got the inside scoop on where the smart money is going. With Antigua GFC priced at 1.65 for the win, the odds suggest they’re the favorites, and our AI agrees—though with a trust rating of 4.3/10, it’s not exactly a slam dunk.

Historically, home teams in the Liga Nacional have won 47.5% of matches, while away sides have only managed 17.9%. That bodes well for Antigua GFC, who also boast a higher squad value (€4.22m vs. €3.34m). Plus, their last head-to-head ended in a 1-1 draw, so they’ll be eager to break the deadlock this time.

If you’re looking for a safe bet, the under 2.5 goals market at 1.69 might be the way to go. Only 38.6% of Liga Nacional games see more than 2.5 goals, and our AI predicts a 1-0 win for Antigua GFC, with a 0-0 halftime scoreline. That suggests a tight, low-scoring affair.

Both teams have pulled off surprise results against Municipal recently—Antigua GFC snatched a 2-2 away win as 5.5 underdogs, while Xelajú held them to a 1-1 draw at 5.4 odds. That proves they can punch above their weight, but Antigua’s home advantage could be the difference.

So, what’s the bet of the day? Antigua GFC to win at 1.65 is the best pick, but if you’re feeling cautious, the under 2.5 goals at 1.69 is a solid alternative. Either way, expect a tight, tactical battle with Antigua edging it late. Happy betting!