icon back

Match Prediction

Arda Kardzhali vs Ludogorets Prediction

Finished
Bulgaria flag Bulgaria
First League

Arda Kardzhali

€10.93m

9 May15:45
1 : 1

Ludogorets

€48.15m

Preview

Arda Kardzhali vs Ludogorets Prediction First League

Arda Kardzhali vs Ludogorets Prediction: Can David Upset Goliath at Arena Arda?

If you’re searching for the most insightful Arda Kardzhali vs Ludogorets prediction ahead of their First League meeting on May 9, 2.255, you’re in the right place. Arena Arda is set for a football spectacle where third-placed Arda Kardzhali (55 points from 32 matches) hosts the league leaders Ludogorets (80 points, 32 games) at 15:45 GMT. With a 25-point chasm between them, this isn’t just another match—it’s a story of ambition, resilience, and perhaps, a little mischief from the football gods.

Setting the Scene: High Stakes in Kardzhali

Picture this: the Arena Arda buzzing, home fans dreaming of a famous scalp, and Ludogorets arriving with the swagger of a team that’s made first place their second home. Arda, perched comfortably in third, have already surpassed expectations this season. But with Ludogorets’ dominance (80 points and counting), the hosts have a mountain to climb. The bookmakers set the home win at 3.0, a draw at 3.0, and an away win at 2.25—numbers that hint at a closer contest than the table suggests.

Recent Form and Head to Head: History Favors the Champions

  • Ludogorets’ last visit ended in a 4-0 demolition of Arda (December 4, 2.254), with odds then stacked heavily against the hosts (6.0 for Arda, 1.51 for Ludogorets).
  • Arda, though, are no strangers to upsets. Their gritty 1:1 away draw at Levski Sofia (April 26, 2.255) came despite odds of 5.58, proving they can punch above their weight.
  • Ludogorets, too, showed their mettle in Europe, holding Lyon to a 1:1 draw in France (January 30, 2.255) with astronomical odds of 14.0.

These results remind us that while stats and odds paint a picture, football loves a plot twist. Both teams have shown unpredictability—so don’t be surprised if the script flips again.

Predicted Match Dynamics: A Tactical Tug-of-War

Let’s dig into the numbers for our Arda Kardzhali vs Ludogorets prediction. Expect Arda to try and boss possession (56% forecasted), while Ludogorets, ever the efficient travelers, may settle for 44%. Shots are predicted at 10 for Arda (5 on target) and 7 for Ludogorets (2 on target), with corners split evenly at three apiece. Each side is tipped to collect a yellow card, underlining the expected intensity.

  • Possession: Arda 56% / Ludogorets 44%
  • Shots: Arda 10 (5 on target) / Ludogorets 7 (2 on target)
  • Corners: 3 each
  • Yellow cards: 1 each

With Arda’s squad valued at €10.93m and Ludogorets at a hefty €48.15m, this has all the makings of a classic David vs Goliath encounter. But as we’ve learned, even Goliath sometimes trips over his own armor—especially when the underdog is feeling brave.

Betting Tips and Value Bets: Where to Find the Edge

After crunching the numbers, our AI sees value in the goals market. Over 1.5 goals stands at 1.36 (trust score 5.3/10), and with 68.4% of First League matches topping that mark, it’s a sensible play. Over 2.5 goals (42.1% league average) is riskier, but not outlandish given both teams’ attacking intent.

  • Over 1.5 goals: Odds 1.36, trust score 5.3/10
  • Predicted score: 2:0 Arda (half-time 1:0)
  • Both teams to score: Only 42.5% of league games see it, and with Arda tipped for a clean sheet, this might be the rare exception

Interestingly, despite Ludogorets’ status and past head to head dominance, our AI leans toward Arda in the 1x2 market (odds 3.0, trust rating 2.25). Yet, the real value may lie in the goals markets, given the league’s trends.

Context Matters: League Trends and Psychological Edges

Let’s put the odds into perspective:

  • Home wins: 45.9%
  • Away wins: 30.1%
  • Draws: 24.0%

With Arda’s strong home form and Ludogorets’ proven resilience, momentum and morale could tip the scales. Arda may feel like David, but even Goliath sometimes has a bad day—especially in front of a passionate home crowd.

Final Word: What to Expect and Where to Bet

In summary, this match is more than a numbers game—it’s a test of nerve, belief, and maybe a bit of luck. For those looking for the best Arda Kardzhali vs Ludogorets prediction and betting tips, here’s our expert take:

  1. Over 1.5 goals is the safest play, given the league’s history and both teams’ recent form.
  2. Arda to win is tempting at 3.0, but the trust rating is low—if you like a flutter on an underdog, this could be your moment.
  3. Both teams to score? The stats say maybe not this time, with Arda’s defense tipped to hold firm.

Expect a tactical, hard-fought contest where Arda tries to write their own fairy tale. Whether you’re betting or just watching, this is one story you won’t want to miss. After all, in football, the only thing you can predict with certainty is that nothing is certain.

Read More

AI Predictions
Powered by NerdyTips Logo

Warning

Ludogorets is champion!

Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Arda Kardzhali vs Ludogorets

O1.5 -278

At least 2 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -278
5/10

1x2 Tip

1 200

Arda Kardzhali is expected to win with odds of 200
2/10

Total Goals

Over 1.5 -278

At least 2 goals will be scored in the match
5/10

Both Teams To Score

No -118

At least one team is not expected to score
1/10

Bet Builder Tip

1X&O1.5 114

Home win/draw and over 1.5 goals
1/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

2:0

Stats Predictions

56%
Ball Possession
44%
10
Total Shots
7
5
Shots on Goal
2
2
Shots Off Goal
2
3
Corners
3
1
Yellow Cards
1

Average / Match

3.1
Total Goals
2.3
2.3
Goals Scored
1.9
0.8
Goals Against
0.4

Overview Last 10 Matches

5
Wins
8
9
Over 1.5 Goals
8
5
Over 2.5 Goals
4
5
Over 3.5 Goals
1
6
Both Teams Scored
3
0
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
1

Head to Head

Arda Kardzhali
0 - 6 - 9
Ludogorets
Ludogorets Ludogorets 26-May-25
2:2
Arda K Arda Kardzhali
Arda Kardzhali Arda K 09-May-25
1:1
Ludogorets Ludogorets
Arda Kardzhali Arda K 04-Dec-24
0:4
Ludogorets Ludogorets
Ludogorets Ludogorets 03-Aug-24
5:1
Arda K Arda Kardzhali
Ludogorets Ludogorets 15-Apr-24
2:0
Arda K Arda Kardzhali
Arda Kardzhali Arda K 22-Oct-23
0:0
Ludogorets Ludogorets
Arda Kardzhali Arda K 14-Apr-23
1:2
Ludogorets Ludogorets
Ludogorets Ludogorets 18-Sep-22
1:1
Arda K Arda Kardzhali
Arda Kardzhali Arda K 13-Feb-22
0:4
Ludogorets Ludogorets
Ludogorets Ludogorets 02-Dec-21
4:1
Arda K Arda Kardzhali

Profile time Recent Matches of Arda K

12 DecW Cherno More Cherno More.
0:3
Arda. Arda

Profile time Recent Matches of Ludogorets

15 DecSeptemvri Septemvri.
-
Ludogorets.Ludogorets
11 DecDLudogorets Ludogorets.
3:3
PAOK.PAOK
08 DecDLudogorets Ludogorets.
1:1
Slavia Sofia.Slavia Sofia

Bulgaria - First League Bulgaria - First League

Team Matches Goals Points
1 Ludogorets Ludogorets36
70-22
83
2 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia36
64-29
72
3 Cherno More Varna Cherno More Va36
44-30
59
4 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali36
54-41
58
Video preview
Log In
Register
Bankers
All Matches