icon back

Match Prediction

Arda vs Botev Plovdiv Prediction

Finished
Bulgaria flag Bulgaria
First League

Arda

€11.98m

2 Dec16:00
0 : 0

Botev Plovdiv

€10.27m

Preview

Arda vs Botev Plovdiv Prediction First League

Arda vs Botev Plovdiv Prediction: Stats, Odds, and AI Insights

Welcome to our comprehensive Arda vs Botev Plovdiv prediction for the First League match set for December 2, 2025, at Arena Arda in Kardzhali. If you’re searching for the latest sports betting tips, betting odds, and a detailed head to head analysis, you’re in the right place. Let’s break down what to expect in this intriguing encounter, blending stats, tactics, and a dash of humor—because football is serious business, but not that serious.

Team Form, Head to Head, and Tactical Overview

Arda and Botev Plovdiv are no strangers to each other. Since 2019, these two sides have met 18 times, with Arda coming out on top in 12 of those matches. Botev Plovdiv have only managed 3 wins, while 3 games ended in a draw. The goal tally? Arda 29, Botev Plovdiv 13. Their last head to head, back in August 2025, saw Arda deliver a resounding 5-0 win—a result Botev’s fans will want to forget faster than a missed penalty.

  • Arda’s recent form: 5 wins, 5 draws, 7 losses in 17 league games. They’ve scored 18 and conceded 19 in the First League, sitting 10th in the table. Their home form has been called “very poor” in some circles, but stats show they’re tough to break down at Arena Arda.
  • Botev Plovdiv’s recent form: 5 wins, 1 draw, 4 losses in their last 10 across all competitions. They’ve netted 18 and let in 13, but their away record is shaky—just one win in their last five on the road, conceding six goals in that stretch. They currently sit 11th in the league.

The tactical battle could be fascinating. Arda’s approach is built on defensive resilience and quick transitions, while Botev Plovdiv, under new manager Dimitar Dimitrov (“Hero”), may look to tighten up at the back and rely on experienced heads like Tsvetomir Nedelev and Dorian Naumov. The coaching change is a big story: Dimitrov’s trophy-laden CV brings hope, but also pressure, especially given the club’s recent financial turbulence and staff changes.

  • Key players for Arda: A. Gospodinov, B. Karagaren, S. Yusein, L. Kotev, A. Shinyashiki.
  • Key players for Botev Plovdiv: N. Minkov, T. Nedelev, D. Naumov, A. Ojo, A. Yordanov.

Historically, Arda have kept a clean sheet in 50% of their head to head matches with Botev Plovdiv, while Botev have managed just 17%. Matches average 2.33 goals, with both teams scoring in only 39% of encounters. If you’re a fan of defensive football, this one’s for you.

Betting Odds, AI Predictions, and Profitable Tips

Let’s talk numbers—because in sports betting, numbers never lie (unless you’re betting on your favorite team with your heart). The current betting odds are:

  1. Home win (Arda): 2.05
  2. Draw: 3.3
  3. Away win (Botev Plovdiv): 3.95

Our NerdyTips AI model gives the edge to Arda, predicting a home win with a trust rating of 2.8/10 and odds at 2.05. Not the highest confidence, but the stats back it up: Arda’s superior head to head record and recent form at home make them favorites.

For those looking for a safer bet, the under 3.5 goals market is where the value lies. With a trust rating of 5.5/10 and odds of 1.27, it’s the most profitable bet according to our AI. Why? Both sides average just over two goals per match in their meetings, and neither is known for wild attacking football. The expected final score is 2:1, with Arda leading 1:0 at half-time.

  • Possession forecast: Arda 57%, Botev Plovdiv 43%
  • Expected shots: Arda 8 (4 on target), Botev Plovdiv 6 (2 on target)
  • Expected corners: Arda 3, Botev Plovdiv 2
  • Expected yellow cards: Arda 1, Botev Plovdiv 2

With Arda’s squad valued at €11.98m and Botev Plovdiv’s at €10.27m, there’s not a huge gap in resources, but Arda’s experience in these fixtures could make the difference. The last time Arda played at home against Botev, they kept a clean sheet—another reason to consider the under 3.5 goals tip.

Final Thoughts and Best Bets

To sum up our Arda vs Botev Plovdiv prediction: the stats, head to head record, and betting odds all point to a tight, low-scoring affair with Arda having the upper hand. Our top tips:

  • Back Arda to win at 2.05 if you like a bit of risk.
  • Under 3.5 goals at 1.27 for a safer, more reliable bet.

Whether you’re a seasoned sports betting enthusiast or just here for the stats, this match promises tactical intrigue and a few nervous moments. As always, bet responsibly—and may your predictions be as accurate as our AI’s (or better)!

Read More

AI Predictions
Powered by NerdyTips Logo

Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Arda vs Botev Plovdiv

U3.5 -370

No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -370
5/10

1x2 Tip

1 105

Arda is expected to win with odds of 105
2/10

Total Goals

Under 3.5 -370

No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match
5/10

Both Teams To Score

Yes -106

Both teams are expected to score
1/10

Bet Builder Tip

1X&U4.5 -222

Home win/draw and under 4.5 goals
2/10
Both Teams To Score

Half-Time Score

1:0

Correct Score

2:1

Stats Predictions

57%
Ball Possession
43%
8
Total Shots
6
4
Shots on Goal
2
3
Shots Off Goal
3
3
Corners
2
1
Yellow Cards
2

Average / Match

2.2
Total Goals
3.1
1.1
Goals Scored
1.8
1.1
Goals Against
1.3
46%
Possession
48%
7.2
Total Shots
7.6
3.8
Shots on Goal
3.4
3.3
Shots off Goal
4.2
9.8
Fouls
9.4
3.3
Corners
3.2
2.2
Offsides
1.4
2.5
Yellow Cards
3

Overview Last 10 Matches

4
Wins
5
7
Over 1.5 Goals
9
4
Over 2.5 Goals
8
1
Over 3.5 Goals
3
3
Both Teams Scored
8
1
Unexpected Wins
0
1
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Arda
12 - 3 - 3
Botev Plovdiv
Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv 04-Aug-25
0:5
Arda Arda
Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv 09-Mar-25
1:1
Arda Arda
Arda Arda 23-Sep-24
1:0
Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv
Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv 27-May-24
0:1
Arda Arda
Arda Arda 11-May-24
2:1
Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv
Arda Arda 01-Dec-23
0:2
Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv
Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv 04-Aug-23
0:2
Arda Arda
Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv 06-Jun-23
0:3
Arda Arda
Arda Arda 23-May-23
2:1
Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv
Arda Arda 12-Nov-22
2:1
Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv

Profile time Recent Matches of Arda

12 DecW Cherno More Cherno More.
0:3
Arda. Arda
06 DecW Lok. Plovdiv Lok. Plovdiv.
0:2
Arda. Arda
02 DecD Arda Arda.
0:0
Botev Plovdi. Botev Plovdiv
28 NovD Lok. Sofia Lok. Sofia.
0:0
Arda. Arda
22 NovW Arda Arda.
3:0
CSKA 1948. CSKA 1948
09 NovW Ludogorets Ludogorets.
2:3
Arda. Arda
02 NovL Arda Arda.
0:3
Levski Sofia. Levski Sofia
28 OctW Fratria Fratria.
1:2
Arda. Arda
24 OctD Montana Montana.
1:1
Arda. Arda
20 OctL Arda Arda.
0:1
Septemvri. Septemvri

Profile time Recent Matches of Botev Plovdiv

13 DecWSpartak Varna Spartak Varn.
0:2
Botev Plovdi.Botev Plovdiv
06 DecLLok. Sofia Lok. Sofia.
3:2
Botev Plovdi.Botev Plovdiv
02 DecDArda Arda.
0:0
Botev Plovdi.Botev Plovdiv
29 NovWBotev Plovdiv Botev Plovdi.
2:1
Cherno More.Cherno More
22 NovLCSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia.
2:1
Botev Plovdi.Botev Plovdiv
07 NovWBotev Plovdiv Botev Plovdi.
2:1
Dobrudzha.Dobrudzha
01 NovDLokomotiv Lokomotiv.
1:1
Botev Plovdi.Botev Plovdiv
28 OctWSpartak P Spartak P.
0:4
Botev Plovdi.Botev Plovdiv
24 OctLSpartak Varna Spartak Varn.
3:2
Botev Plovdi.Botev Plovdiv
18 OctDBotev Plovdiv Botev Plovdi.
1:1
Slavia Sofia.Slavia Sofia

Bulgaria - First League Bulgaria - First League

Team Matches Goals Points
1 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia19
43-12
44
2 CSKA 1948 CSKA 194819
31-20
37
3 Ludogorets Ludogorets18
31-13
34
4 Cherno More Varna Cherno More Va19
25-14
33
5 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia19
27-16
31
6 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plov19
20-22
29
7 Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia19
23-21
28
8 Lokomotiv Sofia Lokomotiv Sofi19
21-18
26
9 Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa19
15-16
25
10 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali19
20-19
24
11 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv19
25-29
21
12 Spartak Varna Spartak Varna19
18-30
17
13 Beroe Beroe18
16-28
16
14 Montana Montana19
14-33
15
15 Septemvri Sofia Septemvri Sofi19
19-41
15
16 Dobrudzha Dobrudzha19
13-29
12
Video preview
Log In
Register
Bankers
All Matches