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Match Prediction

Argentino de Merlo vs Deportivo Laferrere Prediction

Finished
Argentina flag Argentina
Primera B Metropolitana

Argentino

€200.00Th.

10 May14:30
0 : 2

Deportivo

€25.00Th.

Preview

Argentino vs Deportivo Prediction Primera B Metropolitana

Argentino de Merlo vs Deportivo Laferrere Prediction: A Tight Affair on the Cards?

When Argentino de Merlo hosts Deportivo Laferrere at Estadio Juan Carlos Brieva on May 10, 2025, fans of sports betting might want to brace for a match that could make cautious chess look reckless. The betting odds favor the home side (1.87), but history suggests this Primera B Metropolitana clash won’t be straightforward. Our Argentino de Merlo vs Deportivo Laferrere prediction dives into the stats, trends, and tactical nuances that could define this encounter.

Tactical Context: Home Advantage vs Underdog Grit

On paper, Argentino de Merlo holds a significant edge—their squad value (€200K) dwarfs Laferrere’s (€25K), and the league’s home-win rate (37%) backs their favoritism. But football isn’t played on spreadsheets. Laferrere’s shock 1-0 away win in 2022 (at 5.0 odds) and their gritty 2-2 draw in the last head to head (March 2024) prove they relish the underdog role. The question is whether Merlo’s financial muscle can translate into dominance on the pitch.

Key Stats That Could Shape the Game

  • Low-scoring trends: Only 33.4% of league games exceed 2.5 goals, and our AI gives a 6.6/10 confidence rating for under 2.5 (1.5 odds).
  • First-half caution: A goalless opening 45 minutes aligns with league patterns—only 14.9% of matches see over 3.5 goals.
  • BTTS? Unlikely: Both teams score in just 41% of games, hinting at a tight defensive battle.

Betting Odds and Historical Surprises

The bookmakers’ odds tell a story of cautious optimism for Merlo (1.87 vs Laferrere’s 3.95), but the head to head history adds intrigue. Last year’s 2-2 draw came with tighter betting odds (2.0 vs 3.75), showing Laferrere’s knack for defying expectations. Those expecting fireworks may face a damp squib—this fixture averages just 1.8 goals per meeting since 2022.

Why the Underdog Could Bite Back

  1. Squad value isn’t everything: Laferrere’s €25K squad has previously toppled Merlo despite a 1:8 valuation gap.
  2. Away-day resilience: 27.1% of league away wins belong to teams like Laferrere, who thrive as outsiders.
  3. Set-piece threat: In low-scoring games, dead-ball situations often decide outcomes—a Laferrere specialty.

Final Prediction: A Nail-Biter in Merlo

Our AI leans toward a 1-0 home win (2.0 trust level), mirroring the league’s preference for narrow victories. The Argentino de Merlo vs Deportivo Laferrere prediction hinges on Merlo’s ability to break down a stubborn defense—something they’ve struggled with in past head to head meetings. For sports betting enthusiasts, the smart money might be on:

  • Under 2.5 goals (1.5 odds)
  • Correct score 1-0 (5.0 odds)
  • No first-half goals (2.1 odds)

In a league where 35.9% of games end level, don’t rule out a draw (3.3 odds). But with Merlo’s home edge and Laferrere’s frugality, this could be a classic case of ‘win ugly or not at all.’

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AI Predictions
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Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Argentino vs Deportivo

U2.5 -200

No more than 2 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -200
6/10

1x2 Tip

1 -115

Argentino is expected to win with odds of -115
2/10

Total Goals

Under 2.5 -200

No more than 2 goals will be scored in the match
6/10

Both Teams To Score

No -164

At least one team is not expected to score
2/10

Bet Builder Tip

1X&U3.5 -189

Home win/draw and under 3.5 goals
4/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

1:0

Average / Match

2
Total Goals
2.1
1.2
Goals Scored
1.2
0.8
Goals Against
0.9

Overview Last 10 Matches

5
Wins
2
6
Over 1.5 Goals
7
4
Over 2.5 Goals
3
2
Over 3.5 Goals
2
5
Both Teams Scored
4
0
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Argentino de Merlo
6 - 11 - 7
Deportivo Laferrere
Argentino de Merlo Argentino 10-May-25
0:2
Deportivo Deportivo Laferrere
Deportivo Laferrere Deportivo 21-Jul-24
0:0
Argentino Argentino de Merlo
Argentino de Merlo Argentino 02-Mar-24
2:2
Deportivo Deportivo Laferrere
Argentino de Merlo Argentino 04-Nov-22
2:0
Deportivo Deportivo Laferrere
Argentino de Merlo Argentino 11-Oct-22
0:1
Deportivo Deportivo Laferrere
Deportivo Laferrere Deportivo 05-Jun-22
1:0
Argentino Argentino de Merlo
Deportivo Laferrere Deportivo 20-Nov-21
0:0
Argentino Argentino de Merlo
Argentino de Merlo Argentino 12-Nov-21
3:1
Deportivo Deportivo Laferrere
Deportivo Laferrere Deportivo 18-Jul-21
1:1
Argentino Argentino de Merlo
Deportivo Laferrere Deportivo 20-Dec-20
0:0
Argentino Argentino de Merlo

Profile time Recent Matches of Argentino

10 Dec Argentino Argentino.
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Armenio. Armenio
06 DecD Armenio Armenio.
0:0
Argentino. Argentino

Profile time Recent Matches of Deportivo

Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana

Team Matches Goals Points
1 Midland Midland20
27-10
38
2 Real Pilar Real Pilar20
22-11
37
3 Sportivo Italiano Sportivo Itali20
26-17
35
4 Deportivo Armenio Deportivo Arme20
23-15
35
5 Flandria Flandria20
17-9
33
6 Sacachispas Sacachispas20
21-17
29
7 Deportivo Laferrere Deportivo Lafe20
23-22
29
8 Villa Dalmine Villa Dalmine20
19-21
29
9 San Martín Burzaco San Martín Bu20
27-22
28
10 Villa San Carlos Villa San Carl20
23-21
27
11 Comunicaciones Comunicaciones20
20-23
27
12 Brown DE Adrogue Brown DE Adrog20
23-22
26
13 Liniers Liniers20
21-26
26
14 Argentino Quilmes Argentino Quil20
25-26
25
15 Excursionistas Excursionistas20
27-26
24
16 Acassuso Acassuso20
25-29
24
17 Argentino de Merlo Argentino de M20
25-27
23
18 UAI Urquiza UAI Urquiza20
12-23
19
19 Deportivo Merlo Deportivo Merl20
17-24
17
20 Dock Sud Dock Sud20
11-23
15
21 Fénix Fénix20
15-35
13
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