Match Prediction
Match Prediction
Greece
Aris
€35.70m
AEK Athens FC
€70.47m
Preview
The Super League 1 fixture on January 11, 2026, is shaping up to be a fascinating encounter, and this Aris vs AEK Athens FC prediction is here to guide you through the story, stats, and betting tips. With AEK Athens riding high at the top of the table and Aris hoping to punch above their weight at Stadio Harilaou Kleánthis Vikelídis, fans and punters alike have plenty to talk about ahead of the 17:30 GMT kickoff.
Let’s start with the basics: AEK Athens are the team to beat in Greece right now. They’re sitting pretty at the summit of Super League 1 and come into this game on a seven-match winning streak in the league, part of five straight victories in all competitions. Their last outing, a 2-1 win over OFI, was a testament to their resilience and attacking flair.
Aris, meanwhile, are holding onto 7th position, showing flashes of quality but struggling for consistency. Their recent form reads two wins, two losses, and a draw in their last five games. Their most recent victory, a narrow 1-0 over Asteras Tripolis, showed grit, but their goalless draw against Olympiakos (despite the odds) proved they can frustrate even the best on their day.
When it comes to head to head meetings, AEK Athens have been the dominant force. Out of the last 31 encounters, AEK have won 17, Aris just 5, with 9 draws. Recent history is even more one-sided: four wins and a draw for AEK in the last five, including a 1-0 victory on November 23, 2025. Aris have struggled to get on the scoresheet in this fixture, averaging just 0.2 goals per game in the last five H2Hs, while AEK have averaged 2.052.
Both sides are missing key players. Aris are without Migouel Alfarela, Michalis Voriazidis, Tino Kadewere, Hamza Mendyl, and Anastasios Donis due to injuries, while Noah Sonko Sundberg is racing to return from a hamstring strain. Loren Morón is walking a suspension tightrope with four yellow cards.
AEK Athens aren’t at full strength either. R. Pereyra, Mijat Gaćinović, Alexander Callens, and Frantzdy Pierrot are all sidelined, with A. Cabaça away on national duty. Petros Mantalos and James Penrice are one booking away from suspension. Despite these absences, AEK’s squad depth—reflected in their €70.47m market value, almost double Aris’s €35.70m—should help them cope.
All signs point to AEK Athens controlling the tempo, creating more chances, and keeping things tight at the back.
Now, let’s talk numbers and betting odds. The bookies have AEK Athens as firm favorites for a reason. The home win is priced at 4.5, a draw at 3.45, and an away win at just 2.052. Our Aris vs AEK Athens FC prediction leans heavily towards the away team, with our AI giving the “2” (AEK win) selection a confidence rating of 4.5/10 and odds of 2.052.
The stats and sports betting trends suggest that AEK Athens’ attacking power and defensive discipline should see them through. Aris have the home crowd and a history of stubbornness, but their lack of firepower and injury woes could be telling. With AEK expected to have more possession and shots, and the recent head to head record so one-sided, the smart money is on the away win.
If you’re looking for a bit of value, the over 1.5 goals market looks solid—AEK rarely leave things to chance, and Aris will have to open up at some point. Just don’t expect a goal-fest or a yellow card bonanza.
In summary, our Aris vs AEK Athens FC prediction is a professional, controlled away win for AEK Athens. The numbers, form, and betting odds all point in the same direction: AEK Athens to win, likely with a clean sheet. As always, football can surprise us, but the stats don’t lie—this one looks set for another AEK Athens celebration.
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Best Tip odd is moving up from 1.72
2 100
AEK Athens FC is expected to win with odds of 1002 100
AEK Athens FC is expected to win with odds of 100Over 1.5 -250
At least 2 goals will be scored in the matchNo -120
At least one team is not expected to scoreX2&O1.5 -149
Away win/draw and over 1.5 goals
0:1
0:2
|
|
6
-
11
-
18
|
|
 AEK Athens FC |
23-Nov-25
1:0
| Aris  |
| Aris |
09-Mar-25
0:0
| AEK Athens FC |
| Aris |
03-Dec-24
1:1
| AEK Athens FC |
| AEK Athens FC |
30-Nov-24
4:0
| Aris |
| AEK Athens FC |
30-Oct-24
1:0
| Aris |
| Aris |
21-Apr-24
1:2
| AEK Athens FC |
| AEK Athens FC |
14-Apr-24
2:0
| Aris |
| Aris |
03-Mar-24
3:3
| AEK Athens FC |
| Aris |
17-Jan-24
1:1
| AEK Athens FC |
| AEK Athens FC |
10-Jan-24
0:0
| Aris |
Recent Matches of Aris| 18 Jan |
AEL Larissa.
|
-
| Aris.
| |
| 14 Jan | L |
Panathinaiko.
|
3:0
| Aris.
|
| 11 Jan | D |
Aris.
|
1:1
| AEK Athens F.
|
| 06 Jan | W |
Aris.
|
2:0
| Panetolikos.
|
| 20 Dec | W |
Asteras T.
|
0:1
| Aris.
|
| 14 Dec | D |
Aris.
|
0:0
| Olympiakos.
|
| 07 Dec | L |
PAOK.
|
3:1
| Aris.
|
| 03 Dec | D |
Aris.
|
1:1
| PAOK.
|
| 29 Nov | W |
Aris.
|
2:1
| AEL Larissa.
|
| 23 Nov | L |
AEK Athens F.
|
1:0
| Aris.
|
Recent Matches of AEK Athens FC
| 14 Jan | L | AEK Athens F. |
0:1 |
OFI Crete. |
| 11 Jan | D | Aris. |
1:1 |
AEK Athens F. |
| 21 Dec | W | AEK Athens F. |
2:1 |
OFI Crete. |
| 18 Dec | W | AEK Athens F. |
3:2 |
Univ. Craiov. |
| 14 Dec | W |  Panetolikos. |
0:5 |
AEK Athens F. |
| 11 Dec | W |  Samsunspor. |
1:2 |
AEK Athens F. |
| 07 Dec | W | AEK Athens F. |
4:1 |
Atromitos. |
| 03 Dec | W | AEK Athens F. |
2:0 |
OFI Crete. |
| 30 Nov | W |  Panathinaiko. |
2:3 |
AEK Athens F. |
| 27 Nov | W |  Fiorentina. |
0:1 |
AEK Athens F. |
Greece - Super League 1| Team | Matches | Goals | Points | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Olympiakos Pir | 16 | 33-8 | 39 |
| 2 |
PAOK | 16 | 34-12 | 38 |
| 3 |
AEK Athens FC | 16 | 27-12 | 38 |
| 4 |
Levadiakos | 16 | 39-18 | 31 |
| 5 |
Panathinaikos | 15 | 24-17 | 25 |
| 6 |
Volos NFC | 16 | 19-21 | 25 |
| 7 |
Aris Thessalon | 16 | 14-17 | 21 |
| 8 |
Kifisia | 16 | 23-24 | 19 |
| 9 |
OFI | 15 | 19-27 | 15 |
| 10 |
Panetolikos | 16 | 14-27 | 15 |
| 11 |
Asteras Tripol | 16 | 15-23 | 13 |
| 12 |
Atromitos | 16 | 14-22 | 13 |
| 13 |
Larisa | 16 | 14-28 | 10 |
| 14 |
Panserraikos | 16 | 7-40 | 5 |
