Match Prediction
Match Prediction
Greece
Preview
Welcome to our comprehensive Aris vs AEL Larissa prediction, where we break down everything you need to know about this Super League 1 fixture set for November 29, 2025, at 17:30 GMT. Whether you’re a seasoned punter or just looking for some friendly betting advice, we’ve got you covered with the latest stats, betting odds, and expert insights for Aris Thessaloniki and AEL Larissa.
Aris Thessaloniki and AEL Larissa may be sharing the same pitch at Kleanthis Vikelidis Stadium, but they’re currently worlds apart in ambition and squad value. Aris, sitting 7th in the table, have had a mixed bag of results this season—three wins, four draws, and three losses. Their recent Super League form includes a goalless draw against Asteras Tripolis, a narrow 2-1 defeat to Olympiacos, and a morale-boosting 3-1 Greek Cup win over AO Egaleo. Under the direction of Manolo Jiménez, who took the reins in September, Aris typically line up in a flexible 4-3-3 or 4-2-3-1. Expect high pressing, fast counterattacks, and set-piece routines straight from the analytics playbook.
Key figures for Aris include striker Loren Moron (2 goals, 1 assist), creative full-back Alvaro Tejero (2 assists), and midfield engine Uros Racic. Fredrik Jensen adds a spark from midfield, while Monchu’s ball distribution has been crucial. However, the home side is not without concerns: several important players are sidelined, including Fabiano, Hamza Mendyl, Gabriel Misehouy, and Tino Kadewere.
On the other side, AEL Larissa are still finding their feet after promotion in April 2025. Currently 12th, their form is best described as “patchy”—one win, four draws, and a handful of narrow losses. Their recent highlight was a surprising 1-1 draw against AEK Athens. With a squad valued at €10.35m compared to Aris’s €39.40m, Larissa are clear underdogs, but they’ve shown grit in defense and resilience on the road.
Let’s talk numbers. The current betting odds paint Aris as clear favorites: Home win sits at 1.62, Draw at 3.8, and Away win at 5.75. The market value difference is striking—Aris’s €39.40m squad dwarfs Larissa’s €10.35m, and this is reflected in the sports betting odds across major bookmakers. For bettors, this is a classic case of weighing value against probability.
Our AI model crunches the stats and recent form to deliver a clear verdict for this Aris vs AEL Larissa prediction. After analyzing historical data, head to head results, and the latest betting odds, the most valuable bet is a Home win (1) at odds of 1.65, with a trust score of 6.2/10. This reflects Aris’s superior squad depth, tactical flexibility, and home advantage.
Digging deeper into the stats, our projections show Aris dominating possession (60% to 40%), with 13 shots to Larissa’s 11, and both sides expected to register three shots on target. Corners should favor the home side (5-2), while Larissa may see more yellow cards (2 vs 1).
To sum up our Aris vs AEL Larissa prediction: Aris’s tactical edge, squad value, and home advantage make them the logical pick in the sports betting market. Our AI gives a moderate trust score, so while a home win is the standout bet, the under 3.5 goals market offers a safer option for more cautious punters. Expect a competitive, entertaining match, with Aris likely edging out their newly promoted visitors.
For more head to head insights, betting odds, and sports betting tips, stay tuned to NerdyTips. Good luck, and bet smart!
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1 -154
Aris is expected to win with odds of -1541 -154
Aris is expected to win with odds of -161Under 3.5 -323
No more than 3 goals will be scored in the matchYes 100
Both teams are expected to score1X&U4.5 -294
Home win/draw and under 4.5 goals
2:1
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3
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3
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1
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|
 Aris |
10-Aug-21
0:0
| AEL Larissa  |
| Aris |
26-Jan-21
1:0
| AEL Larissa |
| AEL Larissa |
02-Dec-20
0:3
| Aris |
| AEL Larissa |
11-Jan-20
0:0
| Aris |
| Aris |
28-Sep-19
2:3
| AEL Larissa |
| AEL Larissa |
20-Jan-19
0:0
| Aris |
| Aris |
02-Sep-18
2:0
| AEL Larissa |
Recent Matches of Aris| 01 Mar | L |
Panathinaikos
| 3 |
Aris
| 1 |
Recent Matches of AEL Larissa
| 28 Feb | L |  OFI Crete |
3 | AEL Larissa |
0 |
Greece - Super League 1| Team | Matches | Goals | Points | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Olympiakos | 23 | 42-10 | 53 |
| 2 |
AEK Athens FC | 23 | 41-13 | 53 |
| 3 |
PAOK | 21 | 42-14 | 47 |
| 4 |
Levadiakos | 23 | 49-30 | 39 |
| 5 |
Panathinaikos | 21 | 31-22 | 36 |
| 6 |
Aris | 22 | 19-22 | 28 |
| 7 |
OFI | 22 | 30-37 | 28 |
| 8 |
Atromitos | 23 | 24-27 | 27 |
| 9 |
Volos NFC | 23 | 21-32 | 27 |
| 10 |
Kifisia | 22 | 28-33 | 24 |
| 11 |
Panetolikos | 23 | 22-37 | 21 |
| 12 |
Larisa | 23 | 21-37 | 21 |
| 13 |
Asteras | 22 | 20-35 | 16 |
| 14 |
Panserraikos | 23 | 14-55 | 12 |
