Tottenham has upcoming match in Europe
1 -192
Arsenal is expected to win with odds of -1921 -192
Arsenal is expected to win with odds of -192Over 1.5 -313
At least 2 goals will be scored in the matchNo -143
At least one team is not expected to score1X&U4.5 -313
Home win/draw and under 4.5 goals
2:0
Preview
The North London Derby is back, and if you’re searching for an Arsenal vs Tottenham prediction that’s both insightful and easy to follow, you’ve come to the right place. This high-stakes Premier League match kicks off at 16:30 GMT on November 23, 2025, at the Emirates Stadium, and, as always, it promises drama, tension, and, hopefully, some beautiful football. Let’s break down the tactics, team news, and what our AI thinks will happen, all with a dash of football fan flair.
Arsenal, still riding high at the top of the Premier League table with 26 points, have been the picture of defensive solidity this season—conceding just five goals in 11 matches. But Mikel Arteta’s men are limping into this derby with a medical report longer than a VAR check. Gabriel Magalhães, a key figure at the back, is a major doubt after picking up an adductor injury with Brazil. Riccardo Calafiori is dealing with a hip issue but might just make it. The Gunners’ attack could be missing Viktor Gyökeres, who’s been out with a hamstring complaint, though fans are waiting on Arteta’s pre-match update. Kai Havertz and Martin Ødegaard are both on the mend, with hopes high that the captain, at least, can feature. Gabriel Martinelli and Gabriel Jesus are also close to returning, which could boost Arsenal’s attacking threat at just the right moment.
Tottenham, managed by Thomas Frank, aren’t exactly skipping into this fixture either. The injury list is, frankly, epic—James Maddison is out until summer, Dejan Kulusevski and Radu Drăgușin are both doubts, and several others (including Bissouma, Solanke, Kolo Muani, and Kudus) are racing against time to be fit. Despite this, Spurs have been surprisingly strong away from home, winning four of their five matches on the road this season, and currently sit 5th in the league with 18 points.
Tactically, expect Arsenal to dominate possession (our stats predict a whopping 65% for the home side), with their usual high press and quick transitions. Tottenham, likely to have just 35% of the ball, may look to hit on the counter and use their pace out wide—if any of their wingers are fit, that is. The Emirates has been a fortress for Arsenal, and Tottenham haven’t won there in the league since 2011. Still, football loves a surprise, and Spurs did beat Manchester City away earlier this season, so you can never say never.
Looking at recent form and head to head stats, Arsenal have been dominant, unbeaten against Spurs in their last six meetings. Tottenham’s last victory over Arsenal dates back to the end of the 2021/22 season, and history suggests this fixture rarely disappoints in terms of drama. The last time these two met, Tottenham edged a 1-0 win, but the betting odds for this derby heavily favor Arsenal at 1.52 for the home win, with a draw at 4.55 and an away win at a distant 8.0.
Market value also tilts this match in Arsenal’s favor—the Gunners’ squad is valued at a hefty €1.31bn, compared to Tottenham’s €8.0.60m. That kind of financial firepower often makes a difference, especially when injuries start to bite.
So, what does our AI say about this Arsenal vs Tottenham prediction? It’s going with a home win (1) as the best tip, but only with a confidence rating of 5.5 out of 10—so, not quite a sure thing, but still the smart money. The odds for this outcome are 1.52, reflecting Arsenal’s strong home form and Tottenham’s injury woes. For those interested in the 1x2 market, our AI is also leaning towards Arsenal, again with a trust level of 5.5.
Goals are expected, but not a flood—over 1.52 goals is the AI’s pick, with a modest confidence of 3.7 and odds at 1.25. The predicted final score? A tidy 2-0 win for Arsenal, with the Gunners likely to be 1-0 up by half-time. The stats back this up: Arsenal are expected to take 15 shots (6 on target), compared to just 5 (2 on target) for Spurs. Corners could be telling, too, with Arsenal predicted to win 5 to Tottenham’s 2. On the discipline front, expect Arsenal to keep their cool (1 yellow card), while Spurs might get a little feisty (3 yellows).
Given the head to head record, current form, and the sports betting odds, it’s hard to look past Arsenal for this one. Tottenham’s resilience on the road is impressive, but with so many key players potentially missing, the odds are stacked against them. Our AI’s Arsenal vs Tottenham prediction is a solid home win, but with just enough uncertainty to keep things interesting—after all, this is the North London Derby, and anything can happen.
Whether you’re placing a bet or just tuning in for the spectacle, this match is set to deliver. Keep an eye on the team news right up until kick-off, and may your bets be as well-placed as an Ødegaard through-ball.
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Arsenal |
31-Jul-25
0:1
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Arsenal |
15-Jan-25
2:1
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Tottenham |
15-Sep-24
0:1
| Arsenal ![]() |
Tottenham |
28-Apr-24
2:3
| Arsenal ![]() |
Arsenal |
24-Sep-23
2:2
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Tottenham |
15-Jan-23
0:2
| Arsenal ![]() |
Arsenal |
01-Oct-22
3:1
| Tottenham ![]() |
Tottenham |
12-May-22
3:0
| Arsenal ![]() |
Arsenal |
26-Sep-21
3:1
| Tottenham ![]() |
| 04 Mar |
Brighton
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Arsenal
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| 01 Mar | W |
Arsenal
| 2 |
Chelsea
| 1 |
| 05 Mar | Tottenham |
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2 | Tottenham |
1 |
England - Premier League| Team | Matches | Goals | Points | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Arsenal | 28 | 56-21 | 61 |
| 2 |
Manchester | 28 | 57-25 | 59 |
| 3 |
Manchester | 28 | 50-38 | 51 |
| 4 |
Aston Villa | 28 | 38-30 | 51 |
| 5 |
Liverpool | 28 | 47-37 | 48 |
| 6 |
Chelsea | 27 | 48-31 | 45 |
| 7 |
Brentford | 28 | 44-40 | 43 |
| 8 |
Everton | 28 | 32-33 | 40 |
| 9 |
Fulham | 28 | 40-42 | 40 |
| 10 |
Bournemouth | 28 | 44-46 | 39 |
| 11 |
Brighton | 28 | 38-35 | 37 |
| 12 |
Sunderland | 28 | 29-34 | 37 |
| 13 |
Newcastle | 28 | 40-42 | 36 |
| 14 |
Crystal Palace | 28 | 30-34 | 35 |
| 15 |
Leeds | 28 | 37-47 | 31 |
| 16 |
Tottenham | 28 | 38-43 | 29 |
| 17 |
Nottingham | 28 | 26-41 | 27 |
| 18 |
West Ham | 28 | 34-54 | 25 |
| 19 |
Burnley | 28 | 32-56 | 19 |
| 20 |
Wolves | 29 | 20-51 | 13 |