AS Roma vs Udinese Prediction

AS Roma vs Udinese Prediction: Tactics, Injuries, and Betting Tips

Welcome to our AS Roma vs Udinese prediction, where we break down everything you need to know about this Serie A fixture scheduled for November 9, 2025, at 17:00 GMT. With both teams bringing distinct styles and storylines to the Stadio Olimpico, this match promises to provide plenty of talking points for fans and punters alike. Let’s take a closer look at the tactics, team news, and the best betting tips for this anticipated encounter.

Tactical Battle: Gasperini’s Roma vs Runjaic’s Udinese

This season, AS Roma have been a study in contrasts. Under the experienced Gian Piero Gasperini, the Giallorossi have combined defensive discipline with flashes of attacking brilliance, sitting fourth in Serie A with 21 points after 10 games. Their 3-5-2 formation has proven sturdy, conceding just five goals so far—a stat that reflects Gasperini’s emphasis on structure. However, inconsistency has crept in, with three wins and two losses in their last five outings. Their home record is equally mixed, with three victories and two defeats at the Olimpico.

Udinese, meanwhile, have carved out a reputation for resilience. Kosta Runjaic’s men sit ninth, boasting 15 points and a balanced away record (two wins, one draw, two losses). Their recent 1-0 triumph over Atalanta showcased their ability to grind out results, though a setback at Juventus hinted at vulnerabilities when travelling to face the league’s elite. Udinese are likely to stick with their own 3-5-2, focusing on a compact shape and quick transitions.

• Key tactical battle: Roma’s Bryan Cristante vs Udinese’s Karlström in midfield—whoever controls the tempo could tilt the game.
• Squad value: Roma’s €406m dwarfs Udinese’s €152.35m, underlining the gulf in resources.
• Possession: Expect Roma to dominate the ball (projected 64% possession), while Udinese look to break on the counter.

Team News: Injuries and Key Absences

Both sides are juggling injury headaches. Roma are without Angeliño (virus), Evan Ferguson (thigh), and possibly Jan Ziółkowski (knee). The biggest blow is Paulo Dybala’s thigh injury—he’s out until after the international break, robbing Roma of their creative spark. Artem Dovbyk is set to lead the line, with Pellegrini (fitness permitting) offering support.

Udinese’s list includes Keinan Davis (muscle), Thomas Kristensen (hamstring doubt), and suspended keeper Maduka Okoye. Nicolò Zaniolo, however, is expected to feature and has been lively in recent fixtures. Both squads have also undergone significant staff changes, with Gasperini and Runjaic each stamping their mark on their respective teams.

AS Roma vs Udinese Prediction: Betting Tips and Stats

Let’s get down to the numbers. Our AS Roma vs Udinese prediction leans heavily in favor of the hosts, and it’s not just sentiment. The odds tell the story: Roma are priced at 1.55 for the win, with a draw at 4.0 and an Udinese upset at 6.1. NerdyTips’ AI gives a home win a trust level of 7.7/10—solid, if not quite a sure thing.

1. Best tip: Home win (1) at 1.55 odds, with a confidence of 7.7/10.
2. Under/over: Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.28, confidence 5.4/10)—expect a tactical, not a goal-fest.
3. Final score prediction: 2-0 to Roma, with a likely 1-0 lead at half-time.

Stats back up these betting tips:

• Roma expected to take 16 shots (5 on target), Udinese 8 (3 on target).
• Corner count: 10 total, with Roma earning 7.
• Discipline: 1 yellow for Roma, 2 for Udinese.
• Head to head: Roma have won the last five meetings, including a 3-0 rout in September 2024.

With Dybala sidelined, Roma may lack some sparkle, but their defensive solidity and home advantage should see them through. Udinese have sprung surprises before (just ask Inter), but the odds—and the stats—suggest their luck may run out here.

Final Thoughts: Where to Put Your Money?

The smart money is on Roma to win and for the game to stay under 3.5 goals. While football is never a certainty (unless you’re betting on the sun rising over the Colosseum), the combination of squad depth, recent form, and head-to-head history puts the Giallorossi firmly in the driver’s seat. If you’re feeling bold, a 2-0 correct score bet could add some extra spice to your Sunday.

Stay tuned for more Serie A betting tips and in-depth previews right here at NerdyTips. Good luck, and may your bets be as well-placed as a Lorenzo Pellegrini free kick!