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Match Prediction

Asteras Tripolis vs AEK Athens FC Prediction

Finished

Asteras T

€11.12m

24 Jan12:30
0 : 1

AEK Athens FC

€74.28m

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Asteras T vs AEK Athens FC Prediction Super League 1

Asteras Tripolis vs AEK Athens FC Prediction: Stats, Odds & Storylines

Welcome to our Asteras Tripolis vs AEK Athens FC prediction for the Super League 1 match on January 24, 2026. Football fans are in for an intriguing evening at Theodoros Kolokotronis Stadium, where underdogs Asteras Tripolis host high-flying AEK Athens FC. If you’re looking for the latest head to head insights, betting odds, and a touch of expert humor, you’re in the right place.

Team Form and Standings: A Tale of Two Seasons

Let’s start with the basics. AEK Athens FC are currently sitting pretty in 2nd place in the Super League standings. Their recent form? Impressive, to say the least—11 goals in their last 5 matches, and they’re looking every bit the title contenders. On the other hand, Asteras Tripolis are stuck in 11th, and their recent run has been less than inspiring. They haven’t tasted victory in their last five games, managing just one goal and failing to score in their last four. If scoring goals was a New Year’s resolution, Asteras are still stuck on January 1st.

Head to Head: History Favors the Visitors

When it comes to the head to head record, the numbers are as one-sided as a Greek myth. AEK Athens FC are undefeated in their last 20 matches against Asteras Tripolis, racking up 15 wins and 5 draws. The last time these two met, AEK Athens cruised to a 3-0 win, and recent history suggests another comfortable outing for the visitors. The betting odds reflect this dominance, with a home win priced at 8.0 and an away win at just 1.43.

Team News: Injuries and Suspensions

  • AEK Athens FC have a laundry list of injuries: L. Rota (muscular), R. Pereyra (broken toe), J. Jønsson (back), Alexander Callens (heart), Zini (knee), Frantzdy Pierrot (unknown), and Zois Karagyris (unspecified). On the suspension front, Petros Mantalos, James Penrice, and Orbelín Pineda are all walking a yellow card tightrope.
  • Asteras Tripolis are missing Spyros Angelidis due to injury, and four players—Konstantinos Pomonis, Dani Fernández, Pepe Castaño, and Konstantinos Triantafyllopoulos—are one booking away from suspension.

Tactics and Coaches: Contrasting Styles

AEK Athens are managed by Matias Almeyda, a coach renowned for his high-pressing, physically dominant style. Almeyda has transformed AEK into a team that suffocates their opponents in their own half, forcing errors and capitalizing on them. His impact has been so profound that he earned a contract extension until 2028 after a league and cup double in his debut season. Asteras Tripolis, meanwhile, have struggled for identity and consistency, often focusing on defensive solidity but lacking the firepower to trouble top sides.

Market Value and Motivation

  • AEK Athens FC squad value: €74.28m
  • Asteras Tripolis squad value: €11.12m

The gulf in resources is clear, and it’s no surprise that the betting odds heavily favor the visitors. Still, football is a game of surprises—just ask Asteras, who held Aris to a goalless draw away despite long odds, or AEK Athens FC, who stunned Fiorentina away from home.

AI Predictions and Betting Tips

Now, let’s get nerdy! Our Asteras Tripolis vs AEK Athens FC prediction leans heavily towards the away win, with a confidence rating of 5.4/10 and odds of 1.43. The standout pick in the total goals market is over 1.5 goals, with a confidence of 5.5/10 and odds of 1.28—suggesting we should see at least two goals in the match.

  1. Final Score Prediction: 0:3 in favor of AEK Athens FC
  2. Half-Time Prediction: 0:1
  3. Ball Possession: 38% for Asteras Tripolis, 62% for AEK Athens FC
  4. Total Shots: 7 for the hosts, 14 for the visitors
  5. On-Target Shots: 2 for Asteras, 5 for AEK Athens
  6. Total Corners: 3 for Asteras, 4 for AEK Athens
  7. Yellow Cards: 3 for Asteras, 2 for AEK Athens

Conclusion: Where Should Your Money Go?

To sum up this Asteras Tripolis vs AEK Athens FC prediction: all signs point to a comfortable away win. The visitors have the form, the history, and the squad value on their side. The best value tip from our AI is over 1.5 total goals, but if you’re feeling bold, backing AEK Athens FC to win to nil could be worth a look. Asteras Tripolis will need more than just home advantage—they’ll need a footballing miracle.

Whether you’re a stats lover, a betting enthusiast, or just here for the story, this fixture promises plenty to talk about. Stay tuned for more expert predictions and betting tips on nerdytips.com!

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AI Predictions
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Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Asteras T vs AEK Athens FC

O1.5 -357

At least 2 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -357
5/10

1x2 Tip

2 -233

AEK Athens FC is expected to win with odds of -233
5/10

Total Goals

Over 1.5 -357

At least 2 goals will be scored in the match
5/10

Both Teams To Score

No -139

At least one team is not expected to score
1/10

Bet Builder Tip

X2&O1.5 -294

Away win/draw and over 1.5 goals
4/10
Both Teams To Score

Half-Time Score

0:1

Correct Score

0:3

Stats Predictions

0.88
xG
2.3
38%
Ball Possession
62%
7
Total Shots
14
2
Shots on Goal
5
3
Shots Off Goal
4
3
Corners
4
3
Yellow Cards
2

Average / Match

1.02
Expected Goals
2.26
2
Total Goals
3.5
1.1
Goals Scored
2.6
0.9
Goals Against
0.9
44%
Possession
55%
10.3
Total Shots
14.3
4
Shots on Goal
5.8
4.3
Shots off Goal
4.8
14.6
Fouls
14.7
5.4
Corners
4.3
1.8
Offsides
2.2
2.5
Yellow Cards
2.86
338
Total Passes
458

Overview Last 10 Matches

3
Wins
8
6
Over 1.5 Goals
9
3
Over 2.5 Goals
7
2
Over 3.5 Goals
5
2
Both Teams Scored
6
0
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
1

Head to Head

Asteras Tripolis
6 - 7 - 17
AEK Athens FC
AEK Athens FC AEK Athens FC 31-Aug-25
1:0
Asteras T Asteras Tripolis
Asteras Tripolis Asteras T 23-Feb-25
0:3
AEK Athens FC AEK Athens FC
AEK Athens FC AEK Athens FC 09-Nov-24
3:0
Asteras T Asteras Tripolis
AEK Athens FC AEK Athens FC 04-Feb-24
4:2
Asteras T Asteras Tripolis
Asteras Tripolis Asteras T 22-Oct-23
0:3
AEK Athens FC AEK Athens FC
AEK Athens FC AEK Athens FC 25-Feb-23
2:0
Asteras T Asteras Tripolis
Asteras Tripolis Asteras T 06-Nov-22
1:1
AEK Athens FC AEK Athens FC
AEK Athens FC AEK Athens FC 06-Mar-22
2:1
Asteras T Asteras Tripolis
Asteras Tripolis Asteras T 11-Dec-21
0:0
AEK Athens FC AEK Athens FC
AEK Athens FC AEK Athens FC 21-Aug-21
0:1
Asteras T Asteras Tripolis

Profile time Recent Matches of Asteras T

01 Feb Levadiakos Levadiakos.
-
Asteras T. Asteras T
24 JanL Asteras T Asteras T.
0:1
AEK Athens F. AEK Athens FC
11 JanL OFI Crete OFI Crete.
4:0
Asteras T. Asteras T
07 JanL OFI Crete OFI Crete.
2:0
Asteras T. Asteras T
20 DecL Asteras T Asteras T.
0:1
Aris. Aris
13 DecD Kifisia Kifisia.
0:0
Asteras T. Asteras T
07 DecD Asteras T Asteras T.
1:1
Levadiakos. Levadiakos
03 DecW Asteras T Asteras T.
5:0
Ilioupoli. Ilioupoli
30 NovW Atromitos Atromitos.
0:1
Asteras T. Asteras T
22 NovD Asteras T Asteras T.
1:1
Panetolikos. Panetolikos

Profile time Recent Matches of AEK Athens FC

24 JanWAsteras T Asteras T.
0:1
AEK Athens F.AEK Athens FC
18 JanWAEK Athens FC AEK Athens F.
4:0
Panathinaiko.Panathinaikos
14 JanLAEK Athens FC AEK Athens F.
0:1
OFI Crete.OFI Crete
11 JanDAris Aris.
1:1
AEK Athens F.AEK Athens FC
21 DecWAEK Athens FC AEK Athens F.
2:1
OFI Crete.OFI Crete
18 DecWAEK Athens FC AEK Athens F.
3:2
Univ. Craiov.Univ. Craiova
14 DecWPanetolikos Panetolikos.
0:5
AEK Athens F.AEK Athens FC
11 DecWSamsunspor Samsunspor.
1:2
AEK Athens F.AEK Athens FC
07 DecWAEK Athens FC AEK Athens F.
4:1
Atromitos.Atromitos
03 DecWAEK Athens FC AEK Athens F.
2:0
OFI Crete.OFI Crete

Greece - Super League 1 Greece - Super League 1

Team Matches Goals Points
1 AEK Athens FC AEK Athens FC18
32-12
44
2 Olympiakos Piraeus Olympiakos17
34-8
42
3 PAOK PAOK17
37-12
41
4 Levadiakos Levadiakos18
44-21
35
5 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos17
24-21
26
6 Volos NFC Volos NFC18
19-25
25
7 Aris Thessalonikis Aris18
16-20
22
8 Kifisia Kifisia17
24-26
19
9 OFI OFI17
20-30
18
10 Atromitos Atromitos18
17-22
17
11 Larisa Larisa18
16-28
16
12 Panetolikos Panetolikos18
15-31
15
13 Asteras Tripolis Asteras17
15-24
13
14 Panserraikos Panserraikos18
9-42
8
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