Match Prediction
Match Prediction
India
ATK M
€7.25m
Bengaluru
€4.07m
Preview
The stage is set for a high-stakes battle in the Indian Super League as league leaders ATK Mohun Bagan host third-placed Bengaluru at the Vivekananda Yuba Bharati Krirangan Stadium. With kickoff at 15:00 GMT on April 12, 2025, this match promises tension, tactical discipline, and—if recent form is anything to go by—a razor-thin margin of victory.
ATK Mohun Bagan sit comfortably atop the table with 56 points, a staggering 18 points clear of Bengaluru. The hosts have been the team to beat this season, blending defensive solidity with moments of attacking brilliance. Bengaluru, meanwhile, have fought hard for their 38 points but remain distant contenders. The odds reflect this gap: a home win is priced at 1.65, while an away victory sits at a distant 4.5. Even the draw at 3.8 feels like a long shot, though not impossible in a league where surprises lurk.
Our AI’s top pick for this match is Under 3.5 Goals at 1.39 odds, and here’s why. While the ISL has seen 55.4% of matches finish with over 2.5 goals, only 32.8% exceed 3.5. The numbers suggest a tighter, more cautious game—especially when you consider the last meeting between these sides ended in a 1-0 win for ATK Mohun Bagan. Today’s predicted scoreline? Another 1-0 grind, with a 0-0 stalemate likely at halftime.
Dig deeper, and the stats back this up. Bengaluru’s attack has been inconsistent, averaging just 8 total shots and 2 on target per game. ATK Mohun Bagan, while dominant (16 shots, 5 on target), prefer control over chaos. With only 9 total corners expected and just 4 yellow cards split between the sides, this won’t be a frantic end-to-end thriller. It’ll be chess, not checkers.
Money talks in football, and ATK Mohun Bagan’s €7.25m squad value dwarfs Bengaluru’s €4.07m. That financial muscle translates to depth, quality, and the ability to grind out results when it matters. Bengaluru’s underdog spirit is admirable, but the cold hard truth is this: home teams win 44.3% of ISL matches, while away sides manage just 30.5%. Add ATK’s expected 58% possession and superior shot metrics, and the 1X double chance at 1.17 odds feels almost safe.
History repeats itself, and in this fixture, that means a low-scoring affair. The Both Teams to Score market only lands 56.3% of the time in the ISL, and with ATK’s defensive record, Bengaluru will struggle to break through. Meanwhile, the league-wide trend of 76.9% matches seeing over 1.5 goals makes the under 3.5 pick even sharper—you’re getting better odds without sacrificing too much confidence.
For bettors, this isn’t the game to chase fireworks. The value lies in patience and discipline—just like the two teams will show on the pitch. Under 3.5 Goals is the standout pick, while a 1-0 ATK Mohun Bagan win mirrors recent history. Bengaluru will fight, but the gap in quality and consistency should tell. Whether you’re backing the stats or the story, this ATK Mohun Bagan vs Bengaluru prediction points to one thing: a tactical, tight, and ultimately predictable outcome.
Read More
Meaningless match!
U3.5 -256
No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -2561X -588
ATK M to win or drawUnder 3.5 -256
No more than 3 goals will be scored in the matchNo 100
At least one team is not expected to score1X&U4.5 -238
Home win/draw and under 4.5 goals
1:0
|
|
9
-
2
-
2
|
|
 ATK M |
12-Apr-25
2:1
| Bengaluru  |
| ATK M |
27-Jan-25
1:0
| Bengaluru |
| Bengaluru |
28-Sep-24
3:0
| ATK M |
| Bengaluru |
11-Apr-24
0:4
| ATK M |
| ATK M |
27-Sep-23
1:0
| Bengaluru |
| ATK M |
18-Mar-23
2:2
| Bengaluru |
| ATK M |
05-Feb-23
1:2
| Bengaluru |
| Bengaluru |
03-Dec-22
0:1
| ATK M |
| ATK M |
27-Feb-22
2:0
| Bengaluru |
| Bengaluru |
16-Dec-21
3:3
| ATK M |
India - Indian Super League| Team | Matches | Goals | Points | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
ATK Mohun Baga | 24 | 47-16 | 56 |
| 2 |
Goa | 24 | 43-27 | 48 |
| 3 |
Bengaluru | 24 | 40-31 | 38 |
| 4 |
NorthEast Unit | 24 | 46-29 | 38 |
| 5 |
Jamshedpur | 24 | 37-43 | 38 |
| 6 |
Mumbai City | 24 | 29-28 | 36 |
| 7 |
Odisha | 24 | 44-37 | 33 |
| 8 |
Kerala Blaster | 24 | 33-37 | 29 |
| 9 |
East Bengal | 24 | 27-33 | 28 |
| 10 |
Minerva Punjab | 24 | 34-38 | 28 |
| 11 |
Chennaiyin | 24 | 34-39 | 27 |
| 12 |
Hyderabad | 24 | 22-47 | 18 |
| 13 |
Mohammedan | 24 | 12-43 | 13 |
