Atlas
€26.45m
Guadalaja
€64.05m
Preview
Sunday night in Liga MX brings a tantalizing mid-table tussle as Atlas host Guadalajara Chivas at Estadio Jalisco. With just three points separating these historic rivals—Chivas perched in 10th (20 pts) and Atlas languishing in 13th (17 pts)—this isn’t just about bragging rights. It’s a pivotal momentum swing in a season where neither side can afford to blink.
Chivas, with their €64.05m squad—a figure that could fund a small island—are expected to dominate possession (54% projected). Their technical quality often shines through, but Atlas’ relentless press (46% possession) has a knack for disrupting rhythm. The home side’s aggression could force turnovers in dangerous areas, though Chivas’ superior efficiency (3 shots on target from 10 attempts vs. Atlas’ 4 from 14) might prove decisive.
Set pieces loom large. With 11 total corners projected (Atlas: 6, Chivas: 5), aerial battles could tilt the balance. Both teams average two yellow cards per match, so expect fiery challenges without spiraling into chaos. The last H2H (0-0 in December 2.234) was a defensive stalemate, but recent form hints at more adventure this time. Chivas’ stunning 3.3 upset over Club América showcased their attacking verve, while Atlas’ gritty 0-0 draw with Pachuca underlined their resilience.
NerdyTips’ AI gives a modest 1.8/10 confidence rating to Chivas’ away win (2.23 odds), reflecting how tight this derby could be. The draw (3.15) whispers plausibility, but the smarter play is backing Chivas to score at 1.25 odds (5.9/10 confidence). Their attacking pedigree rarely falters, even on the road. Over 2.5 goals (1.75 odds) also appeals—Liga MX’s 46.5% hit rate for high-scoring games aligns with our predicted 1-2 scoreline (HT: 0-1).
Home wins edge away victories in Liga MX (41% vs. 25.8%), but derbies defy logic. Atlas’ budget (€26.45m) is a fraction of Chivas’, yet their grit is priceless. The hosts will lean on Estadio Jalisco’s roar, but Chivas arrive buoyed by their América scalp. BTTS (49.5% league-wide) and +1.5 goals (69.1%) trends suggest action at both ends.
One thing’s certain: this Atlas vs Guadalajara Chivas prediction hinges on who blinks first. Will Chivas’ class tell, or can Atlas turn their underdog status into fuel? Tune in Sunday—it’s Liga MX at its unpredictable best.
Sunday night in Liga MX brings a tantalizing mid-table tussle as Atlas host Guadalajara Chivas at Estadio Jalisco. With just three points separating these historic rivals—Chivas perched in 10th (20 pts) and Atlas languishing in 13th (17 pts)—this isn’t just about bragging rights. It’s a pivotal momentum swing in a season where neither side can afford to blink.
Chivas, with their €64.05m squad—a figure that could fund a small island—are expected to dominate possession (54% projected). Their technical quality often shines through, but Atlas’ relentless press (46% possession) has a knack for disrupting rhythm. The home side’s aggression could force turnovers in dangerous areas, though Chivas’ superior efficiency (3 shots on target from 10 attempts vs. Atlas’ 4 from 14) might prove decisive.
Set pieces loom large. With 11 total corners projected (Atlas: 6, Chivas: 5), aerial battles could tilt the balance. Both teams average two yellow cards per match, so expect fiery challenges without spiraling into chaos. The last H2H (0-0 in December 2.234) was a defensive stalemate, but recent form hints at more adventure this time. Chivas’ stunning 3.3 upset over Club América showcased their attacking verve, while Atlas’ gritty 0-0 draw with Pachuca underlined their resilience.
NerdyTips’ AI gives a modest 1.8/10 confidence rating to Chivas’ away win (2.23 odds), reflecting how tight this derby could be. The draw (3.15) whispers plausibility, but the smarter play is backing Chivas to score at 1.25 odds (5.9/10 confidence). Their attacking pedigree rarely falters, even on the road. Over 2.5 goals (1.75 odds) also appeals—Liga MX’s 46.5% hit rate for high-scoring games aligns with our predicted 1-2 scoreline (HT: 0-1).
Home wins edge away victories in Liga MX (41% vs. 25.8%), but derbies defy logic. Atlas’ budget (€26.45m) is a fraction of Chivas’, yet their grit is priceless. The hosts will lean on Estadio Jalisco’s roar, but Chivas arrive buoyed by their América scalp. BTTS (49.5% league-wide) and +1.5 goals (69.1%) trends suggest action at both ends.
One thing’s certain: this Atlas vs Guadalajara Chivas prediction hinges on who blinks first. Will Chivas’ class tell, or can Atlas turn their underdog status into fuel? Tune in Sunday—it’s Liga MX at its unpredictable best.
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AS -400
Guadalaja is expected to score at least 1 goal with odds of -4002 123
Guadalaja is expected to win with odds of 123Over 2.5 101
At least 3 goals will be scored in the matchYes -132
Both teams are expected to scoreX2&O1.5 -161
Away win/draw and over 1.5 goals
1:2
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8
-
9
-
13
|
|
Atlas |
20-Apr-25
1:1
| Guadalaja ![]() |
Atlas |
28-Dec-24
0:0
| Guadalaja ![]() |
Guadalaja |
22-Nov-24
1:2
| Atlas ![]() |
Guadalaja |
06-Oct-24
2:3
| Atlas ![]() |
Atlas |
28-Apr-24
0:1
| Guadalaja ![]() |
Guadalaja |
25-Mar-24
0:0
| Atlas ![]() |
Guadalaja |
24-Mar-24
0:0
| Atlas ![]() |
Guadalaja |
08-Oct-23
4:1
| Atlas ![]() |
Guadalaja |
15-May-23
1:0
| Atlas ![]() |
Atlas |
12-May-23
1:0
| Guadalaja ![]() |
Mexico - Liga MX| Team | Matches | Goals | Points | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Toluca |
17 | 41-22 | 37 |
| 2 |
Club America |
17 | 34-10 | 34 |
| 3 |
Cruz Azul |
17 | 26-16 | 33 |
| 4 |
Tigres UANL |
17 | 24-14 | 33 |
| 5 |
Necaxa |
17 | 36-29 | 31 |
| 6 |
Leon |
17 | 24-21 | 30 |
| 7 |
Monterrey |
17 | 32-23 | 28 |
| 8 |
Pachuca |
17 | 29-23 | 28 |
| 9 |
FC Juarez |
17 | 16-21 | 24 |
| 10 |
U.N.A.M. - Pum |
17 | 23-26 | 21 |
| 11 |
Guadalajara Ch |
17 | 18-21 | 21 |
| 12 |
Club Queretaro |
17 | 17-24 | 20 |
| 13 |
Club Tijuana |
17 | 29-35 | 19 |
| 14 |
Atlas |
17 | 25-32 | 18 |
| 15 |
Atletico San L |
17 | 20-33 | 18 |
| 16 |
Mazatlán |
17 | 16-26 | 17 |
| 17 |
Puebla |
17 | 12-25 | 9 |
| 18 |
Santos Laguna |
17 | 15-36 | 7 |