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Match Prediction

Atletico Tucuman vs San Lorenzo Prediction

Finished

Atletico

€15.98m

20 Oct20:15
1 : 2

San Lorenzo

€35.08m

Preview

Atletico  vs San Lorenzo Prediction Liga Profesional Argentina

Atletico Tucuman vs San Lorenzo Prediction: Stats, Odds & AI Tips

Welcome to our Atletico Tucuman vs San Lorenzo prediction for the Liga Profesional Argentina, Clausura round, set for October 21, 2025, at Estadio Monumental José Fierro. Whether you’re a casual fan or a seasoned bettor, this preview blends key match facts, stats, and AI-powered predictions to help you make informed choices. Let’s break down what to expect when these two sides meet in San Miguel de Tucumán.

Match Context and Recent Form

Both Atletico Tucuman and San Lorenzo come into this fixture with plenty to play for. As of October 16, 2025, the hosts sit 7th in the Clausura standings, just behind San Lorenzo in 6th. Recent form has been mixed for both sides:

  • Atletico Tucuman: 2 wins and 3 losses in their last five, including an impressive 2-0 win over River Plate and a memorable 2-1 away victory at Boca Juniors.
  • San Lorenzo: 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 defeats in their last five, highlighted by a resilient 0-0 draw away at River Plate and a 2-0 win over Godoy Cruz.

Head to Head and Historical Insights

Looking at the head to head record, San Lorenzo have the upper hand with 6 wins from 13 meetings since 2009, while Atletico Tucuman have managed 3 victories and 4 draws. The average number of total goals in these encounters is a modest 2.15, suggesting that these matches are often tight and hard-fought. Their most recent meeting saw San Lorenzo win 3-1, but the odds for that game were stacked against them, proving anything can happen when these teams meet.

Tactics, Team News, and Key Players

Tactically, Atletico Tucuman under Lucas Pusineri tend to play direct football, often seeking their target man and not shying away from physical duels to disrupt the opposition’s rhythm. Expect them to try and make the game “dirty” and capitalize on set pieces. San Lorenzo, now led by Damián Ayude after the passing of Miguel Ángel Russo, generally prefer to keep the ball on the ground and build up play with patience.

  • Atletico Tucuman: Leandro Díaz leads the attack with 3 goals in 11 appearances, supported by Bajamich, Nicola, Ruiz Rodríguez, and Laméndola. Keeper Matías Mansilla has conceded 12 in 11 games. Injuries to J. Infante and R. Tesuri (both cruciate ligament tears) and G. Brandán (calf) could impact squad depth.
  • San Lorenzo: Alexis Cuello is the main goal threat with 3 goals in 11 games. Other attacking options include Cerutti, Vombergar, Reali, and Herazo, while Jhohan Romaña anchors the defense. Facundo Altamirano is likely to start in goal.

Despite San Lorenzo’s higher squad value (€35.08m vs. €15.98m for Tucuman), recent instability off the pitch—including financial issues and boardroom drama—could weigh on their performance.

AI Predictions, Betting Odds, and Best Bets

Now, let’s turn to the numbers. The bookmakers set the odds at 2.4 for a home win, 2.96 for a draw, and 3.16 for an away win. Our AI analysis leans heavily towards a low-scoring affair:

  • Best Tip: Under 2.5 total goals (odds: 1.35, trust score: 8.0/10). Both teams have struggled to score freely, and their head to head history supports a tight contest.
  • 1x2 Prediction: Draw (X) with a confidence level of 2.0 and odds of 2.82. The expected balance in possession (52% for Tucuman, 48% for San Lorenzo) and similar shot counts (13 vs. 12) reinforce the likelihood of a stalemate.
  • Correct Score: 0:0, with both teams predicted to keep things tight, especially in the first half.

Supporting stats include a projected 5 shots on target for the home side and just 2 for the visitors, with 9 corners and 2 yellow cards apiece. Both managers are likely to prioritize structure over risk, given their recent results and the importance of every point at this stage of the Clausura.

Final Thoughts and Betting Advice

For those looking for the safest bet, our Atletico Tucuman vs San Lorenzo prediction is under 2.5 goals, backed by both historical data and current form. The draw also offers value given the close match-up, and a 0-0 scoreline is far from unlikely. With both sides struggling for consistency and goals, expect a tactical battle rather than a goal fest.

  • Main prediction: Under 2.5 goals (trust score: 8.0/10)
  • Alternative: Draw (X) in the 1x2 market

Stay tuned for more expert insights and AI-driven tips on nerdytips.com, and enjoy the chess match that awaits at Estadio Monumental José Fierro.

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AI Predictions
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Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Atletico vs San Lorenzo

U2.5 -286

No more than 2 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -286
8/10

1x2 Tip

X 182

The match is expected to end in a draw
2/10

Total Goals

Under 2.5 -286

No more than 2 goals will be scored in the match
8/10

Both Teams To Score

No -192

At least one team is not expected to score
4/10

Bet Builder Tip

X2&U3.5 -123

Away win/draw and under 3.5 goals
1/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

0:0

Stats Predictions

52%
Ball Possession
48%
13
Total Shots
12
5
Shots on Goal
2
5
Shots Off Goal
6
5
Corners
4
2
Yellow Cards
2

Average / Match

1.28
Expected Goals
1.23
2.5
Total Goals
1.6
1.2
Goals Scored
0.7
1.3
Goals Against
0.9
46%
Possession
50%
12.9
Total Shots
13
4.9
Shots on Goal
3.4
5
Shots off Goal
6.6
12.3
Fouls
14.4
5.2
Corners
4.9
1.3
Offsides
1
2.89
Yellow Cards
2.33
0.11
Red Cards
0.14
336
Total Passes
313

Overview Last 10 Matches

3
Wins
3
8
Over 1.5 Goals
5
4
Over 2.5 Goals
2
3
Over 3.5 Goals
0
3
Both Teams Scored
3
0
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
1

Head to Head

Atletico Tucuman
3 - 4 - 4
San Lorenzo
San Lorenzo San Lorenzo 12-Apr-25
1:0
Atletico Atletico Tucuman
San Lorenzo San Lorenzo 10-Aug-24
0:1
Atletico Atletico Tucuman
Atletico Tucuman Atletico 09-Apr-23
1:3
San Lorenzo San Lorenzo
San Lorenzo San Lorenzo 10-Sep-22
1:1
Atletico Atletico Tucuman
San Lorenzo San Lorenzo 03-Apr-22
1:1
Atletico Atletico Tucuman
Atletico Tucuman Atletico 02-Oct-21
0:0
San Lorenzo San Lorenzo
Atletico Tucuman Atletico 30-Dec-20
1:3
San Lorenzo San Lorenzo
Atletico Tucuman Atletico 24-Nov-19
2:2
San Lorenzo San Lorenzo
San Lorenzo San Lorenzo 18-Nov-18
0:2
Atletico Atletico Tucuman
San Lorenzo San Lorenzo 30-Nov-17
2:0
Atletico Atletico Tucuman

Profile time Recent Matches of Atletico

28 JanD Atl. Tucuman Atl. Tucum.
0:0
Central C. Central C
24 JanL Rivadavia Rivadavia.
2:1
Atl. Tucum. Atl. Tucuman

Profile time Recent Matches of San Lorenzo

27 JanWGimnasia M. Gimnasia M.
0:1
San Lorenz.San Lorenzo
23 JanLSan Lorenzo San Lorenz.
2:3
Lanus.Lanus

Argentina - Liga Profesional Argentina Argentina - Liga Profesional Argentina

Team Matches Goals Points
1 Rosario Central Rosario16
18-8
31
2 Lanus Lanus16
20-13
30
3 Deportivo Riestra Deportivo16
19-12
28
4 Velez Sarsfield Velez16
19-12
26
5 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo16
13-11
24
6 River Plate River Plate16
20-15
22
7 Gimnasia L.P. Gimnasia L.P.16
14-16
22
8 Talleres Cordoba Talleres16
9-12
21
9 Sarmiento Junin Sarmiento16
13-17
20
10 San Martin S.J. San Martin16
13-16
19
11 Independiente Independiente16
14-13
18
12 Atletico Tucuman Atletico16
17-22
18
13 Instituto Cordoba Instituto16
9-17
16
14 Godoy Cruz Godoy Cruz16
11-19
12
15 Platense Platense16
12-25
12
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