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Match Prediction

Austin vs San Jose Earthquakes Prediction

Austin

€46.45m

30 Aug20:30
3 : 1

San J

€34.33m

Preview

Austin vs San J Prediction Major League Soccer

Austin vs San Jose Earthquakes Prediction: Odds, Stats & Storylines

Welcome to your essential Austin vs San Jose Earthquakes prediction for the Major League Soccer match scheduled on August 31, 2025, at Q2 Stadium. Whether you’re a seasoned bettor or a casual fan, we’ve gathered the latest stats, betting odds, and tactical insights to help you make sense of this intriguing Western Conference meeting.

Team News, Tactics, and Recent Form

This fixture has a knack for drama—five of the last six head to head meetings between Austin and San Jose Earthquakes have ended in draws, with Austin claiming the only win. If history is any guide, expect a tight contest, but both teams have undergone significant changes since their last encounter.

  • Austin FC enters a new era under head coach Nico Estévez, who took the reins after Josh Wolff’s departure in late 2024. The club has been busy in the transfer market, bringing in USMNT striker Brandon Vázquez and Albanian forward Myrto Uzuni—both record signings. Ilie Sánchez and Besard Sabovic also add depth to the midfield, but the loss of creative engine Sebastián Driussi to River Plate and the departure of captain Alex Ring could impact their build-up play.
  • At home, Austin FC is a tough nut to crack, undefeated in 80% of their last 30 home matches. However, they’ve also developed a habit of sharing points, with seven draws in their last 14 MLS home games and all of their last three ending level. Their recent form reads two wins, three draws, and one defeat in their last six league outings, but they’re currently winless in three.
  • San Jose Earthquakes are now under the experienced eye of Bruce Arena, who’s brought in proven veterans like Chicho Arango and Josef Martínez to boost the attack. The midfield has been reinforced with Ian Harkes and Mark-Anthony Kaye, while Dave Romney shores up the defense. Despite these signings, San Jose’s away form is patchy—losing 53% of their last 15 on the road and failing to win in eight of their last ten away games.
  • San Jose’s defense remains a concern, conceding an average of 1.83 goals per match in their last six. They tend to play with less of the ball, averaging just 25.83% possession in recent matches, but have shown flashes of attacking promise thanks to in-form players like Daniel Munie, Preston Judd, and Cristian Espinoza.

Head to Head and Match Context

The last time these two met, Austin edged a 4-3 thriller. Both teams have shown they can find the net, but neither has been watertight at the back. Austin’s squad is currently valued at €46.45m, giving them a financial edge over San Jose’s €34.33m. With both teams pushing for playoff spots, expect a competitive, high-stakes encounter.

Betting Odds and AI Predictions

  • Current betting odds favor a home win for Austin at 1.83, with a draw at 4.1 and a San Jose Earthquakes win at 3.65. The 1X double chance (home win or draw) is priced at 1.3, making it a popular choice for cautious bettors.
  • Our AI analysis gives the 1X tip a trust score of 6.1/10, reflecting Austin’s strong home record and San Jose’s struggles on the road. The 1x2 prediction leans towards an Austin win, with a confidence level of 4.8 and odds of 2.0.
  • For total goals, over 2.5 is the standout pick (trust: 6.1, odds: 1.56), supported by both teams’ recent attacking output and defensive vulnerabilities.
  • The expected final score is 3:2 in favor of Austin, with a predicted 1:1 at halftime. Both sides are forecasted to have 12 shots and 4 on target, suggesting a lively, end-to-end contest.
  • Possession is expected to slightly favor Austin (54% to 46%), and corners are predicted to be even at four apiece. Expect a bit more discipline from the hosts, with just one yellow card forecasted for Austin compared to three for San Jose Earthquakes.

Key Takeaways and Best Bets

  1. Austin vs San Jose Earthquakes prediction: Home win or draw (1X) is the safest bet, given Austin’s home form and San Jose’s away woes.
  2. Over 2.5 total goals is well-supported by both teams’ attacking strengths and recent high-scoring meetings.
  3. If you’re feeling bold, backing Austin for the outright win at 2.0 offers solid value, but the draw can’t be ruled out given the head to head history.

In summary, this Austin vs San Jose Earthquakes prediction points towards a high-scoring, closely fought battle at Q2 Stadium. With both teams eager to boost their playoff credentials, expect goals, drama, and perhaps another twist in this increasingly unpredictable rivalry.

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AI Predictions
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Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Austin vs San J

1X -333

Austin to win or draw with odds of -333
6/10

1x2 Tip

1 100

Austin is expected to win with odds of -120
4/10

Total Goals

Over 2.5 -179

At least 3 goals will be scored in the match
6/10

Both Teams To Score

Yes -200

Both teams are expected to score
5/10

Bet Builder Tip

1X&O1.5 -208

Home win/draw and over 1.5 goals
4/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

3:2

Stats Predictions

54%
Ball Possession
46%
12
Total Shots
12
4
Shots on Goal
4
4
Shots Off Goal
5
4
Corners
4
1
Yellow Cards
3

Average / Match

0.95
Expected Goals
0.82
3.1
Total Goals
3.4
1.7
Goals Scored
1.5
1.4
Goals Against
1.9
50%
Possession
53%
10.9
Total Shots
13
4.2
Shots on Goal
4.2
3.7
Shots off Goal
6
11.8
Fouls
10.6
4.1
Corners
4.6
2
Offsides
1.4
2.11
Yellow Cards
3.44
0
Red Cards
0.22
444
Total Passes
422

Overview Last 10 Matches

4
Wins
2
9
Over 1.5 Goals
10
6
Over 2.5 Goals
8
4
Over 3.5 Goals
4
7
Both Teams Scored
10
0
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Austin
1 - 7 - 2
San Jose Earthquakes
San Jose Earthquakes San J 09-Jul-25
2:2
Austin Austin
San Jose Earthquakes San J 26-May-24
1:1
Austin Austin
Austin Austin 07-Apr-24
4:3
San J San Jose Earthquakes
San Jose Earthquakes San J 22-Oct-23
1:1
Austin Austin
Austin Austin 30-Apr-23
2:2
San J San Jose Earthquakes
Austin Austin 07-Aug-22
3:3
San J San Jose Earthquakes
San Jose Earthquakes San J 04-Apr-22
2:2
Austin Austin
San Jose Earthquakes San J 21-Oct-21
4:0
Austin Austin
Austin Austin 19-Sep-21
3:4
San J San Jose Earthquakes

USA - Major League Soccer USA - Major League Soccer

Team Matches Goals Points
1 San Diego San Diego34
64-41
63
2 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver34
66-38
63
3 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC34
65-40
60
4 Minnesota United FC Minnesota United34
56-39
58
5 Seattle Sounders Seattle34
58-48
55
6 Austin Austin34
37-45
47
7 FC Dallas FC Dallas34
52-55
44
8 Portland Timbers Portland34
41-48
44
9 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake34
38-49
41
10 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose34
60-63
41
11 Colorado Rapids Colorado34
44-56
41
12 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo34
43-56
37
13 St. Louis City St. Louis City34
44-58
32
14 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles34
46-66
30
15 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas34
46-70
28
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