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Match Prediction

Austin vs St. Louis City Prediction

Austin

€46.45m

4 Oct20:30
1 : 3

Preview

Austin vs St. Louis City Prediction Major League Soccer

Austin vs St. Louis City Prediction: Goals on the Menu at Q2 Stadium?

Football fans, mark your calendars for October 5, 2025, as Austin FC welcomes St. Louis City SC to Q2 Stadium in a late-night Major League Soccer fixture. Our Austin vs St. Louis City prediction takes center stage, as both teams enter Matchday 38 with plenty to play for—at least for the hosts. With playoff hopes, attacking intent, and recent head-to-head drama, this encounter promises more than just points on the line.

Form, Tactics, and Team News: What to Expect on the Pitch

Let’s set the scene. Austin FC, currently sitting 7th in the Western Conference, have their playoff destiny in their own hands. A win or even a draw against St. Louis City will secure their spot in the Audi 2025 MLS Cup Playoffs. The visitors, by contrast, have already been mathematically eliminated, but pride and a shot at spoiling Austin’s party will drive them.

  • Recent Form: Austin have won 3, drawn 1, and lost 2 of their last six matches. Their home form is even more impressive: unbeaten in three, conceding just one goal per game at Q2 Stadium.
  • St. Louis City’s struggles: Two wins from their last six, conceding nearly two goals per match. Despite defensive frailties, they remain aggressive, averaging over 15 shots per game.
  • Head to Head: Since 2023, these sides have met six times. St. Louis City holds the edge with three wins to Austin’s one, and two draws. Their last meeting saw Austin snatch a 1-0 away win, despite St. Louis City controlling possession and peppering the goal.

Injury and suspension news could play a role. Austin are without key forward Brandon Vazquez and creative fullback Mikkel Desler. St. Louis City are missing Cedric Teuchert and Henry Kessler. Both teams rely heavily on their goalkeepers: Brad Stuver (Austin) and Roman Bürki (St. Louis City) have been among the league’s busiest shot-stoppers.

  • Possession forecast: Austin 52%, St. Louis City 48%
  • Shots: Austin 10 (4 on target), St. Louis City 14 (4 on target)
  • Corners: 4 each
  • Yellow cards: 2 each

Austin’s tactical discipline at home has been their strength, but they haven’t kept a clean sheet in 11 matches. St. Louis City, meanwhile, create plenty but struggle to convert—highlighted by their league-leading nine penalties conceded this season and difficulty turning possession into goals.

Betting Tips, AI Predictions, and Final Score Forecast

Now, let’s get to what you’re here for: the best Austin vs St. Louis City prediction and betting tips, as generated by our trusted AI at NerdyTips.

  1. Over 2.5 Goals: With both teams’ defensive struggles and attacking output, our AI strongly recommends betting on over 2.5 goals (odds 1.57, trust rating 6.5/10). The stats back this up: St. Louis City average 1.67 goals scored and 1.83 conceded per match, while Austin average 1.1 scored and 1.29 conceded. Expect at least three goals in this one.
  2. 1x2 Market: For the bold, the AI’s best 1x2 bet is an away win for St. Louis City (odds 3.38, trust score 1.9/10). While Austin are favorites at home (odds 2.01), St. Louis City’s attacking intent and recent head to head record could tip the scales.
  3. Correct Score: The predicted final score is 2:3 in favor of St. Louis City, with a 1:1 first half. This aligns perfectly with the over 2.5 goals tip and the expectation of an open contest.

Here’s what the numbers suggest:

  • Austin’s market value: €46.45m; St. Louis City: €39.63m
  • Both teams expected to have 4 shots on target
  • Neither side is likely to dominate possession or corners

The head to head history leans toward St. Louis City, but Austin’s home form and playoff motivation are strong factors. Still, with both teams’ leaky defenses and attacking approach, the safest Austin vs St. Louis City prediction remains over 2.5 goals. If you’re looking for a riskier play, consider the away win, but keep in mind the trust rating is modest.

Conclusion: Expect Goals, Expect Drama

In summary, this match is set up for excitement. Austin need a result to reach the playoffs, while St. Louis City have nothing to lose and plenty of attacking flair. Our top Austin vs St. Louis City prediction is over 2.5 goals, with a potential 2:3 away win on the cards. For punters and fans alike, this is one to watch—and one to bet on with goals in mind.

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AI Predictions
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Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Austin vs St. Louis City

O2.5 -175

At least 3 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -175
6/10

1x2 Tip

2 238

St. Louis City is expected to win with odds of 238
1/10

Total Goals

Over 2.5 -175

At least 3 goals will be scored in the match
6/10

Both Teams To Score

Yes -189

Both teams are expected to score
6/10

Bet Builder Tip

X2&O1.5 102

Away win/draw and over 1.5 goals
1/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

2:3

Stats Predictions

52%
Ball Possession
48%
10
Total Shots
14
4
Shots on Goal
4
3
Shots Off Goal
5
4
Corners
4
2
Yellow Cards
2

Average / Match

0.91
Expected Goals
1.52
3.3
Total Goals
3.6
1.6
Goals Scored
1.7
1.7
Goals Against
1.9
48%
Possession
49%
8.9
Total Shots
15.3
3.4
Shots on Goal
5.4
3
Shots off Goal
6.1
10.8
Fouls
11.7
4.5
Corners
4.8
2.5
Offsides
1.6
2.13
Yellow Cards
1.89
0
Red Cards
0.11
403
Total Passes
404

Overview Last 10 Matches

4
Wins
3
10
Over 1.5 Goals
10
8
Over 2.5 Goals
8
4
Over 3.5 Goals
5
9
Both Teams Scored
8
0
Unexpected Wins
1
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Austin
1 - 1 - 3
St. Louis City
St. Louis City St. L 30-Mar-25
0:1
Austin Austin
St. Louis City St. L 14-Apr-24
1:0
Austin Austin
Austin Austin 10-Mar-24
2:2
St. L St. Louis City
St. Louis City St. L 21-Aug-23
6:3
Austin Austin
Austin Austin 26-Feb-23
2:3
St. L St. Louis City

USA - Major League Soccer USA - Major League Soccer

Team Matches Goals Points
1 San Diego San Diego34
64-41
63
2 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver34
66-38
63
3 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC34
65-40
60
4 Minnesota United FC Minnesota United34
56-39
58
5 Seattle Sounders Seattle34
58-48
55
6 Austin Austin34
37-45
47
7 FC Dallas FC Dallas34
52-55
44
8 Portland Timbers Portland34
41-48
44
9 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake34
38-49
41
10 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose34
60-63
41
11 Colorado Rapids Colorado34
44-56
41
12 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo34
43-56
37
13 St. Louis City St. Louis City34
44-58
32
14 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles34
46-66
30
15 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas34
46-70
28
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