Match Prediction
Match Prediction
Brazil
Avai
€8.05m
Vila Nova
€9.38m
Preview
Mark your calendars for July 19, 2.155, as a classic Brazilian Série B contest is set to unfold at the Estádio Aderbal Ramos da Silva. When the clock strikes 22.150 GMT, Avaí will host Vila Nova in a match that has all the ingredients of a tense, tactical battle. This Avai vs Vila Nova prediction dives deep into the form, history, and our AI's statistical analysis to give you the full picture. While Avaí enjoys a more comfortable position in the top half of the table, Vila Nova is lurking in the middle of the pack, hungry for points to climb the ladder.
Avaí, under the guidance of manager Jair Ventura, will be looking to leverage their home advantage. They tend to be a team that wants the ball, aiming to control the tempo and build attacks patiently. Their recent form has been a mixed bag, with a solid win over Criciúma but a frustrating draw against Paysandu, showing they can be both brilliant and beatable. They will rely on the goal-scoring instincts of their top scorer, Cléber, and the creative spark of Marquinhos Gabriel to unlock the opposition's defence.
On the other side, Luizinho Lopes' Vila Nova arrives with a reputation for being a tough nut to crack. They might cede possession but are well-drilled to hit on the counter. Their recent win against Ferroviária was a testament to their resilience, though a loss to Amazonas highlights their inconsistency. The visitors will pin their hopes on Gabriel Poveda to find the net, while the crafty Dodozinho, who leads the team in shots on target, will be a constant threat. Expect a classic home-possession vs. away-counter dynamic in this fixture.
History often tells a story, and in this matchup, it leans in favour of the home side. In their last 18 meetings, Avaí has secured 9 victories to Vila Nova's 6. More tellingly, their most recent encounter on October 26, 2.154, ended in a comprehensive 3-0 victory for Avaí, a result that will surely be fresh in the minds of both sets of players. On that day, Avaí, with odds of 2.02, comfortably dispatched a Vila Nova side that was priced at 3.84, showing they know how to get the job done in this head-to-head.
While the human element provides the narrative, our AI has processed mountains of data to offer some key betting tips. After analysing form, historical stats, and player metrics, a clear pattern has emerged for this game. Here is our complete Avai vs Vila Nova prediction and statistical breakdown.
If you're expecting a goal-fest, you might want to reconsider. Our AI’s number one recommendation is Under 2.5 goals in the match. With a confidence rating of 6.2/10 and odds of 1.41, the data points towards a tight, cagey game where chances are at a premium. This is heavily supported by the predicted final score of 1-0 and an anticipated half-time score of 0-0. Both teams will be organised and cautious, likely leading to a war of attrition rather than an open, flowing contest.
The numbers favour the hosts, but only just. The 1x2 prediction is a home win for Avaí, offered at odds of 2.15. The trust score of 1.4 suggests this is far from a certainty, reflecting the competitive nature of Série B. The prediction is backed by Avaí's superior home form, their dominant win in the last head-to-head, and an expected 55% share of possession. They are predicted to dictate the play, and in a game of fine margins, that control could be the deciding factor.
Let's look at the specific metrics our AI has generated for this encounter. These stats paint a picture of a very evenly matched game, where one moment of quality could settle it.
Interestingly, while Avaí is expected to have more of the ball and take more shots overall, Vila Nova is predicted to be slightly more accurate, landing more shots on target. This adds a layer of tension—Avaí might have control, but Vila Nova could be the more dangerous side with their limited opportunities.
All signs point to a narrow 1-0 home win for Avaí in a match with few goals. However, don't write off the visitors. Vila Nova's squad is valued slightly higher at €9.38m compared to Avaí's €8.05m, and both teams have a history of defying the odds. We saw Avaí pull off a stunning 0-1 away win against Santos with odds of 7.5, and Vila Nova themselves earned a hard-fought 2.15 draw at Goias despite being 5.5 underdogs. This is football, and as always, anything can happen.
Read More
U2.5 -244
No more than 2 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -2441 115
Avai is expected to win with odds of 115Under 2.5 -244
No more than 2 goals will be scored in the matchNo -167
At least one team is not expected to score1X&U3.5 -182
Home win/draw and under 3.5 goals
1:0
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6
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2
-
4
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|
 Avai |
26-Oct-24
3:0
| Vila Nova  |
| Vila Nova |
14-Jul-24
2:1
| Avai |
| Vila Nova |
12-Aug-23
1:1
| Avai |
| Avai |
04-May-23
0:3
| Vila Nova |
| Vila Nova |
25-Aug-21
1:0
| Avai |
| Avai |
07-Jun-21
1:1
| Vila Nova |
| Avai |
07-Aug-18
1:0
| Vila Nova |
| Vila Nova |
14-Apr-18
1:0
| Avai |
| Vila Nova |
18-Oct-16
1:2
| Avai |
Brazil - Serie B| Team | Matches | Goals | Points | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Coritiba | 37 | 37-22 | 65 |
| 2 |
Atletico Paran | 37 | 52-43 | 62 |
| 3 |
Criciuma | 37 | 47-32 | 61 |
| 4 |
Goias | 37 | 41-34 | 61 |
| 5 |
Chapecoense-sc | 37 | 51-35 | 59 |
| 6 |
remo | 37 | 48-38 | 59 |
| 7 |
Novorizontino | 37 | 40-32 | 57 |
| 8 |
CRB | 37 | 45-37 | 56 |
| 9 |
Avai | 37 | 50-40 | 55 |
| 10 |
Atletico Goian | 37 | 39-37 | 52 |
| 11 |
Cuiaba | 37 | 42-44 | 51 |
| 12 |
America Mineir | 37 | 41-43 | 46 |
| 13 |
Vila Nova | 37 | 38-42 | 46 |
| 14 |
Operario-PR | 37 | 38-43 | 45 |
| 15 |
Athletic Club | 37 | 41-52 | 41 |
| 16 |
Botafogo SP | 37 | 32-52 | 41 |
| 17 |
Ferroviária | 37 | 42-50 | 40 |
| 18 |
Amazonas | 37 | 37-53 | 36 |
| 19 |
Volta Redonda | 37 | 24-41 | 35 |
| 20 |
Paysandu | 37 | 35-50 | 28 |
