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Match Prediction

AVS vs Moreirense Prediction

Finished
Portugal flag Portugal
Primeira Liga

AVS

€20.15m

17 May13:00
0 : 3

Moreirense

€24.95m

Preview

AVS vs Moreirense Prediction Primeira Liga

AVS vs Moreirense Prediction: A Primeira Liga Battle with Betting Value

The AVS vs Moreirense prediction is heating up as these two sides prepare to lock horns at the Estádio Clube Desportivo das Aves on May 17, 2025. This isn’t just another fixture—it’s a match with potential implications at both ends of the Primeira Liga table. The venue, known for its tight pitch and vocal home support, could play a big role in deciding where the points end up. And with the betting markets offering a home win at 2.0, a draw at 3.3, and an away win at 3.95, there’s plenty for punters to chew on.

Why This Match Matters

AVS, with a squad valued at €20.15m, might not have the financial muscle of some Primeira Liga heavyweights, but they’ve shown grit when it matters. Moreirense, slightly richer at €24.95m, have had their own moments of brilliance this season. Both teams have pulled off shock results—AVS held Sporting CP to a 2-2 draw (despite Sporting’s 1.25 odds), while Moreirense stunned everyone with a 2-1 win over the same opponents at a whopping 8.7 odds. If that doesn’t scream 'unpredictable,' what does?

Betting Odds and Market Insights

The bookmakers seem to favor AVS slightly, but not by much. Here’s how the numbers break down:

  • Home Win (2.0) – A 3.2/10 trust rating suggests cautious optimism.
  • Draw (3.3) – At nearly 24.1% likelihood based on league trends, it’s a live option.
  • Away Win (3.95) – Moreirense’s recent upsets mean this isn’t just a pipe dream.

The AI’s best tip? 1X (Home Win or Draw) at 1.25 odds, with a modest 4.1/10 confidence level. Given that home teams win 43.5% of Primeira Liga matches (compared to 32.4% for away sides), this feels like a sensible safety net.

The Case for a Tight Game

If you’re expecting a goal-fest, think again. The under 3.5 goals tip (1.25 odds, 2.7 confidence) aligns with league stats—only 26.8% of matches exceed 3.5 goals. Moreirense and AVS aren’t exactly free-scoring, and with both likely to prioritize defensive stability, a cagey 1-0 or even a 0-0 halftime scoreline wouldn’t be a shock.

Head-to-Head and Recent Form

Looking at their head-to-head record, there’s no clear dominance. Both teams have had their moments, and recent form suggests this could go either way. AVS’s ability to grind out results at home vs. Moreirense’s knack for springing surprises makes this a fascinating tactical duel.

Final Thoughts: Where’s the Smart Money?

For those diving into the AVS vs Moreirense prediction, here’s the cheat sheet:

  1. 1X (Double Chance) – The safer play, especially with home advantage in play.
  2. Under 3.5 Goals – Low odds, but the stats back it up.
  3. Small Stake on Home Win – At 2.0, it’s worth a punt if you believe in AVS’s resilience.

This isn’t a match where you’d bet the house, but there’s enough value to make it interesting. Whether you’re leaning on the betting tips or trusting your gut, one thing’s certain—this Primeira Liga clash won’t be short on drama.

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AI Predictions
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Moreirense no motivation!

Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for AVS vs Moreirense

1X -400

AVS to win or draw with odds of -400
4/10

1x2 Tip

1 100

AVS is expected to win with odds of 100
3/10

Total Goals

Under 3.5 -455

No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match
2/10

Both Teams To Score

No -125

At least one team is not expected to score
1/10

Bet Builder Tip

1X&U4.5 -263

Home win/draw and under 4.5 goals
2/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

1:0

Stats Predictions

61%
Ball Possession
39%
13
Total Shots
6
3
Shots on Goal
1
6
Shots Off Goal
1
2
Yellow Cards
1

Average / Match

2.9
Total Goals
2.6
0.6
Goals Scored
1.1
2.3
Goals Against
1.5
43%
Possession
46%
9
Total Shots
9.3
2.3
Shots on Goal
2.8
4.6
Shots off Goal
4.2
13
Fouls
13.7
2.9
Corners
2.5
1.3
Offsides
1.8
2.9
Yellow Cards
2.9
0.1
Red Cards
0
329
Total Passes
368

Overview Last 10 Matches

2
Wins
2
7
Over 1.5 Goals
8
5
Over 2.5 Goals
4
3
Over 3.5 Goals
4
4
Both Teams Scored
7
0
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

AVS
0 - 1 - 1
Moreirense
AVS AVS 17-May-25
0:3
Moreirense Moreirense

Profile time Recent Matches of AVS

06 DecL AFS AFS.
1:2
Rio Ave. Rio Ave

Profile time Recent Matches of Moreirense

07 DecEstoril Estoril.
-
Moreirense.Moreirense

Portugal - Primeira Liga Portugal - Primeira Liga

Team Matches Goals Points
1 Sporting CP Sporting CP34
88-27
82
2 Benfica Benfica34
84-28
80
3 FC Porto FC Porto34
65-30
71
4 SC Braga SC Braga34
55-30
66
5 Santa Clara Santa Clara34
36-32
57
6 Guimaraes Guimaraes34
47-37
54
7 Famalicao Famalicao34
44-39
47
8 Estoril Estoril34
48-53
46
9 Casa Pia Casa Pia34
39-44
45
10 Moreirense Moreirense34
42-50
40
11 Rio Ave Rio Ave34
39-55
38
12 Arouca Arouca34
35-49
38
13 GIL Vicente GIL Vicente34
34-47
34
14 Nacional Nacional34
32-50
34
15 Estrela Estrela34
24-50
29
16 AVS AVS34
25-60
27
17 Farense Farense34
25-46
27
18 Boavista Boavista34
24-59
24
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