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Match Prediction

AZ Alkmaar vs FC Volendam Prediction

Finished
Netherlands flag Netherlands
Eredivisie

AZ Alkmaar

€145.93m

10 Jan10:30
1 : 0

FC Volendam

€11.35m

Preview

AZ Alkmaar vs FC Volendam Prediction Eredivisie

AZ Alkmaar vs FC Volendam Prediction: Stats, Tips & Storylines

Welcome to our AZ Alkmaar vs FC Volendam prediction, where we break down everything you need to know about this Eredivisie match scheduled for January 10, 2026, at the AFAS Stadion. Whether you’re a seasoned punter or just love a good football story, this preview will help you make sense of the betting odds, team form, and what to expect from these two Dutch sides.

Form Guide and Team Background

Let’s start with the basics. AZ Alkmaar, currently sitting 7th in the Eredivisie, have collected 25 points from 16 matches. Their recent form is a mixed bag: 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in their last five games. They’re averaging 2.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match lately, which means goals are almost a guarantee when AZ play. On the season, they’ve won 7, drawn 4, and lost 5, with a goal difference that suggests they’re more likely to entertain than frustrate.

FC Volendam, on the other hand, are in 16th place, fighting to avoid relegation. With 14 points from 17 games, their recent record is a bit grim: 0 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses in their last five. They’re scoring just 0.4 goals per game and conceding 2.0, which is not the kind of stat you want to see if you’re a Volendam fan. This season, they’ve managed 3 wins, 5 draws, and 9 losses, with a leaky defense that’s let in 1.82 goals per match.

Head to Head and Key Stats

  • Head to head history favors AZ Alkmaar: in their last 6 meetings, AZ have won 4 and drawn 2, with Volendam yet to taste victory.
  • In their last Eredivisie encounter, the teams drew 2-2, but AZ have averaged 2.4 goals per match against Volendam, who have only managed 0.8 in reply.
  • AZ Alkmaar are undefeated in their last 3 home matches, while Volendam have conceded in 10 straight away games.
  • AZ have been awarded the most penalties in the league this season (8), so keep an eye on spot-kick drama.
  • Squad value tells its own story: AZ’s squad is worth a whopping €145.93m, compared to Volendam’s €11.35m.

Tactics, Team News, and Staff Updates

AZ Alkmaar like to keep the ball and attack in numbers, which is reflected in their projected 67% possession and 19 shots for this match. They’re missing a few key players due to injury—Denso Kasius, Jordy Clasie, Mexx Meerdink, and Seiya Maikuma—but their depth and recent addition of Maarten Stekelenburg to the coaching staff should help steady the ship.

Volendam, meanwhile, are expected to be on the back foot, with just 33% possession and only 8 shots predicted. Their main attacking threat is Robert Mühren, who leads the team in shots on target, while Aurelio Oehlers is their chief creator. The technical staff, led by Rick Kruys, will need to pull out all the stops to keep things tight at the back.

Betting Odds and AI Predictions

  • Betting odds are heavily stacked in favor of AZ Alkmaar: Home win at 1.18, Draw at 8.0, and Away win at 22.0.
  • Our AI system’s best tip is a home win (1), with a confidence of 10.0/10 and odds of 1.18. This is as close to a sure thing as you’ll find in football—just don’t blame us if Volendam pull off a miracle!
  • For the over/under goals market, the AI predicts over 2.5 total goals with a trust of 8.1 and odds of 1.32. Both teams like to keep things lively, so expect a few goals.
  • The predicted final score is 3:1 in favor of AZ Alkmaar, with a 1:0 lead expected at halftime.
  • AZ are expected to dominate with 7 corners and 7 shots on target, while Volendam might have to settle for 1 corner and 2 shots on target.

AZ Alkmaar vs FC Volendam Prediction: Final Thoughts

To sum up our AZ Alkmaar vs FC Volendam prediction: all signs point to a comfortable home win. AZ have the form, the squad depth, and the history on their side. Volendam’s struggles on the road and leaky defense make them unlikely to spring a surprise. If you’re looking for a safe bet, back AZ to win and consider the over 2.5 goals market for a bit of extra value. For those who like a flutter on the correct score, 3:1 looks like a smart pick.

Football can always surprise us, but if you’re betting with your head (and maybe just a little with your heart), AZ Alkmaar should have too much for Volendam on the day. Enjoy the match, and may your bets be as successful as AZ’s home record!

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AI Predictions
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Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for AZ Alkmaar vs FC Volendam

1 -556

AZ Alkmaar is expected to win with odds of -556
10/10

1x2 Tip

1 -556

AZ Alkmaar is expected to win with odds of -556
10/10

Total Goals

Over 2.5 -286

At least 3 goals will be scored in the match
8/10

Both Teams To Score

Yes -104

Both teams are expected to score
1/10

Bet Builder Tip

1X&O2.5 -233

Home win/draw and over 2.5 goals
7/10
Both Teams To Score

Half-Time Score

1:0

Correct Score

3:1

Stats Predictions

2.17
xG
0.76
67%
Ball Possession
33%
19
Total Shots
8
7
Shots on Goal
2
6
Shots Off Goal
4
7
Corners
1
1
Yellow Cards
1

Average / Match

1.49
Expected Goals
1.54
3.5
Total Goals
2.9
1.6
Goals Scored
1.3
1.9
Goals Against
1.6
59%
Possession
47%
14.7
Total Shots
12.9
5.5
Shots on Goal
4.7
5.4
Shots off Goal
5.5
9.8
Fouls
8.5
5.9
Corners
4.3
0.9
Offsides
1.2
1.9
Yellow Cards
1.25
499
Total Passes
400

Overview Last 10 Matches

3
Wins
4
8
Over 1.5 Goals
9
7
Over 2.5 Goals
7
6
Over 3.5 Goals
2
6
Both Teams Scored
5
0
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

AZ Alkmaar
3 - 2 - 0
FC Volendam
FC Volendam FC Volendam 17-Aug-25
2:2
AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar
FC Volendam FC Volendam 17-Mar-24
0:4
AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar
AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 26-Nov-23
3:0
FC Volendam FC Volendam
FC Volendam FC Volendam 04-Feb-23
1:1
AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar
AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 30-Oct-22
2:1
FC Volendam FC Volendam

Profile time Recent Matches of AZ Alkmaar

17 Jan Zwolle Zwolle.
-
AZ Alkmaar. AZ Alkmaar
14 JanW AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar.
6:0
Ajax. Ajax
10 JanW AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar.
1:0
FC Volendam. FC Volendam
21 DecL Sittard Sittard.
4:3
AZ Alkmaar. AZ Alkmaar
18 DecD AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar.
0:0
Jagiellonia. Jagiellonia
11 DecW Drita Drita.
0:3
AZ Alkmaar. AZ Alkmaar
07 DecD AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar.
2:2
G.A. Eagles. G.A. Eagles
03 DecW Zwolle Zwolle.
1:3
AZ Alkmaar. AZ Alkmaar
30 NovL Twente Twente.
1:0
AZ Alkmaar. AZ Alkmaar
27 NovW AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar.
2:0
Shelbourne. Shelbourne

Profile time Recent Matches of FC Volendam

15 JanS. Rotterdam S. Rotterdam.
-
FC Volendam.FC Volendam
10 JanLAZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar.
1:0
FC Volendam.FC Volendam
21 DecLFC Volendam FC Volendam.
0:1
S. Rotterdam.S. Rotterdam
18 DecWFC Volendam FC Volendam.
2:0
Genemuiden.Genemuiden
13 DecLGroningen Groningen.
3:0
FC Volendam.FC Volendam
07 DecLFC Volendam FC Volendam.
2:3
Nijmegen.Nijmegen
30 NovLPSV PSV.
3:0
FC Volendam.FC Volendam
22 NovDFC Volendam FC Volendam.
1:1
Twente.Twente
08 NovWFC Volendam FC Volendam.
2:1
NAC Breda.NAC Breda
01 NovLFeyenoord Feyenoord.
3:1
FC Volendam.FC Volendam

Netherlands - Eredivisie Netherlands - Eredivisie

Team Matches Goals Points
1 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven18
57-22
49
2 Feyenoord Feyenoord18
44-23
36
3 Ajax Ajax18
35-24
33
4 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen17
43-29
29
5 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar17
32-28
28
6 Groningen Groningen18
25-22
28
7 Twente Twente18
27-22
26
8 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterd18
20-31
26
9 Heerenveen Heerenveen18
31-28
24
10 Utrecht Utrecht17
28-23
23
11 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittar18
27-31
22
12 GO Ahead Eagles GO Ahead Eagle18
28-31
20
13 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle18
22-39
20
14 Excelsior Excelsior17
17-32
19
15 Telstar Telstar18
22-30
15
16 NAC Breda NAC Breda18
16-26
14
17 FC Volendam FC Volendam18
19-32
14
18 Heracles Heracles18
26-46
14
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