AZ Alkmaar
€98.20m
Groningen
€24.88m
Preview
When AZ Alkmaar hosts Groningen at the AFAS Stadion on May 11, 2025, the stakes are clear: the home side aims to solidify their top-six standing, while the visitors chase mid-table security. Our AZ Alkmaar vs Groningen prediction dives into the stats, betting odds, and tactical nuances that could define this Eredivisie clash. With AZ priced at 1.67 for a win and Groningen at 5.0 for an upset, the numbers favor the hosts—but Dutch football loves a twist.
AZ Alkmaar’s dominance in possession (58% vs Groningen’s 42%) and their superior shot output (17 expected shots vs Groningen’s 9) suggest a one-sided affair. However, Groningen’s resilience in recent head to head matches—like their 2-2 draw with Feyenoord—hints at their ability to punch above their weight. Here’s what the data tells us:
The betting odds paint a clear picture: AZ’s financial muscle (€98.2m squad value vs Groningen’s €24.88m) and league position (6th vs 9th) justify their favoritism. Yet, the AI’s low confidence in a Groningen win (trust 1.3/10) contrasts with its stronger belief in goals (trust 4.8/10). Here’s why:
While our AZ Alkmaar vs Groningen prediction leans toward a home win, the smarter sports betting play might be over 2.5 goals. With AZ’s 5 on-target attempts per game and Groningen’s 2, the odds (1.82) offer solid value. That said, Dutch football’s unpredictability—evidenced by AZ’s 2-2 draw at PSV—means a 1-2 upset isn’t entirely far-fetched. One thing’s certain: the AFAS Stadion will host a lively, stats-driven battle.
When AZ Alkmaar hosts Groningen at the AFAS Stadion on May 11, 2025, the stakes are clear: the home side aims to solidify their top-six standing, while the visitors chase mid-table security. Our AZ Alkmaar vs Groningen prediction dives into the stats, betting odds, and tactical nuances that could define this Eredivisie clash. With AZ priced at 1.67 for a win and Groningen at 5.0 for an upset, the numbers favor the hosts—but Dutch football loves a twist.
AZ Alkmaar’s dominance in possession (58% vs Groningen’s 42%) and their superior shot output (17 expected shots vs Groningen’s 9) suggest a one-sided affair. However, Groningen’s resilience in recent head to head matches—like their 2-2 draw with Feyenoord—hints at their ability to punch above their weight. Here’s what the data tells us:
The betting odds paint a clear picture: AZ’s financial muscle (€98.2m squad value vs Groningen’s €24.88m) and league position (6th vs 9th) justify their favoritism. Yet, the AI’s low confidence in a Groningen win (trust 1.3/10) contrasts with its stronger belief in goals (trust 4.8/10). Here’s why:
While our AZ Alkmaar vs Groningen prediction leans toward a home win, the smarter sports betting play might be over 2.5 goals. With AZ’s 5 on-target attempts per game and Groningen’s 2, the odds (1.82) offer solid value. That said, Dutch football’s unpredictability—evidenced by AZ’s 2-2 draw at PSV—means a 1-2 upset isn’t entirely far-fetched. One thing’s certain: the AFAS Stadion will host a lively, stats-driven battle.
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AZ Alkmaar no motivation!
O2.5 -122
At least 3 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -1222 400
Groningen is expected to win with odds of 400Over 2.5 -122
At least 3 goals will be scored in the matchYes -125
Both teams are expected to scoreX2&O1.5 162
Away win/draw and over 1.5 goals
1:2
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15
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9
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8
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AZ Alkmaar |
11-May-25
3:0
| Groningen ![]() |
AZ Alkmaar |
18-Dec-24
3:1
| Groningen ![]() |
Groningen |
25-Aug-24
0:0
| AZ Alkmaar ![]() |
AZ Alkmaar |
11-Mar-23
1:0
| Groningen ![]() |
Groningen |
01-Oct-22
1:4
| AZ Alkmaar ![]() |
AZ Alkmaar |
21-Dec-21
1:0
| Groningen ![]() |
Groningen |
24-Oct-21
2:0
| AZ Alkmaar ![]() |
Groningen |
13-May-21
0:0
| AZ Alkmaar ![]() |
AZ Alkmaar |
06-Dec-20
1:2
| Groningen ![]() |
| 11 Dec | W |
Drita.
|
0:3
| AZ Alkmaar.
|
| 07 Dec | D |
AZ Alkmaar.
|
2:2
| G.A. Eagles.
|
| 13 Dec | Groningen. |
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FC Volendam.![]() |
Netherlands - Eredivisie| Team | Matches | Goals | Points | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
PSV Eindhoven | 34 | 103-39 | 79 |
| 2 |
Ajax | 34 | 67-32 | 78 |
| 3 |
Feyenoord | 34 | 76-38 | 68 |
| 4 |
Utrecht | 34 | 62-45 | 64 |
| 5 |
AZ Alkmaar | 34 | 58-37 | 57 |
| 6 |
Twente | 34 | 62-49 | 54 |
| 7 |
GO Ahead Eagle | 34 | 57-55 | 51 |
| 8 |
NEC Nijmegen | 34 | 51-46 | 43 |
| 9 |
Heerenveen | 34 | 42-57 | 43 |
| 10 |
PEC Zwolle | 34 | 43-51 | 41 |
| 11 |
Fortuna Sittar | 34 | 37-54 | 41 |
| 12 |
Sparta Rotterd | 34 | 39-43 | 39 |
| 13 |
Groningen | 34 | 40-53 | 39 |
| 14 |
Heracles | 34 | 42-63 | 38 |
| 15 |
NAC Breda | 34 | 34-58 | 33 |
| 16 |
Willem II | 34 | 34-56 | 26 |
| 17 |
Waalwijk | 34 | 44-74 | 25 |
| 18 |
Almere City FC | 34 | 23-64 | 22 |