Match Prediction
Match Prediction
World
AZ Alkmaar
€124.32m
Shelbourne
€3.35m
Preview
The AZ Alkmaar vs Shelbourne prediction is shaping up as one of the more intriguing stories of this UEFA Europa Conference League group stage. On November 27, 2025, at the AFAS Stadion in Alkmaar, the Dutch side welcomes Ireland’s Shelbourne for a 17:45 GMT kickoff. For Shelbourne, this isn’t just another away day—it’s their first ever taste of group stage football in a major European competition. For AZ Alkmaar, it’s a chance to stamp their authority on a group they’re widely tipped to dominate. With no head-to-head record between the teams, both sides are stepping into the unknown, and that always adds a bit of spice to the mix.
Let’s start with the hosts. AZ Alkmaar have built a reputation for fast, dynamic attacking football. Under coach Maarten Martens, they typically set up in a 4-3-3, with the midfield duo—often Peer Koopmeiners and Jordy Clasie (when fit)—anchoring play and providing balance. The system is all about control, quick transitions, and getting the ball to a lively front three. It’s a formula that’s worked well in Europe, with AZ winning six of their last eight Conference League matches. Notably, they’ve shown strength throughout matches, often striking early and keeping their foot on the gas in the closing stages—16% of their goals come in the final 10 minutes.
Shelbourne, meanwhile, arrive as underdogs but not as pushovers. Their away form in Europe has been surprisingly robust, conceding under 1.5 goals in five of their last six matches on the road. They like to keep things tight, especially in the first half—drawing the opening period in six of their last nine Conference League fixtures. It’s a pragmatic approach, and judging by their recent 2-1 win away to HNK Rijeka (with odds of 18.5, no less), they’re not afraid of big occasions. However, discipline can be an issue, with two or more cards in five of their last six away games. Like their hosts, they have a knack for late drama—18% of their goals come after the 80th minute.
Injury news has hit both squads. AZ are missing key figures like Denso Kasius, Mexx Meerdink, and Jordy Clasie, while Wouter Goes is suspended. Shelbourne are without Sean Moore, S. Bone, C. Kearns, and James Norris, with Sean Gannon also a recent casualty. Depth will be tested, but both sides are used to patching things up and getting on with it.
If you like your football with a side of stats, there’s plenty to chew on here. The home side’s market value towers over the visitors—€124.32m to Shelbourne’s €3.35m. AZ Alkmaar are expected to dominate possession (projected 72%), rack up around 20 shots (eight on target), and win seven corners. Shelbourne, by contrast, are likely to see just 28% of the ball, with five shots and one on target. Both teams are expected to pick up a yellow card, but nothing more dramatic on the discipline front.
Now, onto the AZ Alkmaar vs Shelbourne prediction from our AI team at NerdyTips. The betting odds paint a clear picture: AZ Alkmaar are heavy favorites at 1.22 for the win, with a draw at 8.5 and a Shelbourne upset priced at 18.5. It’s David vs Goliath, but with more Dutch cheese and Irish grit.
The predicted final score is 2-0 to AZ Alkmaar, with a 1-0 lead at halftime. The numbers back up what we see on paper: a dominant home performance, but not a rout. Shelbourne’s defense may bend, but it shouldn’t break completely.
For those looking for value, the “both teams not to score” market is worth a close look. Shelbourne’s defensive discipline should keep the score respectable, while AZ’s superior quality should see them through without too many alarms. The head to head history may be blank, but the gap in squad value, experience, and home advantage is clear.
In summary, the AZ Alkmaar vs Shelbourne prediction is for a comfortable home win, but not a goal glut. Expect AZ to control the ball, create plenty of chances, and keep Shelbourne at arm’s length. For Shelbourne, this is about learning, improving, and maybe—just maybe—springing a surprise. Stranger things have happened in football, but for this one, the odds and the stats are firmly with the Dutch side.
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NG -133
At least one team is not expected to score with odds of -1331 -455
AZ Alkmaar is expected to win with odds of -455Under 3.5 -139
No more than 3 goals will be scored in the matchNo -133
At least one team is not expected to score1X&U4.5 -250
Home win/draw and under 4.5 goals
1:0
2:0
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Recent Matches of AZ Alkmaar| 18 Dec |
AZ Alkmaar.
|
-
| Jagiellonia.
| |
| 11 Dec | W |
Drita.
|
0:3
| AZ Alkmaar.
|
| 07 Dec | D |
AZ Alkmaar.
|
2:2
| G.A. Eagles.
|
| 03 Dec | W |
Zwolle.
|
1:3
| AZ Alkmaar.
|
| 30 Nov | L |
Twente.
|
1:0
| AZ Alkmaar.
|
| 27 Nov | W |
AZ Alkmaar.
|
2:0
| Shelbourne.
|
| 23 Nov | L |
Heerenveen.
|
3:1
| AZ Alkmaar.
|
| 09 Nov | L |
AZ Alkmaar.
|
1:5
| PSV.
|
| 06 Nov | L |
Crystal P..
|
3:1
| AZ Alkmaar.
|
| 02 Nov | W |
S. Rotterdam.
|
0:1
| AZ Alkmaar.
|
Recent Matches of Shelbourne
| 18 Dec |  Celje. |
- |
Shelbourne. | |
| 11 Dec | L | Shelbourne. |
0:3 |
Crystal P.. |
| 27 Nov | L |  AZ Alkmaar. |
2:0 |
Shelbourne. |
| 06 Nov | L | Shelbourne. |
0:1 |
Drita. |
| 01 Nov | D | Shelbourne. |
0:0 |
St. Patricks. |
| 26 Oct | W |  Bohemians. |
2:3 |
Shelbourne. |
| 23 Oct | L |  Shkendija. |
1:0 |
Shelbourne. |
| 17 Oct | W | Shelbourne. |
3:1 |
Sligo Rovers. |
| 13 Oct | W |  Cork City. |
1:2 |
Shelbourne. |
| 10 Oct | W |  Shamrock . |
0:1 |
Shelbourne. |
World - UEFA Europa Conference League| Team | Matches | Goals | Points | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Strasbourg | 5 | 8-4 | 13 |
| 2 |
Shakhtar Donet | 5 | 10-5 | 12 |
| 3 |
Raków Często | 5 | 8-2 | 11 |
| 4 |
AEK Athens FC | 5 | 11-5 | 10 |
| 5 |
Samsunspor | 5 | 10-4 | 10 |
| 6 |
Sparta Praha | 5 | 7-3 | 10 |
| 7 |
Rayo Vallecano | 5 | 10-7 | 10 |
| 8 |
FSV Mainz 05 | 5 | 5-3 | 10 |
| 9 |
Crystal Palace | 5 | 9-4 | 9 |
| 10 |
AEK Larnaca | 5 | 6-1 | 9 |
| 11 |
Fiorentina | 5 | 8-4 | 9 |
| 12 |
Celje | 5 | 8-7 | 9 |
| 13 |
AZ Alkmaar | 5 | 7-7 | 9 |
| 14 |
HNK Rijeka | 5 | 5-2 | 8 |
| 15 |
Omonia Nicosia | 5 | 5-3 | 8 |
| 16 |
Lausanne | 5 | 5-3 | 8 |
| 17 |
FC Noah | 5 | 6-5 | 8 |
| 18 |
Jagiellonia | 5 | 5-4 | 8 |
| 19 |
Drita | 5 | 4-5 | 8 |
| 20 |
Lech Poznan | 5 | 10-7 | 7 |
| 21 |
Shkendija | 5 | 4-4 | 7 |
| 22 |
Sigma Olomouc | 5 | 6-7 | 7 |
| 23 |
Universitatea | 5 | 4-5 | 7 |
| 24 |
Lincoln Red Im | 5 | 6-11 | 7 |
| 25 |
KuPS | 5 | 4-3 | 6 |
| 26 |
Zrinjski | 5 | 7-9 | 6 |
| 27 |
Breidablik | 5 | 5-8 | 5 |
| 28 |
Dynamo Kyiv | 5 | 7-9 | 3 |
| 29 |
BK Hacken | 5 | 5-7 | 3 |
| 30 |
Legia Warszawa | 5 | 4-7 | 3 |
| 31 |
Slovan Bratisl | 5 | 4-9 | 3 |
| 32 |
Hamrun Spartan | 5 | 3-8 | 3 |
| 33 |
Aberdeen | 5 | 3-11 | 2 |
| 34 |
Shelbourne | 5 | 0-7 | 1 |
| 35 |
Shamrock Rover | 5 | 4-12 | 1 |
| 36 |
Rapid Vienna | 5 | 2-13 | 0 |
