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Match Prediction

Azerbaijan vs France Prediction

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World Cup - Qualification

Azerbaijan

€17.85m

16 Nov12:00
1 : 3

France

€1.27bn

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Azerbaijan vs France Prediction World Cup - Qualification Europe

Azerbaijan vs France Prediction: Can the Underdogs Defy History?

When it comes to the Azerbaijan vs France prediction for November 16, 2025, at the Tofiq Bahramov Republican Stadium, expectations are clear—yet football loves a surprise. France, already qualified for the 2026 World Cup, faces an Azerbaijan side with nothing left to lose. While the betting odds and head to head records heavily favor the visitors, the beautiful game always leaves room for the unexpected. Let’s break down the tactics, recent form, and what our AI sees coming, all while keeping it as human as a Sunday afternoon chat about football.

Team News and Tactical Insights

France, or “Les Bleus” as they’re affectionately called by fans, arrive in Baku with a squad brimming with talent—even if it’s a bit battered. They’ve won all three previous meetings against Azerbaijan, racking up a whopping 15-0 aggregate. The last encounter in October ended 3-0 to France, and with their current form—seven wins, one draw, and two losses in their last ten qualifiers—the French are expected to keep the ball rolling. Their attacking style, characterized by relentless pressing and a high shot count (20+ attempts in each of their last four games), will likely keep Azerbaijan’s defense on high alert.

However, Didier Deschamps will have to shuffle his lineup. Kylian Mbappé’s ankle injury means the French attack loses some magic, and the midfield is lighter without Eduardo Camavinga and Manu Koné. Randal Kolo Muani, Ousmane Dembele, and Desire Doue are also out, making this a test of France’s squad depth. Luckily, with players like Lucas Hernandez, N’Golo Kanté, and Aurélien Tchouaméni available, France still boasts a lineup most teams would envy.

Azerbaijan, meanwhile, have struggled for form, not tasting victory in their last 15 outings. Their home record is equally bleak, with no wins in eight. They’ll be without midfielder Toral Bayramov, but the likes of Mahir Emreli and Emin Makhmudov will be keen to make an impression. Tactically, expect Azerbaijan to sit deep, defend in numbers, and hope for a counter-attack or set-piece to provide a glimmer of hope.

Head to Head, Recent Results, and Betting Odds

Looking at the head to head, it’s hard to see anything other than another French win. The betting odds reflect this: a home win is priced at 40.0, a draw at 10.0, and an away win at just 1.13. The market clearly sees France as overwhelming favorites, and with the squad value gap—€17.85m for Azerbaijan versus a staggering €1.27bn for France—it’s almost a David vs Goliath scenario. Yet, let’s not forget the recent Ukraine vs Azerbaijan result, where Azerbaijan snatched a 1-1 draw, reminding us that football doesn’t always follow the script.

What Our AI Predicts: Stats, Scorelines, and Best Bets

  • Final Score Prediction: Our AI model forecasts a 0:2 victory for France, with a 0:0 half-time score. It’s expected to be a slow burner before France’s quality shines through in the second half.
  • Possession and Shots: France is tipped to dominate possession (71% to Azerbaijan’s 29%), with a predicted 23 shots (8 on target), compared to Azerbaijan’s 3 (just 1 on target).
  • Total Goals: The under 3.5 goals market looks attractive at odds of 1.9, given both teams’ recent scoring trends and the predicted scoreline.
  • Best Bets: The AI recommends a France win by at least two goals (H2) at 1.42 odds, though with a modest trust level of 1.6/10—so maybe don’t bet the house. The straight France win (2) is the safest pick at 1.13 odds (trust level 1.7/10).

Conclusion: Azerbaijan vs France Prediction and Final Thoughts

In summary, the Azerbaijan vs France prediction points strongly towards another French victory, with the odds, head to head stats, and squad quality all stacked in their favor. Azerbaijan will hope to frustrate and maybe sneak a moment of magic, but the gulf in class is hard to ignore. For bettors, backing France to win, especially by two or more goals, seems the logical play, though the under 3.5 total goals market could offer a bit more value. As always, football has a way of surprising us, but if history and numbers are any guide, Les Bleus should be heading home with another three points in the bag.

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AI Predictions
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Meaningless match!

Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Azerbaijan vs France

H2 -238

H2
1/10

1x2 Tip

2 -769

France is expected to win with odds of -769
1/10

Total Goals

Under 3.5 -125

No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match
1/10

Both Teams To Score

No -200

At least one team is not expected to score
1/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

0:2

Stats Predictions

29%
Ball Possession
71%
3
Total Shots
23
1
Shots on Goal
8
2
Shots Off Goal
9
1
Corners
7
2
Yellow Cards
1

Average / Match

2.9
Total Goals
3.5
0.3
Goals Scored
2.4
2.6
Goals Against
1.1
35%
Possession
62%
4.4
Total Shots
18.8
1.6
Shots on Goal
6.9
2.8
Shots off Goal
7.6
12.4
Fouls
9.9
3.1
Corners
6.8
1.8
Offsides
0.9
2.5
Yellow Cards
1.56
0
Red Cards
0.13
288
Total Passes
573

Overview Last 10 Matches

0
Wins
7
9
Over 1.5 Goals
10
6
Over 2.5 Goals
6
2
Over 3.5 Goals
4
3
Both Teams Scored
4
0
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Azerbaijan
0 - 0 - 1
France
France France 10-Oct-25
3:0
Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

Profile time Recent Matches of Azerbaijan

16 NovL Azerbaijan Azerbaijan.
1:3
France. France
13 NovL Azerbaijan Azerbaijan.
0:2
Iceland. Iceland
13 OctL Ukraine Ukraine.
2:1
Azerbaijan. Azerbaijan
10 OctL France France.
3:0
Azerbaijan. Azerbaijan
09 SepD Azerbaijan Azerbaijan.
1:1
Ukraine. Ukraine
05 SepL Iceland Iceland.
5:0
Azerbaijan. Azerbaijan
10 JunL Azerbaijan Azerbaijan.
1:2
Hungary. Hungary
07 JunD Latvia Latvia.
0:0
Azerbaijan. Azerbaijan
25 MarL Azerbaijan Azerbaijan.
0:2
Belarus. Belarus
22 MarL Azerbaijan Azerbaijan.
0:3
Haiti. Haiti

Profile time Recent Matches of France

16 NovWAzerbaijan Azerbaijan.
1:3
France.France
13 NovWFrance France.
4:0
Ukraine.Ukraine
13 OctDIceland Iceland.
2:2
France.France
10 OctWFrance France.
3:0
Azerbaijan.Azerbaijan
09 SepWFrance France.
2:1
Iceland.Iceland
05 SepWUkraine Ukraine.
0:2
France.France
08 JunWGermany Germany.
0:2
France.France
05 JunLSpain Spain.
5:4
France.France
23 MarWFrance France.
2:0
Croatia.Croatia
20 MarLCroatia Croatia.
2:0
France.France

World - World Cup - Qualification Europe World - World Cup - Qualification Europe

Team Matches Goals Points
1 France France6
16-4
16
2 Ukraine Ukraine6
10-11
10
3 Iceland Iceland6
13-11
7
4 Azerbaijan Azerbaijan6
3-16
1
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