Match Prediction
Match Prediction
Spain
Preview
If there’s one thing Badalona has taught us this season, it’s that they love a good plot twist. Their gritty 1-1 draw against Torrent on March 9th—defying odds of 1.65—was a classic underdog moment, the kind that makes lower-league football so unpredictable. But as they prepare to host Lleida Esportiu on April 6th, the question isn’t just whether they can pull off another surprise. It’s whether they can even keep the door closed against a side that’s been ruthlessly efficient in Segunda RFEF Group 3.
Bookmakers aren’t mincing words here. Lleida Esportiu strolls into Camp de Futbol Premià de Dalt as the overwhelming favorite, priced at a measly 1.3960 to win. Badalona, meanwhile, sits at a staggering 8.50, with the draw at 3.9. At first glance, those numbers might seem harsh, but dig deeper, and they start to make sense. Lleida’s recent form reads like a how-to guide for grinding out results: organized, pragmatic, and just clinical enough to turn tight games into wins. Badalona, on the other hand, has been leaking goals at inopportune times, their defense often resembling a dam with one too many cracks.
Lleida’s strength lies in their structure. They don’t dazzle with flair, but they suffocate opponents with discipline, often winning games by the slimmest of margins. Their last five matches have seen them concede just twice, a stat that should worry a Badalona side struggling for consistency in attack. The visitors’ ability to control tempo and capitalize on mistakes makes them a nightmare for teams prone to defensive lapses—and Badalona, unfortunately, fits that description.
Our predictive model leans heavily toward an away win (‘2’ at 1.3960 odds, with a 5.2/10 confidence score), but the more intriguing angle is the expected lack of fireworks. The under 2.5 goals market at 1.61 odds carries a near-perfect 1.0 trust score, and for good reason. These two sides have combined for more cagey chess matches than goal-fests lately, with Lleida’s last three away games all ending with two or fewer goals. Badalona, meanwhile, has failed to score in three of their last five at home. Put simply, this has 1-0 written all over it.
Expect a slow burn. Lleida will likely bide their time, letting Badalona’s initial energy fizzle out before pouncing on a second-half mistake. The hosts’ midfield tends to tire as games progress, leaving gaps that a well-drilled side like Lleida can exploit. A single goal—maybe from a set-piece or a counter—should be enough to decide this. And if the referee (who, let’s be honest, we’ll only notice if they make a controversial call) keeps the cards in their pocket, the flow of the game will suit Lleida’s patient approach even more.
While Badalona’s capacity for defiance is charming, this feels like a game where logic prevails. The smart money is on Lleida to win (1.3960), ideally paired with under 2.5 goals (1.61) for a safer double. If you’re feeling adventurous, a correct score punt on 0-1 (around 5.00 odds) offers solid value given the defensive trends. Just don’t expect a thriller—this is Segunda RFEF, where pragmatism often trumps spectacle.
Of course, football loves to laugh in the face of predictions. Maybe Badalona summons another magical moment, or the referee decides to become the star of the show. But until then, the numbers—and the odds—point firmly toward Lleida.
Read More
Badalona is relegated!
2 -256
Lleida E is expected to win with odds of -2562 -256
Lleida E is expected to win with odds of -256Under 2.5 -185
No more than 2 goals will be scored in the matchNo -244
At least one team is not expected to scoreX2&U3.5 -263
Away win/draw and under 3.5 goals
0:1
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|
2
-
6
-
4
|
|
 Badalona |
06-Apr-25
0:1
| Lleida E  |
| Lleida E |
24-Nov-24
1:1
| Badalona |
| Lleida E |
25-Feb-24
0:1
| Badalona |
| Badalona |
15-Oct-23
0:0
| Lleida E |
| Badalona |
30-Apr-23
0:0
| Lleida E |
| Lleida E |
18-Dec-22
1:2
| Badalona |
| Lleida E |
30-Jan-22
2:2
| Badalona |
| Badalona |
12-Sep-21
2:2
| Lleida E |
| Lleida E |
31-Jan-21
1:0
| Badalona |
| Badalona |
01-Nov-20
0:2
| Lleida E |
Recent Matches of Badalona| 25 Jan | D |
Cerdanyola.
|
2:2
| CF Badalona.
|
Recent Matches of Lleida E
| 25 Jan | D |  UE Tona. |
1:1 |
Lleida. |
Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 3| Team | Matches | Goals | Points | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Europa Fc | 34 | 60-34 | 69 |
| 2 |
Atlético | 34 | 49-27 | 62 |
| 3 |
Sant Andreu | 34 | 64-40 | 60 |
| 4 |
Sabadell | 34 | 52-32 | 56 |
| 5 |
Torrent | 34 | 43-35 | 55 |
| 6 |
Valencia II | 34 | 41-35 | 53 |
| 7 |
Espanyol II | 34 | 40-34 | 51 |
| 8 |
Terrassa | 34 | 38-32 | 51 |
| 9 |
Andratx | 34 | 38-42 | 49 |
| 10 |
Elche II | 34 | 43-38 | 47 |
| 11 |
Olot | 34 | 35-35 | 47 |
| 12 |
Ibiza Islas | 34 | 37-37 | 46 |
| 13 |
Lleida | 34 | 38-30 | 45 |
| 14 |
Cornellà | 34 | 39-47 | 38 |
| 15 |
Peña | 34 | 34-42 | 35 |
| 16 |
Alzira | 34 | 29-58 | 30 |
| 17 |
Mallorca II | 34 | 22-61 | 18 |
| 18 |
Badalona | 34 | 22-65 | 17 |
