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Match Prediction

Beijing Guoan vs Dalian Zhixing Prediction

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Beijing Guoan

€14.50m

26 Sep07:35
4 : 2

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Beijing Guoan vs Dalian Zhixing Prediction Super League

Beijing Guoan vs Dalian Zhixing Prediction: Odds, Stats, and Storylines

Welcome to our Beijing Guoan vs Dalian Zhixing prediction for the Chinese Super League fixture on September 26, 2025. This match at Workers' Stadium brings together two sides with contrasting ambitions and recent fortunes. In this preview, we’ll break down the teams’ tactics, recent form, and betting odds, and share our AI-powered tips to help you make informed decisions.

Setting the Stage: Recent Form and Head-to-Head

Beijing Guoan, currently sitting 4th in the league, have had a turbulent run lately. Despite their high standing, the capital club has struggled for consistency, recording three losses and a draw in their last four outings across all competitions. Their most recent league outing saw them stumble to a 2-3 defeat against Shanghai SIPG, following a 2-0 loss to Henan Jianye and a heavy 6-0 defeat at Shandong Luneng. However, a 2-2 away draw at Chengdu Better City—where they were underdogs—showed resilience, even if their odds of 5.6 suggested a likely defeat.

Dalian Zhixing, meanwhile, are 8th in the table. Their recent form is a mixed bag: one win, one draw, and three losses in their last five league games. They managed a 2-1 win over Sichuan Jiuniu and a 1-1 draw with Yunnan Yukun, but heavy defeats to Henan Jianye and Tianjin Teda highlight defensive vulnerabilities.

  • Head to head: In their last three meetings, Beijing Guoan have one win, with the other two ending in draws. Dalian Zhixing are still searching for their first victory against Guoan.
  • Their latest Super League encounter saw Guoan win 2-0 away, while a recent FA Cup clash ended 1-1, with Guoan progressing after penalties.

Team News, Tactics, and Key Players

Under Quique Setién, Beijing Guoan favor a possession-based, attacking approach. Expect them to dominate the ball, as reflected in the predicted 67% possession. Injuries, however, have taken a toll: Uroš Spajić and Han Jiaqi are long-term absentees, while Zhang Xizhe and Shaocong Wu are also sidelined. Despite this, Guoan’s attacking arsenal remains potent, led by Fábio Abreu (19 goals), with creative support from Lin Liangming, Guga, and Serginho.

Dalian Zhixing typically line up in a 4-4-2 or 4-3-3, relying on width and quick transitions. Cephas Malele is their top scorer and main threat on the break. While detailed injury reports are scarce, their tactical discipline and counter-attacking style can trouble teams, though they often concede possession and territory.

Key Match Stats

  • Total goals: The expected scoreline is 3:1 in favor of Beijing Guoan, with a half-time prediction of 1:0.
  • Guoan are forecast to take 17 shots (6 on target), while Dalian Zhixing are expected to manage 9 shots (2 on target).
  • Corner count prediction: 6 for Guoan, 3 for Dalian Zhixing.
  • Both sides are expected to pick up 2 yellow cards each.

Betting Odds and AI-Driven Predictions

Let’s turn to the numbers for our Beijing Guoan vs Dalian Zhixing prediction. The betting odds paint a clear picture: Guoan are strong favorites at 1.41 for a home win, while a draw is priced at 5.0 and an away win at 6.0. Our proprietary NerdyTips AI has analyzed the data and gives a home win (1) a confidence rating of 10.0/10, making it the standout tip for this fixture.

  • 1x2 Prediction: Home win (1) with 10.0 trust and odds of 1.41.
  • Over/Under: Over 2.5 total goals is recommended, with a confidence of 7.0 and odds of 1.36.
  • Possession forecast: Guoan 67%, Dalian Zhixing 33%.

The expected final score of 3:1 aligns with recent head to head results and the attacking intent of both teams. Guoan’s home advantage, superior squad depth—even with injuries—and tactical discipline under Setién make them the logical pick. Dalian Zhixing’s counter-attacks may yield a goal, but they’re unlikely to keep Guoan’s attack at bay for long.

Final Thoughts: Best Bets and What to Watch

  1. Best tip: Home win (1) at 1.41 odds, with maximum confidence.
  2. Value bet: Over 2.5 total goals, considering both teams’ recent defensive records and attacking quality.

In summary, our Beijing Guoan vs Dalian Zhixing prediction points firmly towards a home victory, with plenty of action expected in front of goal. Guoan’s possession football and attacking firepower should see them through, but don’t rule out Dalian Zhixing snatching a goal on the break. For punters and fans alike, this promises to be an entertaining encounter with clear betting opportunities.

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AI Predictions
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Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Beijing Guoan vs Dalian Zhixing

1 -244

Beijing Guoan is expected to win with odds of -244
10/10

1x2 Tip

1 -244

Beijing Guoan is expected to win with odds of -244
10/10

Total Goals

Over 2.5 -278

At least 3 goals will be scored in the match
7/10

Both Teams To Score

Yes -182

Both teams are expected to score
1/10

Bet Builder Tip

1X&O2.5 -189

Home win/draw and over 2.5 goals
6/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

3:1

Stats Predictions

67%
Ball Possession
33%
17
Total Shots
9
6
Shots on Goal
2
6
Shots Off Goal
3
6
Corners
3
2
Yellow Cards
2

Average / Match

4.5
Total Goals
2.3
2.4
Goals Scored
1
2.1
Goals Against
1.3
65%
Possession
47%
14
Total Shots
13.2
5.6
Shots on Goal
4.6
5.3
Shots off Goal
4.4
14.1
Fouls
12.4
5.3
Corners
4.7
1.1
Offsides
2
1.71
Yellow Cards
1.5
0
Red Cards
0
525
Total Passes
370

Overview Last 10 Matches

4
Wins
5
10
Over 1.5 Goals
9
8
Over 2.5 Goals
3
8
Over 3.5 Goals
1
5
Both Teams Scored
2
0
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Beijing Guoan
1 - 1 - 0
Dalian Zhixing
Dalian Zhixing Dalian Z 21-Jun-25
1:1
Beijing Beijing Guoan
Dalian Zhixing Dalian Z 05-May-25
0:2
Beijing Beijing Guoan

China - Super League China - Super League

Team Matches Goals Points
1 SHANGHAI SIPG SHANGHAI SIPG29
71-44
63
2 Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai29
64-34
61
3 Chengdu Better City Chengdu Better29
59-27
59
4 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan29
64-45
54
5 Shandong Luneng Shandong29
64-45
50
6 Tianjin Teda Tianjin Teda29
39-38
44
7 Hangzhou Greentown Hangzhou29
58-49
41
8 Yunnan Yukun Yunnan Yukun29
46-51
41
9 Qingdao Youth Island Qingdao Youth29
38-43
37
10 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye29
51-47
36
11 Dalian Zhixing Dalian Zhixing29
30-44
36
12 Sichuan Jiuniu Sichuan Jiuniu29
34-58
26
13 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three29
33-57
25
14 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon29
33-46
24
15 Meizhou Kejia Meizhou Kejia29
35-66
21
16 Changchun Yatai Changchun29
26-51
19
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