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Match Prediction

Beijing Guoan vs Meizhou Kejia Prediction

Finished
China flag China
Super League

Beijing Guoan

€14.50m

22 Nov02:30
5 : 1

Meizhou Kejia

€3.92m

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Beijing Guoan vs Meizhou Kejia Prediction Super League

Beijing Guoan vs Meizhou Kejia Prediction: Stats, Form, and Value Bets

The Beijing Guoan vs Meizhou Kejia prediction for November 22, 2025, is shaping up to be a fascinating read for fans and punters alike. With kickoff set for 07:30 GMT at the iconic Workers' Stadium, this Super League fixture brings together two teams with contrasting fortunes, tactical approaches, and ambitions. Let’s break down the form, tactics, head to head record, and betting odds before diving into our AI-powered tips.

Team Form and Tactical Insights

Beijing Guoan, currently sitting fourth in the Chinese Super League, have shown flashes of brilliance this season but have also struggled with consistency. Their recent 4-0 away win over Changchun Yatai on November 1 was a statement of intent, but it came on the heels of a 2-4 home defeat to Qingdao Jonoon and a 1-2 loss at Shenzhen Xinpengcheng. Injuries have played their part, with key players like S. Wu, X. Zhang, and U. Spajić sidelined for significant stretches. Top scorer Fábio Abreu has been the standout performer, netting 24 league goals and providing a reliable attacking outlet.

Tactically, Guoan have evolved under the guidance of former head coach Quique Setién, who prioritized possession-based, attacking football. Since Setién’s resignation in October 2025, caretaker Ramiro Amarelle has maintained a flexible approach, balancing ball control with defensive discipline. Expect Guoan to dominate possession (predicted 62%) and dictate the tempo, especially at home.

Meizhou Kejia, on the other hand, have endured a tough campaign, languishing in 15th place with just five wins from 29 matches. Their recent 2-2 draw with Dalian Yingbo and a heavy 1-4 loss to Yunnan Yukun highlight ongoing defensive issues. Injuries and suspensions have further complicated matters, with players like T. Yue and J. Mbekeli missing time. Offensively, Rodrigo Henrique and Jerome Mbekeli have provided sparks, but overall, Meizhou’s struggles have forced them into a more reactive, counter-attacking setup.

Head to Head and Historical Context

  • In their last seven meetings, Beijing Guoan have won three times, Meizhou Kejia once, and three matches ended in a draw.
  • Their previous encounter on May 11, 2024, ended 3-2 in favor of Guoan, underlining the potential for high-scoring affairs.
  • On average, 3.29 total goals have been scored per match in their direct encounters.
  • Beijing Guoan have won the last three head to head matches against Meizhou Kejia.

Betting Odds and Market Value

The betting odds for this fixture heavily favor the home side: 1.34 for a Beijing Guoan win, 5.9 for a draw, and 8.0 for a Meizhou Kejia upset. These odds reflect not only the gulf in form but also the difference in squad value—Guoan’s roster is valued at €14.50m, while Meizhou’s stands at €3.92m.

In their last head to head, odds also favored Guoan, but Meizhou have shown they can spring a surprise, as seen in their unexpected draws against stronger opposition this season.

AI Predictions and Value Bets

  1. Best Tip: Over 2.5 Total Goals – Our AI system gives a 8.0/10 confidence rating for at least three goals in the match, with odds at 1.2. Both teams’ recent results and their head to head history support this prediction.
  2. 1x2 Prediction: Home Win – The AI leans towards a Beijing Guoan victory (confidence 2.9/10, odds 1.34), reflecting their superior form, squad depth, and home advantage.
  3. Expected Final Score – The most likely outcome is a 3:1 win for Beijing Guoan, with a 1:0 lead at halftime.
  4. Other Stats – Guoan are expected to have 12 shots (4 on target), while Meizhou Kejia should muster 9 (2 on target). Corners are predicted at 4-3 in favor of the hosts, and disciplinary action should be minimal.

Beijing Guoan vs Meizhou Kejia Prediction: Final Thoughts

All signs point to a high-scoring encounter, with Beijing Guoan likely to control proceedings and Meizhou Kejia hoping to capitalize on rare counter-attacks. The most sensible betting tip is over 2.5 total goals, while a home win looks probable given the stats, form, and head to head record. For those seeking value, the over 2.5 market offers both safety and a solid return.

Mark your calendars for November 22, 2025—this Beijing Guoan vs Meizhou Kejia prediction suggests a match full of goals, drama, and perhaps a few surprises for those who love a good underdog story.

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AI Predictions
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Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Beijing Guoan vs Meizhou Kejia

O2.5 -500

At least 3 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -500
7/10

1x2 Tip

1 -294

Beijing Guoan is expected to win with odds of -294
2/10

Total Goals

Over 2.5 -500

At least 3 goals will be scored in the match
7/10

Both Teams To Score

Yes -250

Both teams are expected to score
3/10

Bet Builder Tip

1X&O2.5 -278

Home win/draw and over 2.5 goals
3/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

3:1

Stats Predictions

62%
Ball Possession
38%
12
Total Shots
9
4
Shots on Goal
2
4
Shots Off Goal
3
4
Corners
3

Average / Match

4.2
Total Goals
3.4
2.1
Goals Scored
1.1
2.1
Goals Against
2.3
63%
Possession
42%
13.9
Total Shots
12.8
5.4
Shots on Goal
4.3
5.1
Shots off Goal
5
13.4
Fouls
13.3
5.6
Corners
4.6
1.6
Offsides
1.4
1.14
Yellow Cards
1.78
0
Red Cards
0.11
493
Total Passes
309

Overview Last 10 Matches

3
Wins
2
10
Over 1.5 Goals
8
9
Over 2.5 Goals
7
6
Over 3.5 Goals
5
6
Both Teams Scored
7
0
Unexpected Wins
0
1
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Beijing Guoan
3 - 3 - 1
Meizhou Kejia
Meizhou Kejia Meizhou Hakka 25-Jun-25
0:4
Beijing Beijing Guoan
Meizhou Kejia Meizhou Hakka 20-Sep-24
1:3
Beijing Beijing Guoan
Beijing Guoan Beijing 11-May-24
3:2
Meizhou Hakka Meizhou Kejia
Meizhou Kejia Meizhou Hakka 12-Jul-23
3:1
Beijing Beijing Guoan
Beijing Guoan Beijing 15-Apr-23
1:1
Meizhou Hakka Meizhou Kejia
Beijing Guoan Beijing 07-Jul-22
0:0
Meizhou Hakka Meizhou Kejia
Meizhou Kejia Meizhou Hakka 17-Jun-22
2:2
Beijing Beijing Guoan

Profile time Recent Matches of Beijing

11 DecL Beijing Beijing.
1:2
Macarthur FC. Macarthur FC
06 DecW Beijing Beijing.
3:0
Henan Jianye. Henan Jianye
27 NovL Cong N Cong N.
2:1
Beijing. Beijing
22 NovW Beijing Beijing.
5:1
Meizhou Hakk. Meizhou Hakka
06 NovW Beijing Beijing.
3:0
Tai Po. Tai Po
01 NovW Changchun Changchun.
0:4
Beijing. Beijing
26 OctL Beijing Beijing.
2:4
Qingdao J. Qingdao J
23 OctD Wofoo Tai Po Wofoo Tai Po.
3:3
Beijing. Beijing
18 OctL Sichuan J Sichuan J.
2:1
Beijing. Beijing
02 OctL Macarthur Macarthur.
3:0
Beijing. Beijing

Profile time Recent Matches of Meizhou Hakka

22 NovLBeijing Beijing.
5:1
Meizhou Hakk.Meizhou Hakka
01 NovDMeizhou K Meizhou K.
2:2
Dalian Yingb.Dalian Yingbo
24 OctLMeizhou K Meizhou K.
1:4
Yunnan Yukun.Yunnan Yukun
17 OctLChengdu B Chengdu B.
3:1
Meizhou K.Meizhou K
04 OctWMeizhou K Meizhou K.
1:0
Qingdao J.Qingdao J
26 SepLShanghai Shanghai .
6:1
Meizhou K.Meizhou K
20 SepLMeizhou K Meizhou K.
1:2
Qingdao Y.Qingdao Y
31 AugLSichuan J Sichuan J.
2:0
Meizhou K.Meizhou K
24 AugDMeizhou K Meizhou K.
2:2
Hangzhou .Hangzhou
16 AugLChangchun Changchun.
1:0
Meizhou K.Meizhou K

China - Super League China - Super League

Team Matches Goals Points
1 SHANGHAI SIPG SHANGHAI SIPG29
71-44
63
2 Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenh29
64-34
61
3 Chengdu Better City Chengdu Better29
59-27
59
4 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan29
64-45
54
5 Shandong Luneng Shandong Lunen29
64-45
50
6 Tianjin Teda Tianjin Teda29
39-38
44
7 Hangzhou Greentown Hangzhou Green29
58-49
41
8 Yunnan Yukun Yunnan Yukun29
46-51
41
9 Qingdao Youth Island Qingdao Youth 29
38-43
37
10 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye29
51-47
36
11 Dalian Zhixing Dalian Zhixing29
30-44
36
12 Sichuan Jiuniu Sichuan Jiuniu29
34-58
26
13 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three To29
33-57
25
14 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon29
33-46
24
15 Meizhou Kejia Meizhou Kejia29
35-66
21
16 Changchun Yatai Changchun Yata29
26-51
19
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