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Match Prediction

Beijing Guoan vs Yunnan Yukun Prediction

Finished
China flag China
Super League

Beijing Guoan

€14.43m

30 Jun07:35
2 : 1

Yunnan Yukun

€7.21m

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Beijing Guoan vs Yunnan Yukun Prediction Super League

Beijing Guoan vs Yunnan Yukun Prediction: Can the Table-Toppers Keep Rolling?

Welcome to your essential Beijing Guoan vs Yunnan Yukun prediction for the Super League fixture set to light up the Workers' Stadium on June 30, 2025, at 12:35 GMT. With Beijing Guoan perched comfortably atop the table with 35 points and Yunnan Yukun holding steady in eighth on 19, this encounter promises more than just a routine three points. Let’s break down the betting odds, tactical context, and statistical nuances—peppered with a dash of journalistic wit—to help you make the smartest picks for this intriguing match-up.

Betting Odds and Value: Home Comforts or Away Day Miracle?

Let’s get straight to the numbers, because that’s what we nerds do best. The latest betting odds paint a clear picture:

  • Home win: 1.4
  • Draw: 4.8
  • Away win: 7.0

NerdyTips’ AI, never one to shy away from a value bet, rates the home win (1) as the most profitable 1x2 option, with a trust rating of 5.4/10. The odds of 1.4 aren’t going to buy you a yacht, but they’re the best pick in a fixture where the gulf in quality is as wide as the Workers' Stadium pitch. For those who like their football with a side of goals, the over 2.5 goals bet (odds 1.48, trust rating 5.3) is also flagged as a smart play.

Tactical Context: Possession, Pressure, and Predictable Patterns

If you’re expecting a tight, cagey affair, think again. Beijing Guoan’s style is all about dominating the ball—an expected 69% possession tells you everything about their approach. Yunnan Yukun, meanwhile, will be chasing shadows for much of the afternoon, with just 31% of the ball predicted. That’s not so much a tactical plan as a survival strategy.

  • Shots: Beijing Guoan 14, Yunnan Yukun 10
  • On-target: Guoan 5, Yukun 2
  • Corners: 4 each (total 8)
  • Yellow cards: 2 apiece (discipline, but not chaos)

The predicted final score? A resounding 3:0 for the hosts, with a 1:0 lead at halftime. It’s not just a win—it’s a statement.

Statistical Analysis: Trends, Team Values, and Head to Head Insights

Let’s zoom out for a second. Across the league, home teams have won 43.0% of matches, with away sides taking just 28.1%. Draws are not uncommon at 28.9%. Both teams have found the net in 52.5% of games, and over 2.5 total goals have landed in 52.5%—so the over is more than just a hunch, it’s a trend.

  • Team values: Beijing Guoan €14.43m, Yunnan Yukun €7.21m
  • Recent results:
    • Guoan drew 2:2 away at Chengdu Better City (odds 5.6)
    • Yukun drew 1:1 away at the same side (odds 7.5)

Both sides have shown they can punch above their weight on the road, but Guoan’s squad depth and financial muscle make them overwhelming favorites at home. The head to head history may not be storied, but the gulf in resources and form is hard to ignore.

Betting Tips and Final Thoughts

To sum up our Beijing Guoan vs Yunnan Yukun prediction:

  1. Home win (1) at 1.4 is the best 1x2 bet, with a trust score of 5.5/10. Not the highest confidence, but the numbers don’t lie.
  2. Over 2.5 goals at 1.48 is a solid shout, given both teams’ recent attacking form and league-wide scoring trends.
  3. Expect a dominant display from Guoan, with possession stats and shot counts heavily in their favor.

So, while football has a habit of throwing up surprises, all signs point to a comfortable home win. If you’re looking for betting value, stick with the favorites and the goals market. And if you’re a neutral, sit back and enjoy the spectacle—unless you’re a Yunnan Yukun fan, in which case, maybe keep your expectations in check.

That wraps up our data-driven, story-rich Beijing Guoan vs Yunnan Yukun prediction. Whether you’re betting, watching, or just here for the stats, may your picks be profitable and your nerves untested!

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AI Predictions
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Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Beijing Guoan vs Yunnan Yukun

1 -250

Beijing Guoan is expected to win with odds of -250
5/10

1x2 Tip

1 -250

Beijing Guoan is expected to win with odds of -250
5/10

Total Goals

Over 2.5 -208

At least 3 goals will be scored in the match
5/10

Both Teams To Score

No 110

At least one team is not expected to score
1/10

Bet Builder Tip

1X&O2.5 -152

Home win/draw and over 2.5 goals
5/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

3:0

Stats Predictions

69%
Ball Possession
31%
14
Total Shots
10
5
Shots on Goal
2
5
Shots Off Goal
4
4
Corners
4
2
Yellow Cards
2

Average / Match

2.7
Total Goals
2.7
2.2
Goals Scored
1.6
0.5
Goals Against
1.1
64%
Possession
44%
14
Total Shots
12.8
5.4
Shots on Goal
4.1
5.1
Shots off Goal
5.9
9.3
Fouls
12.6
4.6
Corners
5.3
1.4
Offsides
1.4
1.13
Yellow Cards
1.5
0.13
Red Cards
0
573
Total Passes
291

Overview Last 10 Matches

8
Wins
6
8
Over 1.5 Goals
7
5
Over 2.5 Goals
6
3
Over 3.5 Goals
3
5
Both Teams Scored
6
0
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Beijing Guoan
2 - 0 - 0
Yunnan Yukun
Beijing Guoan Beijing 30-Jun-25
2:1
Yunnan Yukun Yunnan Yukun
Yunnan Yukun Yunnan Yukun 22-Feb-25
0:2
Beijing Beijing Guoan

Profile time Recent Matches of Beijing

06 Dec Beijing Beijing.
-
Henan Jianye. Henan Jianye

Profile time Recent Matches of Yunnan Yukun

China - Super League China - Super League

Team Matches Goals Points
1 SHANGHAI SIPG SHANGHAI SIPG29
71-44
63
2 Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenh29
64-34
61
3 Chengdu Better City Chengdu Better29
59-27
59
4 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan29
64-45
54
5 Shandong Luneng Shandong Lunen29
64-45
50
6 Tianjin Teda Tianjin Teda29
39-38
44
7 Hangzhou Greentown Hangzhou Green29
58-49
41
8 Yunnan Yukun Yunnan Yukun29
46-51
41
9 Qingdao Youth Island Qingdao Youth 29
38-43
37
10 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye29
51-47
36
11 Dalian Zhixing Dalian Zhixing29
30-44
36
12 Sichuan Jiuniu Sichuan Jiuniu29
34-58
26
13 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three To29
33-57
25
14 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon29
33-46
24
15 Meizhou Kejia Meizhou Kejia29
35-66
21
16 Changchun Yatai Changchun Yata29
26-51
19
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