icon back

Match Prediction

Benfica vs Nice Prediction

Finished
World flag World
UEFA Champions League

Benfica

€332.00m

12 Aug15:00
2 : 0

Nice

€197.65m

Preview

Benfica vs Nice Prediction UEFA Champions League

Benfica vs Nice Prediction: Betting Preview, Odds, and Insights

If you’re searching for the best Benfica vs Nice prediction ahead of the UEFA Champions League third qualifying round second leg, you’ve come to the right place. With Benfica returning to Estádio da Luz on August 12, 2025, holding a comfortable 2-0 lead from the first leg, all eyes are on whether Nice can pull off a miracle or if the home side will simply get the job done. Let’s break down the match context, recent form, team news, and the latest betting odds to help you make the smartest sports betting decisions.

Benfica: Strong Form, Tactical Discipline, and a Home Advantage

Benfica, or simply “Benfica” to their fans, are in a fantastic run of form. Not only did they win the first leg in Nice 2-0 (thanks to second-half goals from Franjo Ivanovic and Florentino), but they also showed their tactical strength by pressing high and controlling the midfield. Their expected goals (xG) in the first leg was 1.87, compared to Nice’s 0.67, which says a lot about their attacking intent and defensive organization.

  • New Signings: Benfica have been busy in the transfer market, bringing in Colombian midfielder Richard Rios from Palmeiras, who adds grit and creativity in the middle of the park. Franjo Ivanovic, fresh from Union SG, has already made an impact on the scoresheet. Full-backs Rafa Obrador and Amar Dedic, plus defensive midfielder Enzo Barrenechea, give the squad even more depth.
  • Injuries: Turkish winger Kerem Aktürkoglu missed the first leg after twisting his ankle, while Alexander Bah and Manu Silva are long-term absentees. Nuno Félix and Bruma are also sidelined, and Tomás Araújo is still recovering individually.
  • Recent Form: Benfica are unbeaten in their last 18 matches in regulation time, including a 1-0 win over Sporting CP in the Super Cup and the 2-0 away win over Nice. Their confidence is sky-high.
  • Tactics: Coach Bruno Lage used an aggressive 3-4-3, pressing Nice and denying them space in midfield. With a two-goal lead, expect Benfica to be disciplined and look for chances on the break.

Benfica’s market value is estimated at €332.00m, a clear sign of their squad strength and depth.

Nice: Injury Woes and a Mountain to Climb

Nice, meanwhile, have it all to do. After losing at home in the first leg, their task is made even harder by a growing injury list and some key players missing.

  • First Leg Struggles: Nice found it hard to break down Benfica’s organized defense, creating few clear chances and conceding twice in the second half.
  • Injuries: Midfielder Morgan Sanson left the first leg with a hamstring injury, and captain Dante has knee pain. Before the first match, Moïse Bombito, Mohamed-Ali Cho, Tanguy Ndombélé, Ali Abdi, and Sofiane Diop were already struggling with knocks.
  • New Faces: Goalkeeper Yehvann Diouf (from Reims) and attacker Isak Jansson (from Rapid Vienna) have joined, but it might be too soon for them to make a real difference.
  • Recent Form: Nice did manage a gritty 2-2 away draw at Lille as big underdogs earlier this year, showing they can surprise, but this Benfica side is a different beast.

Nice’s squad is valued at €197.65m – respectable, but still some way off Benfica’s financial muscle.

Head to Head and Match Context

Looking at the head to head, Benfica’s 2-0 away win gives them a massive advantage. Historically, Benfica have a strong home record in European qualifiers, and with the crowd behind them, it’s hard to see them slipping up. Nice have shown they can battle against the odds, but injuries and the two-goal deficit are huge obstacles.

Benfica vs Nice Prediction, AI Tips, and Betting Odds Analysis

Let’s get into the numbers and predictions that matter for your sports betting. According to our latest AI-powered tips, the best bet for the Benfica vs Nice prediction is a home win (Benfica to win), which is priced at 1.51. While the confidence level is only 2.1/10, and the trust rating is 2.2, the odds reflect how much the bookmakers favor the home side.

  • Home Win Odds: 1.51
  • Draw Odds: 4.22
  • Away Win Odds: 5.8

The over/under market expects goals, with “over 2.5 goals” at 1.7 (confidence 2.0). Our model predicts a final score of 3-0 to Benfica, with a 1-0 lead at halftime. Ball possession is projected to be 67% for Benfica and 33% for Nice, further underlining the home team’s dominance.

  1. Total Shots: Benfica 14, Nice 8
  2. Shots on Target: Benfica 5, Nice 2
  3. Total Corners: 8 (Benfica 5, Nice 3)
  4. Yellow Cards: 2 for each team

These stats, paired with the market value difference and Benfica’s recent form, make the home win prediction feel even safer. That said, the AI’s low confidence rating is a gentle reminder that football is never 100% predictable—especially in Champions League qualifiers, where nerves can play a part.

Final Thoughts: Best Bets and What to Watch For

To sum up our Benfica vs Nice prediction:

  • Benfica to win is the best tip, with odds of 1.51. The trust rating is moderate, so consider it a solid but not risk-free bet.
  • Over 2.5 goals is another strong option, as Benfica are likely to attack and Nice will have to chase the game.
  • If you’re feeling brave, a correct score bet of 3-0 to Benfica could offer value based on our AI’s prediction.

With Benfica’s tactical discipline, superior squad value, and the cushion of a first-leg lead, they are clear favorites. Nice’s injuries and away disadvantage make their task almost impossible, but football has a habit of surprising us. For now, though, all signs point to Benfica progressing comfortably.

Good luck with your bets, and remember: even the best Benfica vs Nice prediction can’t guarantee what happens on the pitch. That’s what makes football—and sports betting—so much fun.

Read More

AI Predictions
Powered by NerdyTips Logo

Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Benfica vs Nice

1 -196

Benfica is expected to win with odds of -196
2/10

1x2 Tip

1 -196

Benfica is expected to win with odds of -196
2/10

Total Goals

Over 2.5 -143

At least 3 goals will be scored in the match
1/10

Both Teams To Score

No 100

At least one team is not expected to score
3/10

Bet Builder Tip

1X&O1.5 -313

Home win/draw and over 1.5 goals
4/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

3:0

Stats Predictions

67%
Ball Possession
33%
14
Total Shots
8
5
Shots on Goal
2
4
Shots Off Goal
3
5
Corners
3
2
Yellow Cards
2

Average / Match

3.2
Total Goals
3.1
1.9
Goals Scored
2
1.3
Goals Against
1.1
51%
Possession
50%
12.3
Total Shots
15.5
4.6
Shots on Goal
5.6
4.1
Shots off Goal
6.1
12.5
Fouls
10.6
4.5
Corners
5.4
3.4
Offsides
2
2.88
Yellow Cards
1.38
0.13
Red Cards
0
410
Total Passes
456

Overview Last 10 Matches

5
Wins
6
8
Over 1.5 Goals
9
5
Over 2.5 Goals
7
5
Over 3.5 Goals
3
6
Both Teams Scored
5
0
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
1

Head to Head

Benfica
2 - 0 - 0
Nice
Nice Nice 06-Aug-25
0:2
Benfica Benfica
Benfica Benfica 15-Jul-22
3:0
Nice Nice

Profile time Recent Matches of Benfica

10 Dec Benfica Benfica.
-
Napoli. Napoli
05 DecD Benfica Benfica.
1:1
Sporting CP. Sporting CP

Profile time Recent Matches of Nice

11 DecNice Nice.
-
Braga.Braga
07 DecLNice Nice.
0:1
Angers.Angers

World - UEFA Champions League World - UEFA Champions League

Team Matches Goals Points
1 Arsenal Arsenal5
14-1
15
2 Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Ge5
19-8
12
3 Bayern München Bayern Münche5
15-6
12
4 Inter Inter5
12-3
12
5 Real Madrid Real Madrid5
12-5
12
6 Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortm5
17-11
10
7 Chelsea Chelsea5
12-6
10
8 Sporting CP Sporting CP5
11-5
10
9 Manchester City Manchester Cit5
10-5
10
10 Atalanta Atalanta5
6-5
10
11 Newcastle Newcastle5
11-4
9
12 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madri5
12-10
9
13 Liverpool Liverpool5
10-8
9
14 Galatasaray Galatasaray5
8-7
9
15 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven5
13-8
8
16 Tottenham Tottenham5
10-7
8
17 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkus5
8-10
8
18 Barcelona Barcelona5
12-10
7
19 Qarabag Qarabag5
8-9
7
20 Napoli Napoli5
6-9
7
21 Marseille Marseille5
8-6
6
22 Juventus Juventus5
10-10
6
23 Monaco Monaco5
6-8
6
24 Pafos Pafos5
4-7
6
25 Union St. Gilloise Union St. Gill5
5-12
6
26 Club Brugge KV Club Brugge KV5
8-13
4
27 Athletic Club Athletic Club5
4-9
4
28 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Fran5
7-14
4
29 FC Copenhagen FC Copenhagen5
7-14
4
30 Benfica Benfica5
4-8
3
31 Slavia Praha Slavia Praha5
2-8
3
32 Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt5
7-11
2
33 Olympiakos Piraeus Olympiakos Pir5
5-13
2
34 Villarreal Villarreal5
2-10
1
35 Kairat Almaty Kairat Almaty5
4-14
1
36 Ajax Ajax5
1-16
0
Video preview
Log In
Register
Bankers
All Matches