What is the best bet for Benfica vs Real Madrid?

Based on AI analysis, the best bet is 'over 2.5' at odds of 1.5.

What are the latest odds for Benfica vs Real Madrid?

The latest odds are: Home Win - 4.3, Draw - 4.2, Away Win - 1.83.

What is the predicted total goals (Under/Over) for Benfica vs Real Madrid?

Our AI predicts the best bet for total goals in this match is 'over 2.5' goals. The available odds for this selection are 1.5.

What is the best 1X2 betting tip for Benfica vs Real Madrid?

Our AI-powered prediction suggests that the best 1X2 bet for this match is '2'. The available odds for this selection are 1.83.

What is the predicted final score for Benfica vs Real Madrid?

Our AI predicts a final score of 0:3.

What is the predicted halftime score for Benfica vs Real Madrid?

Our AI predicts the halftime score will be 0:1.

What is the expected ball possession for Benfica vs Real Madrid?

Our AI predicts Benfica will have 35% possession, while Real Madrid will have 65% possession.

How many shots are expected in Benfica vs Real Madrid?

The total number of shots is expected to be 28, with Benfica taking 11 shots and Real Madrid taking 17 shots.

How many corners are predicted in Benfica vs Real Madrid?

The match is expected to have a total of 8 corners, with Benfica earning 2 corners and Real Madrid earning 6 corners.

What is the predicted number of yellow cards for Benfica vs Real Madrid?

According to our AI prediction, this match is expected to have a total of 2 yellow cards. Benfica is projected to receive 1 yellow cards, while Real Madrid is expected to receive 1 yellow cards.

What is the squad value of Benfica before the match against Real Madrid?

The current estimated market value of Benfica is €355.50m. This reflects the financial strength of their squad before facing Real Madrid.

What is the squad value of Real Madrid before the match against Benfica?

The current estimated market value of Real Madrid is €1.35bn. This represents their squad’s financial standing before playing against Benfica.

How many goals are expected in the first half of Benfica vs Real Madrid?

Our AI predicts that the first half of Benfica vs Real Madrid will have a total of 1 goals, based on the predicted halftime score of 0:1.

How many total goals are expected in Benfica vs Real Madrid?

According to our AI prediction, the match between Benfica and Real Madrid is expected to have a total of 3 goals, based on the predicted full-time score of 0:3.

Benfica vs Real Madrid Prediction

Finished

World

UEFA Champions League

Benfica

€355.50m

28 Jan15:00

4 : 2

Real Madrid

€1.35bn

Preview

Benfica vs Real Madrid Prediction UEFA Champions League

Benfica vs Real Madrid Prediction: Tactical Insights and Betting Tips

The Estádio da Luz in Lisbon is set for a compelling UEFA Champions League encounter as Benfica welcome Real Madrid on January 28, 2026, with kickoff at 20:00 GMT. If you’re looking for a Benfica vs Real Madrid prediction that blends tactical analysis and betting tips, you’re in the right place. Both sides have storied European histories, but with different trajectories in recent years, this match promises intrigue—and perhaps a sprinkle of unpredictability.

Team News, Form, and Tactical Approaches

This fixture is a rarity—these teams haven’t squared off in an official match since 1965. For the trivia fans: Benfica have never lost at home to Real Madrid, whether in friendlies or competitive games. But history can only carry you so far, especially when Real Madrid are in town.

Benfica: Under the experienced José Mourinho, Benfica are enduring a tough Champions League campaign, sitting 29th with just 6 points from seven matches. Their recent form is a mixed bag—two wins and three losses in their last five European outings. Mourinho, never one to mince words, has pointed out the team’s struggles in turning possession and build-up play into goals. He cited a match where Benfica entered the Juventus penalty area 34 times without scoring—a stat that would make any striker lose sleep.
Injury List: Benfica are missing several key players, including Dodi Lukebakio (broken ankle), Alexander Bah (cruciate ligament), and Richard Ríos (shoulder). There’s some good news: Rafa Silva is back, but after a long layoff, expectations are tempered.
Tactics: Expect Mourinho’s Benfica to be compact and disciplined, focusing on defensive solidity and quick transitions. Their high pressing can be effective, but the big question is whether they can finally convert chances into goals.

Real Madrid: The Spanish giants arrive in Lisbon riding a wave of momentum. With Álvaro Arbeloa now at the helm, Los Blancos have won three in a row and sit 3rd in the Champions League league phase, with 15 points and a healthy goal difference of 19:8. Their recent record: three wins and two defeats in Europe.
Injury List: Real Madrid are without Éder Militão and Ferland Mendy, both long-term absentees. Antonio Rüdiger is close to a return, while Trent Alexander-Arnold is expected back in early February. Rodrygo and Brahim Díaz are available, and Tchouaméni returns from suspension.
Tactics: Arbeloa’s Madrid are tactically flexible, often morphing between a 4.35-3 and more experimental shapes in possession. Their high press and technical quality in midfield—especially when Alexander-Arnold drifts inside—mean they can suffocate opponents and create a flurry of chances.

On paper, Real Madrid’s squad value (€1.35bn) dwarfs Benfica’s (€355.50m), and the predicted ball possession (65% for Madrid) suggests a game played mostly in Benfica’s half. But as Benfica’s famous 2022 win over Ajax proved, odds and history can sometimes be rewritten.

Benfica vs Real Madrid Prediction: Stats, Odds, and Best Bets

Let’s dive into the numbers and see what our AI has to say about this Benfica vs Real Madrid prediction. The betting markets heavily favor the visitors, with odds of 1.83 for a Real Madrid win, 4.35 for a draw, and a long 4.35 for a home triumph. The smart money? It’s on goals.

Over 2.5 Goals: Our AI model gives this the highest confidence (5.7/10) and odds of 1.5. Both teams have shown attacking intent, but Madrid’s firepower and Benfica’s leaky defense suggest at least three goals could be on the cards.
1x2 Prediction: The most probable result, according to our projections, is an away win (Real Madrid), with a trust level of 5.6/10. The final score prediction? A convincing 0:3 for Madrid, with the Spanish side expected to dominate both possession and chances (17 shots for Madrid, 11 for Benfica).
Other Stats: Expect Madrid to rack up 6 shots on target to Benfica’s 2, and corners to follow a similar pattern (6-2 in favor of Madrid). Even the yellow card count is expected to be polite—just one apiece.

If you’re searching for Benfica vs Real Madrid betting tips, here’s the summary:

Back Real Madrid to win (odds 1.83)—they have the form, the talent, and the tactical edge.
Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.5) is the value play, with both teams likely to create chances and Madrid expected to do most of the scoring.
Scoreline tip: 0:3 in favor of Real Madrid, with a half-time lead of 0:1.

Head to Head and Final Thoughts

While Benfica have never lost at home to Real Madrid, the weight of history might not be enough this time. The head to head stats are sparse, but all signs point to a dominant Madrid performance. Mourinho’s men will need more than grit—they’ll need goals, and plenty of them, to upset the odds.

In summary, our Benfica vs Real Madrid prediction leans heavily toward the Spanish giants. Expect Real Madrid’s class to shine through, but don’t rule out a moment of magic from Benfica—after all, European nights in Lisbon have delivered surprises before. For punters and fans alike, this one’s set to be a fascinating watch.

Benfica vs Real Madrid Prediction: Tactical Insights and Betting Tips

Team News, Form, and Tactical Approaches

Benfica: Under the experienced José Mourinho, Benfica are enduring a tough Champions League campaign, sitting 29th with just 6 points from seven matches. Their recent form is a mixed bag—two wins and three losses in their last five European outings. Mourinho, never one to mince words, has pointed out the team’s struggles in turning possession and build-up play into goals. He cited a match where Benfica entered the Juventus penalty area 34 times without scoring—a stat that would make any striker lose sleep.
Injury List: Benfica are missing several key players, including Dodi Lukebakio (broken ankle), Alexander Bah (cruciate ligament), and Richard Ríos (shoulder). There’s some good news: Rafa Silva is back, but after a long layoff, expectations are tempered.
Tactics: Expect Mourinho’s Benfica to be compact and disciplined, focusing on defensive solidity and quick transitions. Their high pressing can be effective, but the big question is whether they can finally convert chances into goals.

Real Madrid: The Spanish giants arrive in Lisbon riding a wave of momentum. With Álvaro Arbeloa now at the helm, Los Blancos have won three in a row and sit 3rd in the Champions League league phase, with 15 points and a healthy goal difference of 19:8. Their recent record: three wins and two defeats in Europe.
Injury List: Real Madrid are without Éder Militão and Ferland Mendy, both long-term absentees. Antonio Rüdiger is close to a return, while Trent Alexander-Arnold is expected back in early February. Rodrygo and Brahim Díaz are available, and Tchouaméni returns from suspension.
Tactics: Arbeloa’s Madrid are tactically flexible, often morphing between a 4.35-3 and more experimental shapes in possession. Their high press and technical quality in midfield—especially when Alexander-Arnold drifts inside—mean they can suffocate opponents and create a flurry of chances.

Benfica vs Real Madrid Prediction: Stats, Odds, and Best Bets

Over 2.5 Goals: Our AI model gives this the highest confidence (5.7/10) and odds of 1.5. Both teams have shown attacking intent, but Madrid’s firepower and Benfica’s leaky defense suggest at least three goals could be on the cards.
1x2 Prediction: The most probable result, according to our projections, is an away win (Real Madrid), with a trust level of 5.6/10. The final score prediction? A convincing 0:3 for Madrid, with the Spanish side expected to dominate both possession and chances (17 shots for Madrid, 11 for Benfica).
Other Stats: Expect Madrid to rack up 6 shots on target to Benfica’s 2, and corners to follow a similar pattern (6-2 in favor of Madrid). Even the yellow card count is expected to be polite—just one apiece.

If you’re searching for Benfica vs Real Madrid betting tips, here’s the summary:

Back Real Madrid to win (odds 1.83)—they have the form, the talent, and the tactical edge.
Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.5) is the value play, with both teams likely to create chances and Madrid expected to do most of the scoring.
Scoreline tip: 0:3 in favor of Real Madrid, with a half-time lead of 0:1.

Head to Head and Final Thoughts

AI Predictions

Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Benfica vs Real Madrid

O2.5 -200

At least 3 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -200

5/10

1x2 Tip

2 -120

Real Madrid is expected to win with odds of -120

5/10

Total Goals

Over 2.5 -200

At least 3 goals will be scored in the match

5/10

Both Teams To Score

No 175

At least one team is not expected to score

1/10

Bet Builder Tip

X2&O1.5 -238

Away win/draw and over 1.5 goals

8/10

Both Teams To Score

Half-Time Score

0:1

Correct Score

0:3

Stats Predictions

0.74

2.24

35%

Ball Possession

65%

Total Shots

Shots on Goal

Shots Off Goal

Corners

Yellow Cards

Average / Match

2.8

Total Goals

1.9

Goals Scored

2.8

0.9

Goals Against

1.2

53%

Possession

52%

15.1

Total Shots

17.8

5.5

Shots on Goal

5.9

Shots off Goal

5.7

Fouls

10.5

6.2

Corners

6.8

1.3

Offsides

0.6

0.8

Yellow Cards

1.6

490

Total Passes

539

Overview Last 10 Matches

Wins

Over 1.5 Goals

Over 2.5 Goals

Over 3.5 Goals

Both Teams Scored

Unexpected Wins

Unexpected Loses

Head to Head

0 - 0 - 0

Recent Matches of Benfica

01 Feb		Tondela.	-	Benfica.
28 Jan	W	Benfica.	4:2	Real Madri.
25 Jan	W	Benfica.	4:0	Estrela.
21 Jan	L	Juventus.	2:0	Benfica.
17 Jan	W	Rio Ave.	0:2	Benfica.
14 Jan	L	FC Porto.	1:0	Benfica.
07 Jan	L	Benfica.	1:3	Braga.
03 Jan	W	Benfica.	3:1	Estoril.
28 Dec	D	Braga.	2:2	Benfica.
22 Dec	W	Benfica.	1:0	Famalicao.

Recent Matches of Real Madrid

01 Feb		Real Madri.	-	Vallecano.
28 Jan	L	Benfica.	4:2	Real Madri.
24 Jan	W	Villarreal.	0:2	Real Madri.
20 Jan	W	Real Madri.	6:1	Monaco.
17 Jan	W	Real Madri.	2:0	Levante.
14 Jan	L	Albacete.	3:2	Real Madri.
11 Jan	L	Barcelona.	3:2	Real Madri.
08 Jan	W	Atl. Madri.	1:2	Real Madri.
04 Jan	W	Real Madri.	5:1	Betis.
20 Dec	W	Real Madri.	2:0	Sevilla.

World - UEFA Champions League

	Team	Matches	Goals	Points
1	Arsenal	7	20-2	21
2	Bayern	7	20-7	18
3	Real Madrid	7	19-8	15
4	Liverpool	7	14-8	15
5	Tottenham	7	15-7	14
6	Paris Saint	7	20-10	13
7	Newcastle	7	16-6	13
8	Chelsea	7	14-8	13
9	Barcelona	7	18-13	13
10	Sporting CP	7	14-9	13
11	Manchester	7	13-9	13
12	Atletico	7	16-13	13
13	Atalanta	7	10-9	13
14	Inter	7	13-7	12
15	Juventus	7	14-10	12
16	Borussia	7	19-15	11
17	Galatasaray	7	9-9	10
18	Qarabag	7	13-15	10
19	Marseille	7	11-11	9
20	Bayer	7	10-14	9
21	Monaco	7	8-14	9
22	PSV Eindhoven	7	15-14	8
23	Athletic Club	7	7-11	8
24	Olympiakos	7	8-13	8
25	Napoli	7	7-12	8
26	FC Copenhagen	7	11-17	8
27	Club Brugge KV	7	12-17	7
28	Bodo/Glimt	7	12-14	6
29	Benfica	7	6-10	6
30	Pafos	7	4-10	6
31	Union St.	7	7-17	6
32	Ajax	7	7-19	6
33	Eintracht	7	10-19	4
34	Slavia Praha	7	4-15	3
35	Villarreal	7	5-15	1
36	Kairat Almaty	7	5-19	1