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Match Prediction

Beroe vs Cherno More Prediction

Finished
Bulgaria flag Bulgaria
First League

Beroe

€5.40m

3 Dec08:30
1 : 2

Cherno More

€5.45m

Preview

Beroe vs Cherno More Prediction First League

Beroe vs Cherno More Prediction: Odds, Tips & Match Analysis

Welcome to our Beroe vs Cherno More prediction for the upcoming First League encounter on December 3, 2025, at 13:30 GMT. With both teams heading into this fixture with contrasting fortunes and form, we’ll break down the tactics, recent stats, and provide our expert betting tips for those looking to make the most out of this intriguing match-up.

Team Form, Tactics & Recent Context

As the winter chill settles over Stara Zagora, Beroe and Cherno More prepare for a match that could have significant implications for both sides. The hosts, Beroe, currently find themselves in 13th place, struggling to find consistency. With just 3 wins from 15 matches, their form has been anything but inspiring—especially when compared to Cherno More, who sit comfortably in 5th and have established themselves as one of the more reliable sides in the First League this season.

  • Beroe have managed only a 20% win rate, with their home form reading 2 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses. Their attack has produced 14 goals, but defensive lapses remain a concern.
  • Cherno More boast a 44% win rate, with a particularly impressive away record (4 wins, 3 draws, 1 loss). Their 20 goals scored highlight a more clinical approach in front of goal.

Beroe’s tactical approach often relies on a compact midfield and quick transitions, but injuries to key players like Viktorio Valkov and Stefan Gavrilov have left them a bit short-handed. The midfield duo of Caio Lopes and Álex Masogo also walks a disciplinary tightrope, both at risk of suspension due to accumulated yellow cards.

Cherno More, meanwhile, have their own injury headaches—Dimitar Tonev and Tsvetomir Panov are sidelined, while centre-back Zhivko Atanasov is out with a strain. Despite these setbacks, their tactical discipline and ability to control possession (expected at 58% for this match) should give them the upper hand.

Head to Head: Cherno More’s Edge

A look at the head to head record tells a clear story: Cherno More have won 20 of their 47 meetings, compared to Beroe’s 12, with 15 draws. The average goals per match in this fixture stands at a modest 1.66, hinting at generally tight affairs. Recent history favors the visitors as well—Cherno More won 4-0 in August and drew 1-1 in April, while their last meeting saw Cherno More edge Beroe 1-0.

  • Last H2H: Cherno More 1-0 Beroe (November 2024)
  • August 2025: Cherno More 4-0 Beroe
  • April 2025: Beroe 1-1 Cherno More

Betting Tips, Odds & AI Predictions

Our Beroe vs Cherno More prediction is shaped by both form and the numbers. The odds paint a clear picture: Beroe are underdogs at 4.85 for a home win, a draw sits at 3.45, while Cherno More are favorites at 1.87 for the away win. Our AI at NerdyTips has crunched the stats and sees value in backing the visitors.

  1. 1X2 Prediction: Cherno More to win (odds 1.87, trust level 5.0/10). Their superior away form and head to head dominance make this a logical choice.
  2. Under/Over Goals: Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.25, confidence level 7.0/10). Both teams are expected to keep things tight, with an estimated final score of 0:1 and just 6-10 total shots per side.

Our expected scoreline is a narrow 1-0 win for Cherno More, with the first half likely to end goalless. The match is forecast to produce 8 corners (Beroe 2, Cherno More 6) and just one yellow card for the home side—pointing to a disciplined, low-scoring affair.

  • Possession: Beroe 42%, Cherno More 58%
  • Shots: Beroe 6 (3 on target), Cherno More 10 (3 on target)
  • Market Values: Beroe €5.40m, Cherno More €5.45m

Final Thoughts: Value Bets and Strategy

Given all the above, our Beroe vs Cherno More prediction leans strongly towards the visitors, who have shown resilience even in tough away fixtures—like their recent draw at CSKA Sofia. Beroe, despite the odds, have occasionally punched above their weight (see their 2-2 draw at Arda Kardzhali), but the gulf in quality and form is hard to ignore here.

For those looking for value, the under 3.5 goals market at 1.25 looks like a solid anchor for accumulators, while a straight Cherno More win is a tempting single for punters who trust the numbers.

In summary, the best betting tips for this fixture are:

  • Cherno More to win (odds 1.87)
  • Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.25)

As always, check for late team news before placing your bets and remember that while the stats favor Cherno More, football has a way of surprising us all. Good luck!

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AI Predictions
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Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Beroe vs Cherno More

U3.5 -400

No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -400
6/10

1x2 Tip

2 -115

Cherno More is expected to win with odds of -115
4/10

Total Goals

Under 3.5 -400

No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match
6/10

Both Teams To Score

No -139

At least one team is not expected to score
1/10

Bet Builder Tip

X2&U4.5 -286

Away win/draw and under 4.5 goals
7/10
Both Teams To Score

Half-Time Score

0:0

Correct Score

0:1

Stats Predictions

42%
Ball Possession
58%
6
Total Shots
10
3
Shots on Goal
3
3
Shots Off Goal
6
2
Corners
6

Average / Match

2.1
Total Goals
1.9
0.6
Goals Scored
1.1
1.5
Goals Against
0.8
45%
Possession
50%
7
Total Shots
7.8
3.5
Shots on Goal
3
3.5
Shots off Goal
4.8
10.5
Fouls
12.2
3.3
Corners
5.2
1.2
Offsides
1.6
2
Yellow Cards
1.4

Overview Last 10 Matches

1
Wins
4
5
Over 1.5 Goals
5
4
Over 2.5 Goals
4
3
Over 3.5 Goals
2
5
Both Teams Scored
4
0
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
1

Head to Head

Beroe
5 - 4 - 10
Cherno More
Cherno More Cherno More 04-Aug-25
4:0
Beroe Beroe
Cherno More Cherno More 18-Apr-25
1:1
Beroe Beroe
Beroe Beroe 09-Nov-24
0:1
Cherno More Cherno More
Beroe Beroe 09-Mar-24
2:0
Cherno More Cherno More
Cherno More Cherno More 15-Sep-23
2:0
Beroe Beroe
Cherno More Cherno More 18-Feb-23
1:1
Beroe Beroe
Beroe Beroe 06-Aug-22
0:2
Cherno More Cherno More
Cherno More Cherno More 26-Nov-21
1:0
Beroe Beroe
Beroe Beroe 27-Oct-21
1:0
Cherno More Cherno More
Beroe Beroe 07-Aug-21
0:2
Cherno More Cherno More

Profile time Recent Matches of Beroe

19 Dec Beroe Beroe.
-
Ludogorets. Ludogorets
07 DecD Beroe Beroe.
0:0
Septemvri. Septemvri
03 DecL Beroe Beroe.
1:2
Cherno More. Cherno More
29 NovL CSKA 1948 CSKA 1948.
2:1
Beroe. Beroe
21 NovD Beroe Beroe.
0:0
Spartak Varn. Spartak Varna
08 NovL Lok. Plovdiv Lok. Plovdiv.
1:0
Beroe. Beroe
03 NovL Beroe Beroe.
1:3
Lok. Sofia. Lok. Sofia
29 OctD Vitosha B Vitosha B.
0:0
Beroe. Beroe
26 OctL CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia.
5:1
Beroe. Beroe
20 OctD Beroe Beroe.
1:1
Montana. Montana

Profile time Recent Matches of Cherno More

12 DecLCherno More Cherno More.
0:3
Arda.Arda
06 DecWCherno More Cherno More.
2:0
CSKA Sofia.CSKA Sofia
03 DecWBeroe Beroe.
1:2
Cherno More.Cherno More
29 NovLBotev Plovdiv Botev Plovdi.
2:1
Cherno More.Cherno More
22 NovLCherno More Cherno More.
0:1
Lok. Sofia.Lok. Sofia
09 NovWCSKA 1948 CSKA 1948.
0:1
Cherno More.Cherno More
02 NovDCherno More Cherno More.
0:0
Ludogorets.Ludogorets
29 OctWMinyor P Minyor P.
0:3
Cherno More.Cherno More
25 OctDSlavia Sofia Slavia Sofia.
0:0
Cherno More.Cherno More
19 OctLCherno More Cherno More.
1:3
Levski Sofia.Levski Sofia

Bulgaria - First League Bulgaria - First League

Team Matches Goals Points
1 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia19
43-12
44
2 CSKA 1948 CSKA 194819
31-20
37
3 Ludogorets Ludogorets18
31-13
34
4 Cherno More Varna Cherno More Va19
25-14
33
5 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia19
27-16
31
6 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plov19
20-22
29
7 Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia19
23-21
28
8 Lokomotiv Sofia Lokomotiv Sofi19
21-18
26
9 Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa19
15-16
25
10 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali19
20-19
24
11 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv19
25-29
21
12 Spartak Varna Spartak Varna19
18-30
17
13 Beroe Beroe18
16-28
16
14 Montana Montana19
14-33
15
15 Septemvri Sofia Septemvri Sofi19
19-41
15
16 Dobrudzha Dobrudzha19
13-29
12
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