Match Prediction
Match Prediction
Turkey
Besiktas
€117.90m
Basaksehir
€55.30m
Preview
When Besiktas and Istanbul Basaksehir face off on April 12, 2025, at Tüpraş Stadyumu, it’s more than just a Süper Lig match—it’s a battle for bragging rights in Turkey’s biggest city. With Besiktas sitting 4th and Basaksehir 6th, the stakes are high, and the betting markets are buzzing. Let’s break down what to expect and where the smart money might go.
The odds tell the story: Besiktas are priced at 1.86 for a home win, while Basaksehir’s victory sits at 4.0. That’s a significant gap, and the stats back it up. Besiktas not only have a stronger squad (valued at €117.90m compared to Basaksehir’s €55.30m) but also better recent form. They’re expected to control the game with 58% possession, outshoot their opponents 16 to 8, and dominate set pieces with 6 corners to Basaksehir’s 2.
Their last meeting in November 2023 ended in a 1-0 win for Besiktas, and the home side will be eager to repeat that performance. The NerdyTips AI gives a 4.8/10 confidence rating for a home win, suggesting it’s the safer bet—but not a sure thing. After all, this is the Süper Lig, where surprises happen weekly.
Don’t write off Istanbul Basaksehir just yet. They’ve shown they can punch above their weight, like in their 2-2 draw against Galatasaray earlier this year as heavy underdogs. They might not dominate possession, but they’re disciplined defensively and could frustrate Besiktas. Plus, their higher yellow card count (2 vs. Besiktas’ 1) hints at a physical approach—something that could disrupt the flow of the game.
If Basaksehir can stay organized and capitalize on counterattacks, they might just steal a point—or even all three. The draw odds at 3.6 could tempt those who believe in their resilience.
Looking at Süper Lig trends, home teams win 45.1% of matches, and both teams score in 56.4% of games. Goals are common, with 77% of matches seeing over 1.5 and 52.9% over 2.5. However, high-scoring affairs (over 3.6 goals) are rarer at 31.3%. This aligns with NerdyTips’ under 3.6 goals recommendation (1.36 odds, 3.1 confidence).
The expected scoreline of 2-1 for Besiktas feels plausible, especially with a likely halftime lead of 1-0. If you’re leaning toward a home win, combining it with under 3.6 goals might be a smart move.
One wild card? The referee. Basaksehir’s tendency for yellow cards could play a role if the official keeps a tight grip on the game. A early booking or two could shift momentum, making the match even tighter than expected. It’s worth keeping an eye on the officiating style when placing live bets.
While Besiktas vs Istanbul Basaksehir might not be the flashiest fixture on the calendar, it’s packed with betting potential. The home side’s edge in quality and stats makes them the logical pick, but Basaksehir’s grit means it won’t be a walk in the park. For those following the numbers, a Besiktas win at 1.86 is the standout choice, though the under 3.6 goals market offers a safer fallback.
Whatever you decide, this Süper Lig clash promises drama—and maybe a few surprises. Just don’t blame the NerdyTips AI if Basaksehir defy the odds again. After all, that’s why we love football.
Read More
Derby match
1 -116
Besiktas is expected to win with odds of -1161 -116
Besiktas is expected to win with odds of -116Under 3.5 -278
No more than 3 goals will be scored in the matchYes -143
Both teams are expected to score1X&U4.5 -204
Home win/draw and under 4.5 goals
2:1
|
|
9
-
12
-
7
|
|
 Besiktas |
12-Apr-25
0:2
| Basaksehir  |
| Basaksehir |
10-Nov-24
0:0
| Besiktas |
| Basaksehir |
04-Apr-24
1:1
| Besiktas |
| Besiktas |
12-Nov-23
1:0
| Basaksehir |
| Basaksehir |
12-Mar-23
0:2
| Besiktas |
| Besiktas |
12-Sep-22
0:1
| Basaksehir |
| Besiktas |
07-Mar-22
2:2
| Basaksehir |
| Basaksehir |
15-Oct-21
3:2
| Besiktas |
| Besiktas |
27-Jul-21
1:0
| Basaksehir |
Recent Matches of Besiktas| 14 Dec |
Trabzonspor.
|
-
| Besiktas.
| |
| 08 Dec | D |
Besiktas.
|
2:2
| Gaziantep.
|
Recent Matches of Basaksehir
| 14 Dec |  Samsunspor. |
- |
Basaksehir. |
Turkey - Süper Lig| Team | Matches | Goals | Points | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Galatasaray | 36 | 91-31 | 95 |
| 2 |
Fenerbahce | 36 | 90-39 | 84 |
| 3 |
Samsunspor | 36 | 55-41 | 64 |
| 4 |
Besiktas | 36 | 59-36 | 62 |
| 5 |
Istanbul Basak | 36 | 60-56 | 54 |
| 6 |
Eyüpspor | 36 | 52-47 | 53 |
| 7 |
Trabzonspor | 36 | 58-45 | 51 |
| 8 |
Goztepe | 36 | 59-50 | 50 |
| 9 |
Rizespor | 36 | 52-58 | 49 |
| 10 |
Kasimpasa | 36 | 62-63 | 47 |
| 11 |
Konyaspor | 36 | 45-50 | 46 |
| 12 |
Alanyaspor | 36 | 43-50 | 45 |
| 13 |
Kayserispor | 36 | 45-57 | 45 |
| 14 |
Gazişehir Gaz | 36 | 45-50 | 45 |
| 15 |
Antalyaspor | 36 | 37-62 | 44 |
| 16 |
BB Bodrumspor | 36 | 26-43 | 37 |
| 17 |
Sivasspor | 36 | 44-60 | 35 |
| 18 |
Hatayspor | 36 | 47-74 | 26 |
| 19 |
Adana Demirspo | 36 | 34-92 | 2 |
