Match Prediction
Match Prediction
England
Preview
The Birmingham vs Leicester prediction for Saturday, 2026-02-07 (15:01 GMT) starts with one simple question: which team looks more settled right now? Birmingham arrive with form, structure, and a home ground that has become a habit, while Leicester travel amid a coaching shake-up and a defensive headache.
St. Andrew’s @ Knighthead Park hosts a fixture that lands at very different moments for the two clubs. Chris Davies is firmly at the wheel for Birmingham and has spoken about a refreshed feel in the squad after January business. Leicester, meanwhile, are trying to stop the wobble: Martí Cifuentes was dismissed late in January, Andy King has stepped in, and the talk is that the board has been bold enough to explore a return for Enzo Maresca, with Gary Rowett also mentioned. If nothing is agreed by Friday, King is expected to lead again.
That points to Birmingham setting the tempo early, and Leicester trying to stay in the game long enough to nick moments in transition.
Davies usually keeps Birmingham in a 4-2-3-1 with a high press and busy wing-backs. Tomoki Iwata is a major doubt after a hip problem picked up against Oxford; if he misses out, Bright Osayi-Samuel looks the practical fix at right-back. Ethan Laird and Marvin Ducksch remain out, while Demarai Gray and Jack Robinson are close but may not be ready to start. Lee Buchanan is a longer-term absence.
Leicester’s 4-2-3-1 shape may stay on paper, but the approach is less certain under interim management. Suspensions to Harry Winks and Caleb Okoli, plus Jannik Vestergaard injured and Wout Faes already gone, make the back line a puzzle. Youngster Ben Nelson could be required at centre-back, while new loan signing Joe Aribo is expected to be available. Expect Leicester to lean on Ricardo Pereira’s experience and Abdul Fatawu’s pace on the break.
Recent head to head trends still lean Leicester: they’ve won eight of the last 11 meetings, with Birmingham taking just one win in that spell. The last meeting on 2023-12-18 finished 3-2 to Leicester, and the reverse fixture in August 2025 ended 2-0 Leicester despite Birmingham having more of the ball and more shots. In other words: Leicester can be clinical, even when they don’t control the match.
The market makes Birmingham clear favourites: betting odds show 1.75 for the home win, 3.9 the draw, and 4.9 the away win. That matches the underlying game script: Birmingham are projected at 57% possession, 15 total shots to Leicester’s 8, and 6 corners to 2. Shots on target are estimated at 4-2, which is not a landslide, but it is usually enough to win a Championship home game.
Those two tips work well together: if Birmingham’s pressing forces mistakes against a patched-up Leicester defence, you can get your total goals without needing a wild end-to-end game. The model’s expected score is 2-1, with 1-0 at half-time, and a balanced card line (2 yellows each) that suggests intensity, not chaos. For anyone building a sensible Birmingham vs Leicester prediction, the data leans home advantage plus at least two goals.
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O1.5 -323
At least 2 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -3231 -133
Birmingham is expected to win with odds of -133Over 1.5 -323
At least 2 goals will be scored in the matchYes -118
Both teams are expected to score1X&O1.5 -185
Home win/draw and over 1.5 goals
2:1
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2
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9
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 Leicester |
29-Aug-25
2:0
| Birmingham  |
| Leicester |
06-Apr-24
2:1
| Birmingham |
| Leicester |
27-Jan-24
3:0
| Birmingham |
| Birmingham |
18-Dec-23
2:3
| Leicester |
| Birmingham |
26-Aug-20
0:2
| Leicester |
| Leicester |
04-Mar-20
1:0
| Birmingham |
| Birmingham |
28-Jan-14
1:2
| Leicester |
| Leicester |
24-Aug-13
3:2
| Birmingham |
| Leicester |
12-Apr-13
2:2
| Birmingham |
| Birmingham |
20-Oct-12
1:1
| Leicester |
Recent Matches of Birmingham| 11 Mar |
Birmingham
| - |
QPR
| - | |
| 07 Mar | L |
Charlton
| 1 |
Birmingham
| 0 |
| 02 Mar | L |
Birmingham
| 1 |
Middlesbrough
| 3 |
| 25 Feb | L |
Millwall
| 3 |
Birmingham
| 0 |
| 21 Feb | W |
Norwich
| 1 |
Birmingham
| 2 |
| 15 Feb | D |
Birmingham
| 1 |
Leeds
| 1 |
| 10 Feb | D |
Birmingham
| 0 |
West Brom
| 0 |
| 07 Feb | W |
Birmingham
| 2 |
Leicester
| 1 |
| 31 Jan | W |
Oxford Utd
| 0 |
Birmingham
| 2 |
| 24 Jan | D |
Birmingham
| 1 |
Stoke
| 1 |
Recent Matches of Leicester
| 10 Mar | Leicester |
- |  Bristol City |
- | |
| 07 Mar | D |  Ipswich |
1 | Leicester |
1 |
| 28 Feb | L | Leicester |
0 |  Norwich |
2 |
| 24 Feb | D |  Middlesbrough |
1 | Leicester |
1 |
| 21 Feb | D |  Stoke |
2 | Leicester |
2 |
| 14 Feb | L |  Southampton |
2 | Leicester |
1 |
| 10 Feb | L | Leicester |
3 | Southampton |
4 |
| 07 Feb | L | Birmingham |
2 | Leicester |
1 |
| 31 Jan | L | Leicester |
0 |  Charlton |
2 |
| 24 Jan | L | Leicester |
1 |  Oxford Utd |
2 |
England - Championship| Team | Matches | Goals | Points | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Coventry | 36 | 74-38 | 74 |
| 2 |
Middlesbrough | 36 | 57-35 | 69 |
| 3 |
Millwall | 36 | 50-41 | 65 |
| 4 |
Ipswich | 35 | 61-35 | 64 |
| 5 |
Hull City | 36 | 57-52 | 60 |
| 6 |
Wrexham | 35 | 54-45 | 57 |
| 7 |
Derby | 36 | 54-47 | 54 |
| 8 |
Southampton | 35 | 57-46 | 53 |
| 9 |
Watford | 35 | 45-41 | 51 |
| 10 |
Bristol City | 36 | 48-46 | 50 |
| 11 |
Sheffield Utd | 36 | 51-49 | 49 |
| 12 |
Birmingham | 36 | 46-47 | 49 |
| 13 |
Swansea | 36 | 42-43 | 49 |
| 14 |
Preston | 36 | 42-43 | 49 |
| 15 |
Stoke City | 36 | 39-36 | 47 |
| 16 |
QPR | 36 | 46-57 | 47 |
| 17 |
Norwich | 35 | 47-44 | 45 |
| 18 |
Charlton | 36 | 34-44 | 44 |
| 19 |
Portsmouth | 35 | 35-45 | 40 |
| 20 |
Blackburn | 36 | 34-47 | 39 |
| 21 |
West Brom | 36 | 35-53 | 36 |
| 22 |
Leicester | 36 | 48-57 | 35 |
| 23 |
Oxford United | 36 | 34-48 | 35 |
| 24 |
Sheffield | 36 | 22-73 | -7 |
