Match Prediction
Match Prediction
England
Preview
Welcome to our Birmingham vs Stoke prediction for the Championship fixture on January 24, 2026! If you’re looking for an easy-to-read, insightful preview with a sprinkle of friendly banter, you’re in the right place. We’ll break down the head to head stats, tactical trends, betting odds, and—of course—our AI’s best tips for the big game at St. Andrew’s. Let’s dive in!
Birmingham City and Stoke City, two clubs with proud histories and passionate fanbases, meet again in what promises to be a closely contested Championship match. The Blues, under Chris Davies, have embraced a high-energy, possession-based style. Davies pushes his team to dominate the ball and territory, and while injuries have been a headache, his squad still expects to win every match. Birmingham’s recent form is solid, with three wins, a draw, and just one loss in their last five games. Their latest outing—a 1.8 away victory over Sheffield Wednesday—showed both resilience and attacking flair.
When it comes to head to head meetings, Birmingham have the edge: 10 wins to Stoke’s 4 since 1.86, with 7 draws. However, Stoke did win the most recent encounter 1-0 back in September 2025. Both teams have identical recent records (three wins, one draw, one loss), so expect a tight contest.
The betting odds reflect Birmingham’s slight home advantage: a home win is priced at 1.8, a draw at 3.8, and an away win at 4.9. The Blues’ squad is valued at €105.60m, noticeably higher than Stoke’s €73.93m, but injuries could level the playing field.
The last head to head match on December 26, 2023, ended 3-1 in Stoke’s favor, but the odds were much tighter then. Both sides have shown they can upset the odds, as Birmingham did with a 2-3 away win at West Brom in 2022 at odds of 6.6, and Stoke’s dogged 1-1 draw at West Brom in January 2025 despite being big underdogs.
Let’s get to the heart of our Birmingham vs Stoke prediction. Our AI expects a low-scoring affair, with under 3.5 total goals the standout bet. The confidence rating for this tip is 6.4/10, and the odds are 1.33—solid value for those who like a cautious approach. For the 1x2 market, the AI leans towards X2 (draw or Stoke win) with a trust level of 1.8 and odds of 1.85, reflecting Stoke’s defensive solidity and Birmingham’s injury woes.
In summary, our Birmingham vs Stoke prediction is for a tight, tactical battle—likely with few goals and plenty of midfield action. Injuries may limit the spectacle, but don’t be surprised if Stoke’s defensive discipline frustrates the home side. If you’re betting, under 3.5 goals looks like a safe play, and the X2 market offers value for those who fancy an upset or a hard-fought draw.
Mark your calendars for January 24, 2026, at 15:00 GMT—this is one Championship fixture you won’t want to miss. And remember, in football (and betting), sometimes the numbers tell the best story!
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Birmingham didn't play better in the last H2H match!
U3.5 -303
No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -303X2 110
Stoke to win or drawUnder 3.5 -303
No more than 3 goals will be scored in the matchNo -114
At least one team is not expected to scoreX2&U4.5 145
Away win/draw and under 4.5 goals
0:1
0:1
|
|
7
-
5
-
4
|
|
 Stoke |
13-Sep-25
1:0
| Birmingham  |
| Stoke |
20-Jan-24
1:2
| Birmingham |
| Birmingham |
26-Dec-23
1:3
| Stoke |
| Birmingham |
10-Apr-23
0:0
| Stoke |
| Stoke |
05-Nov-22
1:2
| Birmingham |
| Stoke |
19-Feb-22
2:2
| Birmingham |
| Birmingham |
14-Aug-21
0:0
| Stoke |
| Birmingham |
10-Apr-21
2:0
| Stoke |
| Stoke |
04-Oct-20
1:1
| Birmingham |
| Stoke |
12-Jul-20
2:0
| Birmingham |
Recent Matches of Birmingham| 31 Jan |
Oxford Utd.
|
-
| Birmingham.
| |
| 24 Jan | D |
Birmingham.
|
1:1
| Stoke.
|
| 20 Jan | W |
Sheffield We.
|
0:2
| Birmingham.
|
| 17 Jan | D |
Swansea.
|
1:1
| Birmingham.
|
| 10 Jan | W |
Cambridge Ut.
|
2:3
| Birmingham.
|
| 04 Jan | W |
Birmingham.
|
3:2
| Coventry.
|
| 01 Jan | L |
Watford.
|
3:0
| Birmingham.
|
| 29 Dec | D |
Birmingham.
|
1:1
| Southampton.
|
| 26 Dec | D |
Birmingham.
|
1:1
| Derby.
|
| 20 Dec | L |
Sheffield Ut.
|
3:0
| Birmingham.
|
Recent Matches of Stoke
| 31 Jan | Stoke. |
- |
Southampton. | |
| 24 Jan | D | Birmingham. |
1:1 |
Stoke. |
| 21 Jan | L | Stoke. |
1:2 |
Middlesbroug. |
| 17 Jan | D | Stoke. |
0:0 |
QPR. |
| 10 Jan | W | Stoke. |
1:0 |
Coventry. |
| 04 Jan | W |  Norwich. |
0:2 |
Stoke. |
| 01 Jan | W |  Hull. |
0:1 |
Stoke. |
| 29 Dec | L | Stoke. |
1:2 |
Sheffield Ut. |
| 26 Dec | D | Stoke. |
0:0 |
Preston. |
| 20 Dec | L |  Watford. |
1:0 |
Stoke. |
England - Championship| Team | Matches | Goals | Points | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Coventry | 29 | 62-33 | 58 |
| 2 |
Middlesbrough | 29 | 46-29 | 55 |
| 3 |
Ipswich | 28 | 48-27 | 50 |
| 4 |
Hull City | 28 | 47-40 | 50 |
| 5 |
Millwall | 29 | 36-35 | 49 |
| 6 |
Wrexham | 29 | 43-37 | 44 |
| 7 |
Bristol City | 29 | 40-31 | 43 |
| 8 |
Watford | 28 | 39-33 | 43 |
| 9 |
Preston | 29 | 36-33 | 43 |
| 10 |
Stoke City | 29 | 34-26 | 42 |
| 11 |
Derby | 29 | 39-37 | 42 |
| 12 |
QPR | 29 | 40-42 | 40 |
| 13 |
Birmingham | 29 | 39-38 | 39 |
| 14 |
Leicester | 29 | 40-43 | 38 |
| 15 |
Southampton | 29 | 41-41 | 37 |
| 16 |
Swansea | 29 | 32-37 | 36 |
| 17 |
Sheffield Utd | 28 | 39-41 | 35 |
| 18 |
Norwich | 29 | 37-41 | 33 |
| 19 |
Charlton | 28 | 27-38 | 32 |
| 20 |
West Brom | 29 | 32-44 | 32 |
| 21 |
Portsmouth | 27 | 24-37 | 30 |
| 22 |
Blackburn | 28 | 26-37 | 29 |
| 23 |
Oxford United | 28 | 27-36 | 27 |
| 24 |
Sheffield | 28 | 18-56 | -7 |
