icon back

Match Prediction

Blackpool vs Birmingham Prediction

Finished
England flag England
League One

Blackpool

€9.32m

30 Apr14:45
0 : 2

Birmingham

€44.65m

Preview

Blackpool vs Birmingham Prediction League One

Blackpool vs Birmingham Prediction: Betting Preview, Odds & Stats

Welcome to NerdyTips’ story-driven Blackpool vs Birmingham prediction for the League One match set for 2025-04-30 at 19:45 GMT, under the lights at Bloomfield Road. With Blackpool sitting 9th (64 points from 44 games) and Birmingham cruising at the top with 102 points, this fixture isn’t just another date on the calendar—it’s a tale of two very different football worlds. The gap in team values—Blackpool’s €9.32m versus Birmingham’s hefty €44.65m—sets the stage for a classic David vs Goliath narrative, but as we’ve seen before, football loves a twist.

Setting the Scene: What’s at Stake?

As the season nears its end, every point matters for Blackpool, who are still eyeing a late playoff push. Birmingham, meanwhile, have already shown their dominance, but will want to keep momentum rolling. The financial disparity between the sides is stark, and it’s reflected in the betting odds:

  • Home win: 3.75
  • Draw: 3.6
  • Away win: 1.9

These odds suggest that Birmingham are the clear favorites, but not overwhelmingly so—bookmakers are leaving the door open for Blackpool to spring a surprise.

Head to Head: Recent Encounters & What They Tell Us

Looking at the head to head record, Birmingham have had the upper hand. On 2024-12-01, they edged Blackpool 2-1 at Bloomfield Road, despite Blackpool’s longer odds (3.9) and Birmingham’s status as favorites (1.85). Yet, just a few weeks later on 2024-12-29, Blackpool defied the odds (6.5) to hold Birmingham to a 0-0 draw away—a reminder that underdogs can bite.

Birmingham’s strength on the road isn’t just a recent trend. Their 2-3 away win over West Brom on 2022-09-14 stands out as a testament to their ability to perform under pressure, no matter the venue.

Predicted Match Stats: Who Holds the Ball, Who Fires the Shots?

The numbers paint a picture of how this game might flow:

  • Possession: Blackpool 41%, Birmingham 59%
  • Shots: Blackpool 10 (4 on target), Birmingham 11 (3 on target)
  • Corners: Blackpool 4, Birmingham 5
  • Yellow cards: One each

Expect Birmingham to dominate the ball, but Blackpool won’t be passengers—they’re likely to keep the shot count close. The predicted stats suggest a match where Birmingham’s control is tested by Blackpool’s resilience.

Betting Odds & Tips: Where’s the Smart Money?

Let’s break down the sports betting landscape for this game, using both the odds and the data-driven tips from NerdyTips:

  1. Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.37, trust rating 5.4/10): The top pick, with the stats and recent head to head results backing up a low-scoring affair. The forecasted final score is 0:1, with a goalless first half, which fits perfectly with this tip.
  2. X2 (Birmingham win or draw) (odds 1.32, trust score 2.0): Given Birmingham’s strong away record and their position at the summit, this looks like a solid choice for those seeking a safer bet.

The odds for an away win (1.9) reflect Birmingham’s edge, but also acknowledge Blackpool’s fighting spirit at home. Meanwhile, the draw (3.6) and home win (3.75) odds show that upsets aren’t out of the question—especially in a league as unpredictable as League One.

How This Match Fits the League Trends

Let’s put this Blackpool vs Birmingham prediction into league-wide context:

  • Home teams win: 41.2%
  • Away teams win: 29.7%
  • Draws: 29.1%
  • Both teams score: 49.4%
  • Over 1.5 goals: 70.8%
  • Over 2.5 goals: 47.0%
  • Over 3.5 goals: 24.4%

The predicted low score (0:1) and under 3.5 goals tip line up with the league’s tendency for tight games—only about a quarter of matches go over 3.5 goals. The X2 bet also fits the pattern, as away teams avoid defeat in roughly 58.8% of games (adding away wins and draws). With both teams expected to receive just one yellow card each, discipline shouldn’t be a deciding factor, especially with referee M. Woods in charge.

Blackpool vs Birmingham Prediction: Final Thoughts & Betting Advice

To sum up, this Blackpool vs Birmingham prediction is shaped by more than just league positions or team value. The stats, betting odds, and recent head to head meetings all point toward a controlled, low-scoring affair where Birmingham’s class should shine through—but Blackpool’s home grit means nothing is guaranteed. If you’re new to sports betting, the best value lies in:

  • Under 3.5 goals—the numbers and history both support a cagey match.
  • X2 (Birmingham win or draw)—Birmingham’s away form and league dominance make this a logical pick.

With the league’s trends and the teams’ recent form in mind, expect Birmingham to control the tempo but don’t rule out Blackpool making them work for every inch. For those looking to make informed decisions, trust the data, watch the odds, and enjoy the story as it unfolds at Bloomfield Road.

Read More

AI Predictions
Powered by NerdyTips Logo

Warning

Meaningless match!

Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Blackpool vs Birmingham

U3.5 -270

No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -270
5/10

1x2 Tip

X2 -400

Birmingham to win or draw
2/10

Total Goals

Under 3.5 -270

No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match
5/10

Both Teams To Score

No 105

At least one team is not expected to score
1/10

Bet Builder Tip

X2&U4.5 -200

Away win/draw and under 4.5 goals
1/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

0:1

Stats Predictions

41%
Ball Possession
59%
10
Total Shots
11
4
Shots on Goal
3
2
Shots Off Goal
4
4
Corners
5
1
Yellow Cards
1

Average / Match

2.9
Total Goals
3.1
1.9
Goals Scored
2.2
1
Goals Against
0.9
48%
Possession
70%
11.9
Total Shots
11.3
5.8
Shots on Goal
3.6
3.9
Shots off Goal
4.9
8.4
Fouls
11.3
5.3
Corners
5
2.3
Offsides
2.3
1.38
Yellow Cards
1.25
0
Red Cards
0
373
Total Passes
569

Overview Last 10 Matches

6
Wins
7
10
Over 1.5 Goals
8
8
Over 2.5 Goals
6
1
Over 3.5 Goals
3
7
Both Teams Scored
6
0
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Blackpool
4 - 7 - 8
Birmingham
Blackpool Blackpool 30-Apr-25
0:2
Birmingham Birmingham
Birmingham Birmingham 29-Dec-24
0:0
Blackpool Blackpool
Blackpool Blackpool 01-Dec-24
1:2
Birmingham Birmingham
Birmingham Birmingham 22-Apr-23
0:1
Blackpool Blackpool
Blackpool Blackpool 10-Dec-22
0:0
Birmingham Birmingham
Blackpool Blackpool 18-Apr-22
6:1
Birmingham Birmingham
Birmingham Birmingham 27-Nov-21
1:0
Blackpool Blackpool
Birmingham Birmingham 04-Mar-15
1:0
Blackpool Blackpool
Blackpool Blackpool 06-Dec-14
1:0
Birmingham Birmingham
Blackpool Blackpool 22-Feb-14
1:2
Birmingham Birmingham

Profile time Recent Matches of Blackpool

13 Dec Blackpool Blackpool.
-
Lincoln. Lincoln
10 DecW Rotherham Rotherham.
0:3
Blackpool. Blackpool
07 DecW Blackpool Blackpool.
4:1
Carlisle. Carlisle

Profile time Recent Matches of Birmingham

13 DecBirmingham Birmingham.
-
Charlton.Charlton
09 DecLQPR QPR.
2:1
Birmingham.Birmingham
06 DecLSouthampton Southampton.
3:1
Birmingham.Birmingham

England - League One England - League One

Team Matches Goals Points
1 Birmingham Birmingham46
84-31
111
2 Wrexham Wrexham46
67-34
92
3 Stockport County Stockport Coun46
72-42
87
4 Charlton Charlton46
67-43
85
5 Wycombe Wycombe46
70-45
84
6 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient46
72-48
78
7 Reading Reading46
68-57
75
8 Bolton Bolton46
67-70
68
9 Blackpool Blackpool46
72-60
67
10 Huddersfield Huddersfield46
58-55
64
11 Lincoln Lincoln46
64-56
61
12 Barnsley Barnsley46
69-73
61
13 Rotherham Rotherham46
54-59
59
14 Stevenage Stevenage46
42-50
57
15 Wigan Wigan46
40-42
56
16 Exeter City Exeter City46
49-65
56
17 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town46
60-73
54
18 Peterborough Peterborough46
68-81
51
19 Northampton Northampton46
48-66
51
20 Burton Albion Burton Albion46
49-66
47
21 Crawley Town Crawley Town46
57-83
46
22 Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers46
44-76
43
23 Cambridge United Cambridge Unit46
45-73
38
24 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury46
41-79
33
Video preview
Log In
Register
Bankers
All Matches