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Match Prediction

Boca Juniors vs Dep. Riestra Prediction

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Boca Juniors

€92.30m

25 Jan16:30
1 : 0

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Boca Juniors vs Dep. Riestra Prediction Liga Profesional Argentina

Boca Juniors vs Dep. Riestra Prediction: Stats, Tips & Betting Preview

Looking for the best Boca Juniors vs Dep. Riestra prediction? You’re in the right place. As the Liga Profesional Argentina kicks off its Apertura round on January 25, 2026, all eyes turn to the Estadio Alberto José Armando in Buenos Aires, where Boca Juniors host Deportivo Riestra at 21:30 GMT. With a big gulf in squad value and recent form, this match has plenty for punters and fans alike to chew over. Let’s break down the tactics, team news, and what our AI says about the likely outcome.

Form, Tactics & Team News: Boca’s Power Meets Riestra’s Grit

Boca Juniors come into this fixture as league leaders, riding high with four wins from their last five matches. They’ve been stingy at the back, conceding just 0.2 goals per game, while averaging 1.4 goals scored. No wonder they’re valued at a hefty €92.30m—almost ten times more than Dep. Riestra’s €9.25m squad. Boca’s home fortress, the Bombonera, is never easy for visitors, and the odds reflect that, with a home win priced at just 1.672.

On the other side, Deportivo Riestra have been the league’s wild cards. Depending on who you ask, they’re either 4th or 9th in the table, but recent results have been mixed: one win, two draws, and two losses in their last five outings. They’ve only managed 0.4 goals per game, conceding 0.6, and their last six league matches have all featured under 2.5 goals. Defensive discipline? Yes. Fireworks up front? Not so much.

Injuries & Squad Updates

  • Boca Juniors: Key striker Miguel Merentiel is out with a calf tear, and Edinson Cavani remains a doubt with back pain. Milton Giménez, Rodrigo Battaglia, and Carlos Palacios are also nursing injuries. Coach Claudio Úbeda is likely to turn to Lucas Janson to fill the number 9 role, while carefully managing minutes for Ander Herrera and Leandro Paredes in midfield.
  • Dep. Riestra: Eric Tovo (cruciate ligament), Rodrigo Gallo (ankle), and Ignacio Arce (broken finger) are all sidelined, limiting coach Gustavo Benítez’s options.

Tactically, Boca Juniors are expected to focus on control and midfield dominance, especially with Herrera and Paredes pulling the strings. Úbeda’s contract extension brings stability, and with club legends like Juan Román Riquelme and Marcelo Delgado in management, the club’s structure looks solid. Dep. Riestra, meanwhile, will likely stick to their disciplined, low-scoring approach, hoping to frustrate Boca and nick something on the counter.

Head to Head, Transfers & More

In their only previous meeting, Boca Juniors and Dep. Riestra played out a 1-1 draw—a reminder that upsets can happen, even when the odds look lopsided. Boca’s recent transfer window hasn’t brought in big names, but promotions from within (Iker Zufiaurre, Marcelo Weigandt) show a focus on youth. Dep. Riestra, with a seasoned squad averaging 29.6 years, have been steady, but their transfer activity is limited, and their squad depth will be tested.

  • Last H2H: Boca Juniors 1-1 Dep. Riestra (2024-10-27)
  • Notable upsets: Dep. Riestra beat River Plate away 2-1 in late 2025, defying odds of 7.8!
  • Boca Juniors held Benfica to a 2-2 draw in June 2025, surprising many.

AI Betting Tips & Boca Juniors vs Dep. Riestra Prediction

Now for the numbers everyone’s waiting for—the Boca Juniors vs Dep. Riestra prediction from the NerdyTips AI. Based on recent stats, team news, and betting odds, here’s what the data says:

  1. Best Bet: Home win (Boca Juniors) at 1.672 odds, confidence rating 8.0/10. Boca’s firepower, even with injuries, should be enough at home against a goal-shy Riestra.
  2. 1x2 Market: Prediction is 1 (Boca Juniors win), trust rating 6.8/10. The gulf in squad value and form is hard to ignore.
  3. Goals Market: Under 2.5 goals at 1.54 odds, trust level 4.9/10. With both teams’ recent matches trending low-scoring and Boca’s injury-hit attack, don’t expect a goal fest.
  4. Final Score Prediction: 2-0 to Boca Juniors. Half-time: 1-0. Expect Boca to break through before the interval, then control the game.

To sum up, all signs point to Boca Juniors getting the job done at home, but don’t expect a rout. Deportivo Riestra’s defensive record should keep things respectable, but their lack of attacking punch makes an away win unlikely. For those looking for betting tips, the AI’s Boca Juniors vs Dep. Riestra prediction is a confident home win, with a nod to under 2.5 goals for value hunters. As always, keep an eye on the line-ups, and remember: football has a funny way of surprising us—just ask River Plate!

Key Takeaways for Bettors

  • Boca Juniors are clear favorites, even with injury concerns.
  • Dep. Riestra’s recent games are low-scoring—under 2.5 goals is in play.
  • The head to head history is short, but Boca’s class should shine through this time.

That wraps up our Boca Juniors vs Dep. Riestra prediction and betting preview. Stay tuned to NerdyTips for more insights, and good luck with your bets!

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AI Predictions
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Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Boca Juniors vs Dep. Riestra

1 -149

Boca Juniors is expected to win with odds of -149
8/10

1x2 Tip

1 -149

Boca Juniors is expected to win with odds of -149
6/10

Total Goals

Under 2.5 -233

No more than 2 goals will be scored in the match
4/10

Both Teams To Score

No -227

At least one team is not expected to score
3/10

Bet Builder Tip

1X&U3.5 -233

Home win/draw and under 3.5 goals
7/10
Both Teams To Score

Half-Time Score

1:0

Correct Score

2:0

Average / Match

1.5
Expected Goals
0.81
2.1
Total Goals
1.8
1.5
Goals Scored
1
0.6
Goals Against
0.8
52%
Possession
32%
11.4
Total Shots
9.1
4.6
Shots on Goal
3.9
4.1
Shots off Goal
2.7
9.2
Fouls
13.5
4
Corners
3.3
1.7
Offsides
1.6
2.5
Yellow Cards
2.9
414
Total Passes
218

Overview Last 10 Matches

7
Wins
4
7
Over 1.5 Goals
5
4
Over 2.5 Goals
2
1
Over 3.5 Goals
1
4
Both Teams Scored
4
0
Unexpected Wins
1
1
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Boca Juniors
0 - 1 - 0
Dep. Riestra
Boca Juniors Boca Juniors 27-Oct-24
1:1
Dep. Riestra Dep. Riestra

Profile time Recent Matches of Boca Juniors

25 JanW Boca Juniors Boca Junio.
1:0
Dep. Riest. Dep. Riestra
19 JanW Boca Juniors Boca Junio.
2:1
Olimpia. Olimpia
14 JanD Boca Juniors Boca Junio.
0:0
Millonario. Millonarios
07 DecL Boca Juniors Boca Junio.
0:1
Racing Clu. Racing Club
30 NovW Boca Juniors Boca Junio.
1:0
Argentino. Argentino
23 NovW Boca Juniors Boca Junio.
2:0
Talleres . Talleres
16 NovW Boca Juniors Boca Junio.
2:0
Tigre. Tigre
09 NovW Boca Juniors Boca Junio.
2:0
River Plat. River Plate
02 NovW Estudiant Estudiant.
1:2
Boca Junio. Boca Juniors
27 OctW Barracas Barracas .
1:3
Boca Junio. Boca Juniors

Profile time Recent Matches of Dep. Riestra

29 JanDep. Riestra Dep. Riest.
-
Defensa J.Defensa J
25 JanLBoca Juniors Boca Junio.
1:0
Dep. Riest.Dep. Riestra
24 NovLDep. Riestra Dep. Riest.
0:1
Barracas .Barracas
15 NovDGodoy Cruz Godoy Cruz.
1:1
Dep. Riest.Dep. Riestra
10 NovLDep. Riestra Dep. Riest.
0:1
Independie.Independiente
31 OctLSan Lorenzo San Lorenz.
1:0
Dep. Riest.Dep. Riestra
20 OctWDep. Riestra Dep. Riest.
1:0
Instituto.Instituto
13 OctDPlatense Platense.
1:1
Deportivo.Deportivo
06 OctDDeportivo Deportivo.
2:2
Velez S.Velez S
28 SepWRiver Plate River Plat.
1:2
Deportivo.Deportivo

Argentina - Liga Profesional Argentina Argentina - Liga Profesional Argentina

Team Matches Goals Points
1 Platense Platense2
2-1
4
2 Lanus Lanus1
3-2
3
3 Talleres Cordoba Talleres1
2-1
3
4 Velez Sarsfield Velez1
1-0
3
5 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors1
1-0
3
6 Gimnasia M. Gimnasia M.1
1-0
3
7 Independiente Independiente1
1-1
1
8 Estudiantes L.P. Estudiantes1
1-1
1
9 Defensa Y Justicia Defensa Y1
0-0
1
10 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe1
0-0
1
11 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo1
2-3
0
12 Newells Old Boys Newells Old1
1-2
0
13 Deportivo Riestra Deportivo1
0-1
0
14 Central Cordoba de Santiago Central Cordoba de1
0-1
0
15 Instituto Cordoba Instituto2
1-3
0
16 Tigre Tigre1
2-0
3
17 Gimnasia L.P. Gimnasia L.P.1
2-1
3
18 Belgrano Cordoba Belgrano1
2-1
3
19 Independ. Rivadavia Independ.1
2-1
3
20 Argentinos JRS Argentinos JRS1
1-0
3
21 River Plate River Plate1
1-0
3
22 Banfield Banfield1
1-1
1
23 Huracan Huracan1
1-1
1
24 Aldosivi Aldosivi1
0-0
1
25 Rosario Central Rosario1
1-2
0
26 Racing Club Racing Club1
1-2
0
27 Atletico Tucuman Atletico1
1-2
0
28 Sarmiento Junin Sarmiento1
0-1
0
29 Barracas Central Barracas1
0-1
0
30 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto Estudiantes de Rio1
0-2
0
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