Match Prediction
Match Prediction
Argentina
Preview
If you’re looking for a clear Boca Juniors vs Newells Old Boys prediction for Sunday night, you’re in the right place. Boca and Newell’s meet on 2026-02-01 at 22:15 GMT (19:15 local time) at La Bombonera, for the 3rd round of the Torneo Apertura 2026 in Argentina’s Liga Profesional. ESPN Premium is set to carry it in Argentina, and the stadium should be loud enough to register on a seismograph—especially after Boca’s midweek stumble.
Boca come in with Claudio “El Sifón” Úbeda under real pressure. That 2-1 loss to Estudiantes on January 28 didn’t just drop points; it also turned up the volume on every small problem: shaky moments in defense and finishing that feels like it needs an extra coffee. Úbeda has been trying to settle the team by moving away from a “double nine” idea and toward a more flexible 4-3-3, using width and tempo to pin teams back at home.
On paper, Boca want the ball and the initiative. The wide threats of Zeballos and Zenón make sense in La Bombonera, while Leandro Paredes is expected to act as the metronome in midfield. The complication is the injury list, which is long enough to look like a grocery receipt.
Newell’s, meanwhile, are adapting to new bosses. Sergio Gómez and Favio Orsi arrived in late December 2025, replacing Cristian “El Ogro” Fabbiani after a rough spell. Their early message has been simple: stay compact, suffer together, and counter with intent. With players like Francisco González and the experienced Éver Banega, Newell’s can slow games down and make them messy—exactly the kind of thing that can annoy Boca at home.
There’s also recent head to head spice: Boca crushed Newell’s 5-0 on 2025-10-05, but Newell’s fans still talk about that earlier 2025 away win like it’s a family legend.
The market leans heavily toward Boca: home win 1.5225, draw 3.9, away win 9.0. That lines up with squad value too—Boca at €88.30m versus Newell’s €24.38m—plus the usual La Bombonera factor. Our top betting tips agree: the AI’s best tip is 1 (Boca to win) with a strong 8.8/10 trust rating at odds of 1.5225. The AI 1x2 model also lands on 1, with 7.6 trust at the same price.
Stat projections suggest Boca should control about 66% possession, with estimated shots at 12 to 7 and on-target 4 to 2. That points to steady Boca pressure, but not necessarily a goal festival. The best totals angle is under 3.5 goals (trust 4.7, odds 1.27), which fits a game where Newell’s sit deep and Boca, short-handed, have to grind.
So, the practical Boca Juniors vs Newells Old Boys Prediction is Boca to win, but with Newell’s likely to make them work for it. If Boca score early, it could look comfortable; if not, expect nerves, tackles, and at least one moment where someone in the crowd “finishes” the chance better than the striker.
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1 -192
Boca Juniors is expected to win with odds of -1921 -192
Boca Juniors is expected to win with odds of -192Under 3.5 -455
No more than 3 goals will be scored in the matchYes 155
Both teams are expected to score1X&U4.5 -455
Home win/draw and under 4.5 goals
2:1
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11
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3
-
2
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 Boca Juniors |
05-Oct-25
5:0
| Newells  |
| Newells |
30-Mar-25
2:0
| Boca Juniors |
| Newells |
09-Dec-24
0:1
| Boca Juniors |
| Newells |
06-Apr-24
1:3
| Boca Juniors |
| Boca Juniors |
12-Nov-23
1:0
| Newells |
| Boca Juniors |
25-Jul-23
2:1
| Newells |
| Newells |
16-Oct-22
2:0
| Boca Juniors |
| Boca Juniors |
30-Nov-21
0:0
| Newells |
| Newells |
22-Feb-21
0:1
| Boca Juniors |
Recent Matches of Boca Juniors| 11 Mar |
Boca Juniors
| - |
San Lorenzo
| - | |
| 05 Mar | W |
Lanus
| 0 |
Boca Juniors
| 3 |
| 28 Feb | D |
Boca Juniors
| 1 |
Gimnasia M.
| 1 |
| 25 Feb | W |
Boca Juniors
| 2 |
Chivilcoy
| 0 |
| 20 Feb | D |
Boca Juniors
| 0 |
Racing Club
| 0 |
| 15 Feb | D |
Boca Juniors
| 0 |
Platense
| 0 |
| 09 Feb | L |
Velez S
| 2 |
Boca Juniors
| 1 |
| 01 Feb | W |
Boca Juniors
| 2 |
Newells
| 0 |
| 29 Jan | L |
Estudiant
| 2 |
Boca Juniors
| 1 |
| 25 Jan | W |
Boca Juniors
| 1 |
Dep. Riestra
| 0 |
Recent Matches of Newells
| 11 Mar | Newells |
- |  Platense |
- | |
| 01 Mar | L | Newells |
0 |  Rosario C |
2 |
| 25 Feb | L | Newells |
0 |  Estudiant |
2 |
| 21 Feb | L |  Banfield |
3 | Newells |
0 |
| 16 Feb | D |  Dep. Riestra |
1 | Newells |
1 |
| 08 Feb | L | Newells |
2 |  Defensa J |
3 |
| 01 Feb | L | Boca Juniors |
2 | Newells |
0 |
| 28 Jan | D | Newells |
1 |  Independiente |
1 |
| 24 Jan | L |  Talleres |
2 | Newells |
1 |
| 16 Nov | L | Newells |
0 |  Racing Club |
1 |
Argentina - Liga Profesional Argentina| Team | Matches | Goals | Points | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Velez | 8 | 9-4 | 18 |
| 2 |
Estudiantes | 8 | 7-3 | 15 |
| 3 |
Union Santa Fe | 8 | 11-5 | 14 |
| 4 |
Independiente | 8 | 11-7 | 13 |
| 5 |
Platense | 8 | 5-3 | 13 |
| 6 |
Boca Juniors | 8 | 9-5 | 12 |
| 7 |
San Lorenzo | 8 | 7-5 | 12 |
| 8 |
Defensa Y | 8 | 7-5 | 12 |
| 9 |
Talleres | 8 | 8-9 | 11 |
| 10 |
Lanus | 7 | 9-12 | 9 |
| 11 |
Instituto | 8 | 9-10 | 8 |
| 12 |
Central Cordoba de | 8 | 3-6 | 8 |
| 13 |
Gimnasia M. | 8 | 5-10 | 8 |
| 14 |
Deportivo | 8 | 2-5 | 5 |
| 15 |
Newells Old | 8 | 5-16 | 2 |
