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Match Prediction

Boeung Ket vs Phnom Penh Crown Prediction

Finished
Cambodia flag Cambodia

Boeung Ket

€1.98m

27 Apr07:00
4 : 3

Phnom P

€2.52m

Preview

Boeung Ket vs Phnom P Prediction C-League

Boeung Ket vs Phnom Penh Crown Prediction: Can the Underdogs Shock the League Leaders?

The Cambodian Premier League heats up this weekend as Boeung Ket prepares to host Phnom Penh Crown at the Olympic Stadium on April 27, 2025. This Boeung Ket vs Phnom Penh Crown prediction dives into the stats, betting odds, and trends shaping this intriguing matchup. With Crown sitting comfortably as favorites, can Boeung Ket defy expectations? Let’s break it down.

Match Context and Recent Form

Phnom Penh Crown’s dominance this season is hard to ignore. Their squad, valued at €2.52 million, boasts a deeper bench and sharper attacking edge compared to Boeung Ket’s €1.98 million roster. The head-to-head record also favors Crown, who secured a convincing 3-1 victory in their last meeting on November 29, 2024. However, Boeung Ket’s gritty 2-2 draw against Svay Rieng in 2022 proves they can punch above their weight.

Key Stats at a Glance

  • Home win rate in C-League: 41.4%
  • Away win rate: 37.5% (but Crown’s form skews this)
  • Draw frequency: 21.1%
  • Both teams score in 54.9% of matches

Betting Odds and Market Insights

Bookmakers have Crown as clear favorites, pricing an away win at 1.6, while Boeung Ket’s victory sits at 4.45. A draw is valued at 4.0. These betting odds reflect Crown’s consistency and Boeung Ket’s struggles against top-half teams. NerdyTips’ AI aligns with this, predicting a 0-1 final score and a goalless first half (0-0 HT).

NerdyTips’ Best Bets

  1. Away win (2) at 1.6 odds (Trust Level: 2.8/10)
  2. Under 3.5 goals at 1.65 (Confidence: 2.7/10)

Why Phnom Penh Crown Are Favored

The stats paint a clear picture: Crown’s superior squad value, recent head-to-head dominance, and Boeung Ket’s middling home record (41.4% league-wide home win rate) justify the odds. Crown’s defense has been stingy, making the under 3.5 goals bet appealing—especially since only 48% of C-League matches exceed that threshold.

Goal Trends to Watch

  • Over 1.5 goals: 81.6% probability
  • Over 2.5 goals: 64.9%
  • Over 3.5 goals: 48.0% (hence the under 3.5 tip)

Final Thoughts: A Low-Scoring Affair?

This Boeung Ket vs Phnom Penh Crown prediction leans toward a tactical, low-scoring game. Crown’s defensive solidity and Boeung Ket’s struggles in attack suggest a narrow away win. While the sports betting market expects Crown to control the game, the under 3.5 goals bet offers safer value. Keep an eye on early momentum—if Boeung Ket holds firm in the first half (as our AI predicts), the 0-0 HT market could be a sneaky play.

For bettors, the numbers don’t lie: Crown’s quality should prevail, but don’t expect a goal fest. Place your bets wisely!

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AI Predictions
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Warning

Boeung Ket no motivation!

Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Boeung Ket vs Phnom P

2 -167

Phnom P is expected to win with odds of -167
2/10

1x2 Tip

2 -167

Phnom P is expected to win with odds of -167
2/10

Total Goals

Under 3.5 -154

No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match
2/10

Both Teams To Score

No 145

At least one team is not expected to score
1/10

Bet Builder Tip

X2&U5.5 -345

Away win/draw and under 5.5 goals
5/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

0:1

Average / Match

2
Total Goals
2.6
0.8
Goals Scored
1.6
1.2
Goals Against
1

Overview Last 10 Matches

3
Wins
6
5
Over 1.5 Goals
7
3
Over 2.5 Goals
5
2
Over 3.5 Goals
3
3
Both Teams Scored
5
0
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
1

Head to Head

Boeung Ket
7 - 5 - 13
Phnom Penh Crown
Boeung Ket Boeung Ket 27-Apr-25
4:3
Phnom P Phnom Penh Crown
Phnom Penh Crown Phnom P 02-Mar-25
3:2
Boeung Ket Boeung Ket
Boeung Ket Boeung Ket 29-Nov-24
1:3
Phnom P Phnom Penh Crown
Phnom Penh Crown Phnom P 23-Aug-24
2:1
Boeung Ket Boeung Ket
Boeung Ket Boeung Ket 08-May-24
0:5
Phnom P Phnom Penh Crown
Phnom Penh Crown Phnom P 28-Jan-24
1:0
Boeung Ket Boeung Ket
Boeung Ket Boeung Ket 04-Nov-23
5:5
Phnom P Phnom Penh Crown
Phnom Penh Crown Phnom P 06-Aug-23
2:1
Boeung Ket Boeung Ket
Phnom Penh Crown Phnom P 03-Dec-22
5:0
Boeung Ket Boeung Ket
Boeung Ket Boeung Ket 12-Nov-22
1:1
Phnom P Phnom Penh Crown

Profile time Recent Matches of Boeung Ket

25 JanL Boeung Ket Boeung Ket.
0:1
Angkor Tig. Angkor Tiger

Profile time Recent Matches of Phnom P

25 JanWPhnom P Phnom P.
3:1
Kirivong .Kirivong

Cambodia - C-League Cambodia - C-League

Team Matches Goals Points
1 Svay Rieng Svay Rieng30
91-25
76
2 Phnom Penh Crown Phnom Penh30
92-37
72
3 Visakha Visakha30
67-32
65
4 Boeung Ket Boeung Ket30
66-48
43
5 NagaWorld NagaWorld30
41-44
43
6 Angkor Tiger Angkor Tiger30
53-53
40
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