Bologna vs Atalanta Prediction

Bologna vs Atalanta Prediction: Stats, Tactics & Betting Odds

The Bologna vs Atalanta prediction is on everyone’s mind as these two Serie A sides prepare to meet at the Stadio Renato Dall’Ara on January 7, 2026, at 17:30 GMT. With both teams hovering around mid-table and each looking to climb the standings, this Matchday 19 fixture promises plenty of intrigue for fans and punters alike. Let’s break down the stats, team news, and betting odds to see where the smart money might go.

Tactics, Team News, and Recent Form

Bologna, under Vincenzo Italiano, have been a tough nut to crack at home this season, boasting four wins and two draws from their eight matches at the Dall’Ara. Sitting seventh with 26 points from 18 games, the Rossoblù are looking to bounce back from an inconsistent run—one win, two draws, and two defeats in their last five league outings. They’ll be without key goalkeeper Lukasz Skorupski and the versatile Federico Bernardeschi due to muscle injuries, but the return of Lewis Ferguson and Torbjorn Heggem should give them a boost. Expect Italiano to line up his side in a 4-2-3.2, with Riccardo Orsolini and Nicolo Cambiaghi providing width and Santiago Castro or Thijs Dallinga leading the line.

Atalanta, meanwhile, have found some momentum under new boss Raffaele Palladino since his appointment in November 2025. The Bergamo outfit currently sit tenth with 22 points, but their recent form is impressive: four wins and just one defeat in their last five across all competitions. Palladino’s 3.4-2-1 system relies on wing-backs and quick transitions, with Gianluca Scamacca spearheading the attack. Injuries are a concern, with Mitchel Bakker and Raoul Bellanova sidelined, and key men like Odilon Kossounou and Ademola Lookman away on international duty. However, the expected return of Giorgio Scalvini and Sead Kolasinac should steady the defense.

Head to Head and Historic Stats

• In Serie A history, Atalanta holds a slight edge with 38 wins to Bologna’s 37, and 28 draws.
• Goals are almost even: Atalanta 123, Bologna 122.
• Their last league meeting ended 1-1, while Atalanta won 2-0 at home in April 2025.
• Bologna famously knocked Atalanta out of the Coppa Italia in February 2025 with a 1-0 win—ending a 26-year semi-final drought.

Key Match Facts and Stats

• Bologna’s squad is valued at €272.80m, while Atalanta’s is €459.10m.
• Possession is expected to be almost even: 49% Bologna, 51% Atalanta.
• Predicted shots: 12 for Bologna (4 on target), 13 for Atalanta (3 on target).
• Expected corners: Bologna 4, Atalanta 5.
• Yellow cards: 2 for Bologna, 1 for Atalanta.

Betting Odds, AI Predictions & Best Tips

The betting odds for this Bologna vs Atalanta prediction are tight: Bologna are priced at 3.2 for a home win, the draw is at 3.4, and Atalanta are slight favorites at 2.45. Our AI analysis suggests a draw (X) is the most likely outcome, with a confidence level of 2.0 and odds of 3.4. The final score prediction? A cagey 1-1, with Bologna possibly edging the first half 1-0 before Atalanta hit back after the break.

• Best tip: Under 3.5 total goals, with a trust level of 5.6/10 and odds of 1.33. Both teams have solid defensive records and recent head to head meetings have been low-scoring affairs.
• First half prediction: Bologna to lead 1-0, but don’t expect a goal-fest.
• AI 1x2 prediction: Draw (X) at odds of 3.4.

Final Thoughts and Bologna vs Atalanta Prediction

With both sides missing key players but showing recent resilience, this Bologna vs Atalanta prediction leans toward a tactical, hard-fought contest. Expect a close match with few clear-cut chances, plenty of midfield battles, and both managers happy to take a point. If you’re betting, under 3.5 goals looks the safest play, and a draw is certainly on the cards. As always, football has a way of surprising us—but this one has the makings of a classic Serie A chess match.

• Predicted score: Bologna 1-1 Atalanta
• Best bet: Under 3.5 goals at 1.33 odds
• Value pick: Draw at 3.4 odds

Enjoy the game, and may your bets be as accurate as a Gianluca Scamacca volley!