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Bologna

€283.00m

22 Mar09:00
0 : 2

Lazio

€223.25m

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Bologna vs Lazio Prediction Serie A

Bologna vs Lazio prediction: tight game, few goals expected

The Bologna vs Lazio prediction for Sunday, March 22, 2026 (kick-off 14:00 GMT) feels like one of those Serie A afternoons where every pass matters and nobody wants to be the one who blinks first. Bologna arrive with confidence after a wild 4-3 win away at Roma, while Lazio already showed this season they can be stubborn on the road, like when they held Juventus to a 2-2 draw at huge odds.

Match overview, form, and what to expect on the pitch

Here are the latest news-style pointers and key updates ahead of the Serie A meeting on March 22, 2026 at 14:00 UTC: Bologna at home, Lazio visiting, and both teams knowing this is the kind of match that can swing a European push. On paper, Bologna also carry a slightly bigger squad value (€283.00m) than Lazio (€223.25m), which matches the feeling that Bologna’s depth has improved over recent seasons.

Tactically, Bologna usually look happiest when they can play with structure and use the wide areas to create chances without turning the match into a track meet. Lazio, meanwhile, often feel most dangerous when they can stay compact, win the ball, and break with purpose rather than playing endless sideways passes. That contrast tends to create games where the first goal is gold and the second is optional.

Quick head to head notes

  • Last head to head: 1-1 on 2026-02-11 (same score our model leans toward again).
  • The market didn’t overreact then either: Bologna were 2.3 and Lazio 3.4, close to today’s prices.
  • Recent “statement” results: Bologna’s 4-3 at Roma (odds 5.5) and Lazio’s 2-2 at Juventus (odds 10.0).

Those two big away results are fun, but they can also trick bettors into expecting another goal-festival. Often, teams that survive those high-drama games tighten up next time out. Call it the “we’ve used up our chaos allowance” effect.

Betting odds: how the market sees it

The current betting odds have Bologna as slight favourites: Home win 2.45, Draw 3.1, Away win 3.4. That’s basically the market saying: “Bologna have the edge at home, but don’t start printing the win tickets yet.” Lazio’s price reflects a team that can frustrate strong opponents, especially if they keep the game in their preferred rhythm.

Our Bologna vs Lazio prediction: AI tips and stat-based angles

Now to the numbers that shape our second Bologna vs Lazio prediction. The top tip is Under 2.5 total goals at 1.78, with confidence 4.9/10. That confidence isn’t sky-high, but it matches the idea of a balanced match where chances exist, just not in waves.

  • Best tip: Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.78, confidence 4.9/10).
  • 1X2 lean: 1X (Bologna or Draw) at 1.34, trust 2.0.
  • Expected score: 1-1, with a half-time prediction of 0-0.

The supporting match stats point to Bologna having a small edge without fully taking over. The possession forecast is 52% Bologna to 48% Lazio, and shots are projected at 13 to 9. More important: on-target shots are only 4 for Bologna and 2 for Lazio. That’s not a “goal machine” profile; it’s a “keepers might have a quiet day” profile.

Extra match props that fit the story

  • Corners: Bologna 5, Lazio 2 (7 total) suggests Bologna may spend more time in the final third.
  • Cards: 1-1 on yellows hints at control rather than chaos.

Putting it all together: the model expects Bologna to push a bit more, Lazio to stay close, and the game to open only after the break. If you’re playing the totals market, Under 2.5 goals fits the predicted 0-0 at half-time and 1-1 full-time. If you prefer safety over drama (no judgment), the 1X covers the possibility that Bologna’s home control translates into at least a point.

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AI Predictions
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Warning

Bologna didn't play better in the last H2H match!

Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Bologna vs Lazio

U2.5 -128

No more than 2 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -128
4/10

1x2 Tip

1X -278

Bologna to win or draw
2/10

Total Goals

Under 2.5 -128

No more than 2 goals will be scored in the match
4/10

Both Teams To Score

Yes -123

Both teams are expected to score
1/10

Bet Builder Tip

1X&U4.5 -179

Home win/draw and under 4.5 goals
1/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

1:1

Stats Predictions

1.1
xG
1.04
52%
Ball Possession
48%
13
Total Shots
9
4
Shots on Goal
2
5
Shots Off Goal
3
5
Corners
2
1
Yellow Cards
1

Average / Match

1.11
Expected Goals
1.1
2.2
Total Goals
2.2
1.4
Goals Scored
1
0.8
Goals Against
1.2
51%
Possession
51%
13.7
Total Shots
9.9
4.3
Shots on Goal
2.9
5.4
Shots off Goal
4
13.9
Fouls
8.3
5.2
Corners
3.2
1.6
Offsides
1.5
2.2
Yellow Cards
1.5
419
Total Passes
512

Overview Last 10 Matches

7
Wins
2
5
Over 1.5 Goals
7
3
Over 2.5 Goals
3
1
Over 3.5 Goals
3
5
Both Teams Scored
5
1
Unexpected Wins
0
1
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Bologna
7 - 10 - 15
Lazio
Lazio Lazio 07-Dec-25
1:1
Bologna Bologna
Lazio Lazio 24-Nov-24
3:0
Bologna Bologna
Lazio Lazio 18-Feb-24
1:2
Bologna Bologna
Lazio Lazio 19-Jan-23
1:0
Bologna Bologna
Lazio Lazio 14-Aug-22
2:1
Bologna Bologna
Lazio Lazio 12-Feb-22
3:0
Bologna Bologna
Lazio Lazio 24-Oct-20
2:1
Bologna Bologna
Lazio Lazio 29-Feb-20
2:0
Bologna Bologna
Lazio Lazio 12-Sep-10
3:1
Bologna Bologna
Lazio Lazio 11-Mar-12
1:3
Bologna Bologna

Profile time Recent Matches of Bologna

03 MayD Bologna Bologna 0 Cagliari Cagliari 0
25 AprL Bologna Bologna 0 AS Roma AS Roma 2
19 AprL Juventus Juventus 2 Bologna Bologna 0
16 AprL Aston Villa Aston Villa 4 Bologna Bologna 0
12 AprW Bologna Bologna 2 Lecce Lecce 0
09 AprL Bologna Bologna 1 Aston Villa Aston Villa 3
05 AprW Cremonese Cremonese 1 Bologna Bologna 2
22 MarL Bologna Bologna 0 Lazio Lazio 2
19 MarW AS Roma AS Roma 3 Bologna Bologna 4
15 MarW Sassuolo Sassuolo 0 Bologna Bologna 1

Profile time Recent Matches Of Lazio

27 AprDLazio Lazio 3 Udinese Udinese 3
22 AprDAtalanta Atalanta 1 Lazio Lazio 1
18 AprWNapoli Napoli 0 Lazio Lazio 2
13 AprLFiorentina Fiorentina 1 Lazio Lazio 0
04 AprDLazio Lazio 1 Parma Parma 1
22 MarWBologna Bologna 0 Lazio Lazio 2
15 MarWLazio Lazio 1 AC Milan AC Milan 0
09 MarDLazio Lazio 1 Sassuolo Sassuolo 1
04 MarDLazio Lazio 2 Atalanta Atalanta 2
01 MarLTorino Torino 2 Lazio Lazio 0

Italy - Serie A Italy - Serie A

Team M G P
1 InterInter3582-3182
2 NapoliNapoli3552-3370
3 AC MilanAC Milan3548-2967
4 JuventusJuventus3558-3065
5 ComoComo3559-2862
6 AS RomaAS Roma3448-2961
7 AtalantaAtalanta3547-3255
8 BolognaBologna3542-4149
9 SassuoloSassuolo3543-4449
10 LazioLazio3437-3348
11 UdineseUdinese3543-4647
12 ParmaParma3525-4242
13 TorinoTorino3539-5841
14 GenoaGenoa3540-4840
15 CagliariCagliari3536-4937
16 FiorentinaFiorentina3438-4537
17 LecceLecce3524-4732
18 CremoneseCremonese3426-5128
19 Hellas VeronaHellas Verona3524-5720
20 PisaPisa3525-6318
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