Bolton
€19.70m
Northampton
€5.15m
Preview
Sunday lunchtime football at the Toughsheet Community Stadium? Yes, please! If you’re searching for a Bolton vs Northampton prediction, you’re in the right place. This League One fixture on January 4, 2026, brings together two sides with very different ambitions and recent fortunes. Let’s break down what you need to know before you place your bets, with a focus on tactics, recent form, and the all-important betting odds.
Bolton Wanderers, currently sitting 6th in League One with 37 points, have made their home ground a real stronghold this season. They’ve won 8 out of 12 at home and conceded just 7 goals—a rock-solid record that’s hard to ignore for any sports betting fan. Their recent results show a team that’s hard to beat but not always dominant: a 1-1 draw with Doncaster, a narrow 2-1 win over Rotherham, and a couple of tight losses. That consistency at home, though, is what keeps them in the playoff hunt.
Northampton Town, meanwhile, are down in 19th with 27 points and have only managed 3 wins in 11 away trips. Their recent form has been patchy at best: a heavy 4.5 defeat to Burton, a 2-0 loss at Huddersfield, and only one win in their last five. The arrival of Kevin Nolan as manager in December 2024 could spark change, but the Cobblers are still searching for an identity under their new boss. Ross Fitzsimons, their keeper, is busy every week—he’s second in League One for saves per match, which says a lot about how much pressure Northampton face.
Now, let’s talk numbers—because that’s what we do best at NerdyTips. The current betting odds have Bolton as clear favorites at 1.38 for the home win, while a draw is at 4.5 and a Northampton away win is a long shot at 7.9. The bookies clearly expect Bolton to control the game, and the stats back that up: 70% expected possession, 17 shots to Northampton’s 7, and a predicted 6-3 edge in corners.
What does it all mean for your Bolton vs Northampton prediction? The stats suggest Bolton will dominate possession and chances, but Northampton, under a new manager, could be stubborn. The AI’s preference for under 3.5 goals is sensible, given both teams’ recent scoring records and Bolton’s defensive strength at home. If you’re feeling adventurous, a draw at 4.5 offers value, but the safe play is the under 3.5 goals market.
For sports betting fans, this League One match is all about weighing Bolton’s home strength against Northampton’s unpredictability. The betting odds favor Bolton, but football loves a story—and Northampton’s recent head to head win gives them hope. Our best tip? Stick with under 3.5 goals, and if you’re feeling lucky, sprinkle a little on the draw. That’s our Bolton vs Northampton prediction—good luck, and may your bets be as solid as Bolton’s defense!
Sunday lunchtime football at the Toughsheet Community Stadium? Yes, please! If you’re searching for a Bolton vs Northampton prediction, you’re in the right place. This League One fixture on January 4, 2026, brings together two sides with very different ambitions and recent fortunes. Let’s break down what you need to know before you place your bets, with a focus on tactics, recent form, and the all-important betting odds.
Bolton Wanderers, currently sitting 6th in League One with 37 points, have made their home ground a real stronghold this season. They’ve won 8 out of 12 at home and conceded just 7 goals—a rock-solid record that’s hard to ignore for any sports betting fan. Their recent results show a team that’s hard to beat but not always dominant: a 1-1 draw with Doncaster, a narrow 2-1 win over Rotherham, and a couple of tight losses. That consistency at home, though, is what keeps them in the playoff hunt.
Northampton Town, meanwhile, are down in 19th with 27 points and have only managed 3 wins in 11 away trips. Their recent form has been patchy at best: a heavy 4.5 defeat to Burton, a 2-0 loss at Huddersfield, and only one win in their last five. The arrival of Kevin Nolan as manager in December 2024 could spark change, but the Cobblers are still searching for an identity under their new boss. Ross Fitzsimons, their keeper, is busy every week—he’s second in League One for saves per match, which says a lot about how much pressure Northampton face.
Now, let’s talk numbers—because that’s what we do best at NerdyTips. The current betting odds have Bolton as clear favorites at 1.38 for the home win, while a draw is at 4.5 and a Northampton away win is a long shot at 7.9. The bookies clearly expect Bolton to control the game, and the stats back that up: 70% expected possession, 17 shots to Northampton’s 7, and a predicted 6-3 edge in corners.
What does it all mean for your Bolton vs Northampton prediction? The stats suggest Bolton will dominate possession and chances, but Northampton, under a new manager, could be stubborn. The AI’s preference for under 3.5 goals is sensible, given both teams’ recent scoring records and Bolton’s defensive strength at home. If you’re feeling adventurous, a draw at 4.5 offers value, but the safe play is the under 3.5 goals market.
For sports betting fans, this League One match is all about weighing Bolton’s home strength against Northampton’s unpredictability. The betting odds favor Bolton, but football loves a story—and Northampton’s recent head to head win gives them hope. Our best tip? Stick with under 3.5 goals, and if you’re feeling lucky, sprinkle a little on the draw. That’s our Bolton vs Northampton prediction—good luck, and may your bets be as solid as Bolton’s defense!
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Bolton can be tired due to frequent matches
U3.5 -263
No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -263X2 205
Northampton to win or drawUnder 3.5 -263
No more than 3 goals will be scored in the matchYes 110
Both teams are expected to scoreX2&U4.5 258
Away win/draw and under 4.5 goals
0:0
1:1
|
5
-
1
-
1
|
|
Northampton |
27-Sep-25
2:0
| Bolton ![]() |
Bolton |
28-Jan-25
3:1
| Northampton ![]() |
Northampton |
01-Oct-24
2:4
| Bolton ![]() |
Northampton |
10-Feb-24
1:1
| Bolton ![]() |
Bolton |
21-Oct-23
2:1
| Northampton ![]() |
Bolton |
18-Mar-17
2:1
| Northampton ![]() |
Northampton |
26-Nov-16
0:1
| Bolton ![]() |
| 17 Jan |
Wigan.
|
-
| Bolton.
| |
| 13 Jan | L |
Bolton.
|
0:1
| Port Vale.
|
| 10 Jan | L |
Peterborough.
|
3:1
| Bolton.
|
| 04 Jan | D |
Bolton.
|
0:0
| Northampton.
|
| 01 Jan | D |
Doncaster.
|
1:1
| Bolton.
|
| 29 Dec | L |
Bolton.
|
0:1
| Mansfield.
|
| 26 Dec | W |
Bolton.
|
1:0
| Rotherham.
|
| 20 Dec | L |
Wycombe.
|
2:1
| Bolton.
|
| 13 Dec | W |
Bolton.
|
2:1
| Exeter.
|
| 09 Dec | W |
Mansfield.
|
0:1
| Bolton.
|
| 14 Jan | Northampton. |
- |
Walsall.![]() | |
| 04 Jan | D | Bolton. |
0:0 |
Northampton.![]() |
| 01 Jan | D | Northampton. |
0:0 |
Stockport.![]() |
| 29 Dec | L | Huddersfield. |
2:0 |
Northampton.![]() |
| 26 Dec | L | Burton. |
5:1 |
Northampton.![]() |
| 19 Dec | W | Northampton. |
3:1 |
AFC Wimbledo.![]() |
| 13 Dec | L | Peterborough. |
2:1 |
Northampton.![]() |
| 09 Dec | D | Northampton. |
1:1 |
Huddersfield.![]() |
| 02 Dec | W | Northampton. |
2:0 |
Wycombe.![]() |
| 29 Nov | W | Plymouth. |
0:3 |
Northampton.![]() |
England - League One| Team | Matches | Goals | Points | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Cardiff | 25 | 43-25 | 52 |
| 2 |
Lincoln | 25 | 40-26 | 48 |
| 3 |
Bradford | 24 | 34-25 | 46 |
| 4 |
Stockport Coun | 25 | 34-30 | 42 |
| 5 |
Huddersfield | 26 | 45-35 | 39 |
| 6 |
Bolton | 25 | 32-25 | 39 |
| 7 |
Luton | 25 | 35-30 | 38 |
| 8 |
Stevenage | 23 | 27-20 | 37 |
| 9 |
Reading | 24 | 32-28 | 35 |
| 10 |
Peterborough | 25 | 33-34 | 35 |
| 11 |
Wycombe | 25 | 32-28 | 33 |
| 12 |
Mansfield Town | 23 | 31-28 | 32 |
| 13 |
AFC Wimbledon | 24 | 27-33 | 31 |
| 14 |
Exeter City | 24 | 25-23 | 30 |
| 15 |
Wigan | 24 | 26-27 | 30 |
| 16 |
Plymouth | 25 | 32-39 | 30 |
| 17 |
Barnsley | 21 | 33-33 | 29 |
| 18 |
Leyton Orient | 25 | 36-42 | 29 |
| 19 |
Blackpool | 25 | 31-37 | 29 |
| 20 |
Northampton | 24 | 22-28 | 29 |
| 21 |
Burton Albion | 24 | 23-34 | 27 |
| 22 |
Rotherham | 24 | 22-35 | 24 |
| 23 |
Doncaster | 24 | 24-41 | 23 |
| 24 |
Port Vale | 23 | 18-31 | 18 |