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Match Prediction

Botev Plovdiv vs Cherno More Prediction

Finished

Botev Plovdiv

€10.27m

29 Nov08:00
2 : 1

Cherno More

€5.45m

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Botev Plovdiv vs Cherno More Prediction First League

Botev Plovdiv vs Cherno More Prediction: Odds, Form & Expert Tips

Welcome to our detailed Botev Plovdiv vs Cherno More prediction for the First League fixture set for November 29, 2025, at 13:00 GMT. With both teams eager to climb the Parva Liga table, this encounter at Hristo Botev Stadium promises tactical intrigue, a touch of drama, and, if the odds are to be believed, a closely contested affair. Let’s dive into the stats, form, and expert tips to help you make informed sports betting decisions.

Current Form, Head to Head, and Team News

As we approach this highly anticipated fixture, Cherno More sits comfortably in 5th place, while Botev Plovdiv finds themselves in 11th. The recent form guide paints a mixed picture for both sides:

  • Botev Plovdiv recently celebrated a 2-1 win over Dobrudzha Dobrich and a 4-0 Bulgarian Cup triumph against Spartak Pleven, but also suffered a narrow 2-1 defeat to CSKA Sofia.
  • Cherno More boasts a 1-0 victory against CSKA 1948 and a resilient 0-0 draw with Ludogorets, though they stumbled with a 0-1 loss to Lokomotiv Sofia in their last outing.

Looking at the head to head record, Cherno More has historically edged this fixture, winning 25 out of 54 meetings, while Botev Plovdiv has claimed victory 14 times, with 15 draws. In their last encounter on October 25, 2024, Botev Plovdiv managed a 1-0 win, defying the sports betting odds at the time.

Injury news adds another layer of complexity to our Botev Plovdiv vs Cherno More prediction:

  • Botev Plovdiv will miss key players like Henrique Jocú (ankle), Gabriel Noga (jaw), Emil Martinov (knee), and goalkeeper Daniel Naumov.
  • Cherno More’s Dimitar Tonev, Tsvetomir Panov, and Zhivko Atanasov are all sidelined, which could test their squad depth.

A notable subplot is the recent appointment of Dimitar Dimitrov—affectionately known as 'Hero'—as Botev Plovdiv’s new head coach. Renowned for his disciplined, tactically astute approach, Dimitrov’s influence could be pivotal, especially in a match where every detail matters. Cherno More, led by Ilian Iliev, will look to capitalize on their higher league position and recent consistency.

Match Tactics, Possession, and Key Stats

While both teams have kept their tactical cards close to their chests, our analysis suggests a midfield battle will be at the heart of this contest. Expect Cherno More to shade possession (53% to Botev’s 47%) and earn more corners (6 to 3), reflecting their slightly more proactive style.

  • Both teams are forecasted to take 8 shots each, with 3 on target apiece—so don’t expect a goal-fest.
  • Discipline may be an issue for the hosts, with Botev Plovdiv predicted to pick up 3 yellow cards compared to Cherno More’s 1.
  • Despite Botev’s higher squad value (€10.27m vs €5.45m), recent form and injuries could level the playing field.

With both teams having recently held CSKA Sofia to draws—Botev in a 1:1 thriller and Cherno More in a hard-fought 0:0—there’s little to separate them in terms of resilience and defensive organization.

Botev Plovdiv vs Cherno More Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips

Now, let’s get to the heart of our Botev Plovdiv vs Cherno More prediction. The current betting odds favor the away side slightly: Home win at 2.95, Draw at 3.14, and Away win at 2.55. The smart money, according to our trusted NerdyTips algorithm, is on a low-scoring affair.

  1. Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals (odds: 1.28, trust level: 6.9/10). Both teams are expected to keep things tight, with a maximum of three goals likely.
  2. 1X2 Prediction: X2 (Draw or Cherno More win) at odds of 1.42, though with a modest trust rating of 2.0. This reflects Cherno More’s stronger league position and Botev’s injury woes.
  3. Predicted Final Score: 1:1. Our AI expects a tactical chess match, with defenses on top and little to separate the sides.
  4. Half-Time Prediction: 0:0. Expect a cautious first half as both teams size each other up.

In summary, while Botev Plovdiv’s new coach may inspire a disciplined display, Cherno More’s consistency and slightly better form give them the edge in our Botev Plovdiv vs Cherno More prediction. For those interested in sports betting, the under 3.5 goals market looks the safest bet, with the potential for a draw or away win. And if you’re hoping for fireworks, you might want to save your popcorn for another fixture!

Key Takeaways for Your Sports Betting Slip

  • Under 3.5 goals is the standout tip for this First League encounter.
  • Expect a tight, tactical battle with few clear chances and a likely split of the points.
  • Keep an eye on team news before kickoff, as late changes could swing the odds.

That wraps up our expert Botev Plovdiv vs Cherno More prediction. Stay tuned to NerdyTips for more insights, stats, and betting odds as the action unfolds!

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AI Predictions
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Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Botev Plovdiv vs Cherno More

U3.5 -357

No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -357
6/10

1x2 Tip

X2 -238

Cherno More to win or draw
2/10

Total Goals

Under 3.5 -357

No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match
6/10

Both Teams To Score

Yes 102

Both teams are expected to score
1/10

Bet Builder Tip

X2&U4.5 -164

Away win/draw and under 4.5 goals
1/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

1:1

Stats Predictions

47%
Ball Possession
53%
8
Total Shots
8
3
Shots on Goal
3
4
Shots Off Goal
5
3
Corners
6
3
Yellow Cards
1

Average / Match

2.9
Total Goals
1.8
1.6
Goals Scored
1.2
1.3
Goals Against
0.6

Overview Last 10 Matches

4
Wins
5
8
Over 1.5 Goals
5
7
Over 2.5 Goals
3
3
Over 3.5 Goals
2
7
Both Teams Scored
3
0
Unexpected Wins
0
1
Unexpected Loses
1

Head to Head

Botev Plovdiv
5 - 7 - 10
Cherno More
Cherno More Cherno More 27-Jul-25
2:1
Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv
Cherno More Cherno More 05-Apr-25
1:1
Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv
Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv 25-Oct-24
1:0
Cherno More Cherno More
Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv 31-Mar-24
0:0
Cherno More Cherno More
Cherno More Cherno More 26-Sep-23
1:0
Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv
Cherno More Cherno More 04-Mar-23
1:2
Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv
Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv 19-Aug-22
3:4
Cherno More Cherno More
Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv 16-Apr-22
1:0
Cherno More Cherno More
Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv 20-Nov-21
0:2
Cherno More Cherno More

Bulgaria - First League Bulgaria - First League

Team Matches Goals Points
1 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia19
43-12
44
2 CSKA 1948 CSKA 194819
31-20
37
3 Ludogorets Ludogorets18
31-13
34
4 Cherno More Varna Cherno More19
25-14
33
5 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia19
27-16
31
6 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv19
20-22
29
7 Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia19
23-21
28
8 Lokomotiv Sofia Lokomotiv19
21-18
26
9 Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa19
15-16
25
10 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali19
20-19
24
11 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv19
25-29
21
12 Spartak Varna Spartak Varna19
18-30
17
13 Beroe Beroe18
16-28
16
14 Montana Montana19
14-33
15
15 Septemvri Sofia Septemvri19
19-41
15
16 Dobrudzha Dobrudzha19
13-29
12
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