Match Prediction
Match Prediction
Bulgaria
Botev Vratsa
€6.39m
Spartak Varna
€4.18m
Preview
The Botev Vratsa vs Spartak Varna prediction is on the minds of Bulgarian football fans as these two sides prepare to meet at Hristo Botev Stadium on December 4, 2025, at 13:30 GMT. With both teams eager to climb the First League table, this Round 18 fixture promises more than just points—it’s a test of resilience, tactics, and perhaps a bit of nerve. Let’s break down what to expect, drawing on recent form, head to head history, and the latest betting odds, before turning to our AI’s insights.
When it comes to the head to head record, Botev Vratsa and Spartak Varna have a rich history dating back to 2.09. In their last 12 meetings, Botev Vratsa have come out on top six times, while Spartak Varna have claimed three wins, with three draws sprinkled in for good measure. The total goals tell their own story: Vratsa have netted 19 to Varna’s 7, showing a clear edge for the hosts. Interestingly, the most common result between these two is a 1-1 draw, which happened as recently as August 2025, when Spartak took a late point after Botev scored first from the spot.
At home, Botev Vratsa have been even more dominant—winning half of their six home matches against Spartak, drawing twice, and losing just once. The last time these teams met, it ended in a 1-1 draw, but the bookmakers now see Botev as clear favorites.
Recent form tips the scale toward the home team. Botev Vratsa have looked sharper in the last five games, bagging seven goals and notching a couple of key wins, including a gritty 2-1 over Septemvri Sofia. Their average of 1.27 goals per match this season might not set the world alight, but it’s enough to keep them in the hunt for a top-half finish. On the flip side, Spartak Varna have struggled, especially away from home, and have conceded heavily in recent outings—shipping four goals each to CSKA Sofia and Septemvri Sofia.
Tactically, expect Botev Vratsa to control the ball, with a projected 57% possession and a focus on measured build-up play. Spartak Varna, meanwhile, may look to absorb pressure and strike on the counter, but their away form and defensive frailties could leave them exposed.
Botev Vratsa will be missing Martin Achkov due to injury, while Martin Smolenski and Daniel Genov need to mind their tackles or risk suspension. Key men like Dimitar Evtimov in goal and creative sparks Arian Kabashi and José Gallegos will be crucial. Spartak Varna are without Deyan Lozev after a cheekbone operation, and Maksym Kovalyov is one booking away from a ban. Players like Berna, Juric-Petrasilo, and Xande will need to step up if Spartak are to spring a surprise.
Off the pitch, Spartak Varna’s financial woes have made headlines, with the club fighting to secure its professional license and launching donation drives. While the team has shown spirit—drawing away at Ludogorets in October 2025—the instability may be weighing on the squad.
Now, let’s get nerdy with the numbers. The latest betting odds paint a clear picture:
Our AI’s Botev Vratsa vs Spartak Varna prediction gives the home team the nod, with a trust level of 4.3/10—enough to feel confident, but not quite enough to bet the house. The 1x2 prediction is even slightly more bullish, at 4.4/10 for a home win at odds of 2.0. If you’re looking for value in the goals market, under 2.5 goals is a strong pick, with a confidence of 4.2/10 and odds of 1.62. The AI projects a 2.0 final score, with a goalless first half—so don’t expect fireworks right from the whistle.
Botev Vratsa are expected to have 10 shots (3 on target) compared to Spartak Varna’s 6 (2 on target), and the corner count could be close, with 3 for the hosts and 4 for the visitors. Disciplinary-wise, Spartak might get a little feisty, with three yellow cards predicted against just one for Vratsa.
In summary, the Botev Vratsa vs Spartak Varna prediction leans strongly toward a home win, thanks to superior form, a better head to head record, and a more stable squad. The odds reflect this, and while our AI isn’t shouting from the rooftops, it’s quietly confident. If you’re betting, the under 2.5 goals market looks appealing, and a 2.0 win for Botev Vratsa is the smart, if not flashy, pick. Just remember: in football, the only certainty is uncertainty—so enjoy the match, and may your bets be as lucky as Spartak Varna’s last-minute equalizers!
Read More
Best Tip odd is moving up from 1.76
1 100
Botev Vratsa is expected to win with odds of 1001 100
Botev Vratsa is expected to win with odds of 100Under 2.5 -200
No more than 2 goals will be scored in the matchNo -154
At least one team is not expected to score1X&U4.5 -313
Home win/draw and under 4.5 goals
0:0
2:0
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2
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3
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2
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|
 Spartak Varna |
01-Aug-25
1:1
| Botev Vratsa  |
| Spartak Varna |
01-Apr-25
1:0
| Botev Vratsa |
| Botev Vratsa |
13-Sep-24
1:1
| Spartak Varna |
| Botev Vratsa |
13-May-23
1:1
| Spartak Varna |
| Spartak Varna |
25-Feb-23
2:1
| Botev Vratsa |
| Botev Vratsa |
15-Aug-22
1:0
| Spartak Varna |
| Botev Vratsa |
22-Jun-22
3:0
| Spartak Varna |
Recent Matches of Botev Vratsa| 14 Dec | D |
Dobrudzha.
|
0:0
| Botev Vratsa.
|
| 09 Dec | D |
Botev Vratsa.
|
0:0
| Montana.
|
| 04 Dec | W |
Botev Vratsa.
|
2:0
| Spartak Varn.
|
| 30 Nov | L |
Ludogorets.
|
2:0
| Botev Vratsa.
|
| 24 Nov | L |
Botev Vratsa.
|
0:1
| Slavia Sofia.
|
| 08 Nov | W |
Lok. Sofia.
|
0:1
| Botev Vratsa.
|
| 03 Nov | D |
Botev Vratsa.
|
0:0
| CSKA 1948.
|
| 29 Oct | W |
Zagorets.
|
1:4
| Botev Vratsa.
|
| 25 Oct | W |
Botev Vratsa.
|
2:1
| Septemvri.
|
| 17 Oct | L |
Lokomotiv.
|
3:0
| Botev Vratsa.
|
Recent Matches of Spartak Varna
| 13 Dec | L | Spartak Varn. |
0:2 |
Botev Plovdi. |
| 07 Dec | L | Spartak Varn. |
1:3 |
Levski Sofia. |
| 04 Dec | L | Botev Vratsa. |
2:0 |
Spartak Varn. |
| 29 Nov | L | Spartak Varn. |
0:4 |
CSKA Sofia. |
| 21 Nov | D |  Beroe. |
0:0 |
Spartak Varn. |
| 07 Nov | L | Spartak Varn. |
1:4 |
Septemvri. |
| 01 Nov | L |  Dobrudzha. |
2:0 |
Spartak Varn. |
| 28 Oct | W |  Yambol 1915. |
1:3 |
Spartak Varn. |
| 24 Oct | W | Spartak Varn. |
3:2 |
Botev Plovdi. |
| 18 Oct | D |  Ludogorets. |
1:1 |
Spartak Varn. |
Bulgaria - First League| Team | Matches | Goals | Points | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Levski Sofia | 19 | 43-12 | 44 |
| 2 |
CSKA 1948 | 19 | 31-20 | 37 |
| 3 |
Ludogorets | 18 | 31-13 | 34 |
| 4 |
Cherno More Va | 19 | 25-14 | 33 |
| 5 |
CSKA Sofia | 19 | 27-16 | 31 |
| 6 |
Lokomotiv Plov | 19 | 20-22 | 29 |
| 7 |
Slavia Sofia | 19 | 23-21 | 28 |
| 8 |
Lokomotiv Sofi | 19 | 21-18 | 26 |
| 9 |
Botev Vratsa | 19 | 15-16 | 25 |
| 10 |
Arda Kardzhali | 19 | 20-19 | 24 |
| 11 |
Botev Plovdiv | 19 | 25-29 | 21 |
| 12 |
Spartak Varna | 19 | 18-30 | 17 |
| 13 |
Beroe | 18 | 16-28 | 16 |
| 14 |
Montana | 19 | 14-33 | 15 |
| 15 |
Septemvri Sofi | 19 | 19-41 | 15 |
| 16 |
Dobrudzha | 19 | 13-29 | 12 |
