Brighton vs Everton Prediction

Brighton vs Everton Prediction: Stats, Tactics, and Betting Tips

Welcome to our Brighton vs Everton prediction for the Premier League fixture on January 31, 2026, at Falmer Stadium. With both teams aiming for a European spot, this match is shaping up to be a fascinating contest, and we’ve gathered all the key facts, stats, and betting odds to help you make the smartest picks.

Team News, Tactics, and Recent Form

Both Brighton and Everton enter this fixture with ambitions that go beyond mid-table security. Brighton, under the guidance of the young and energetic Fabian Hürzeler, have become a team known for their progressive style and tactical flexibility. Hürzeler, who made history as the youngest permanent manager in Premier League history, has already left his mark—his first official match in charge was a commanding 3-0 win over Everton back in August 2024.

For this match, Brighton have a few injury concerns. Carlos Baleba and Jack Hinshelwood are fit, but Tom Watson is a doubt, while Adam Webster and Solly March are sidelined. Danny Welbeck remains a key attacking threat, but it’s Jan Paul van Hecke who leads the team in goals this season.

Everton, managed by the experienced David Moyes, have their own challenges. Jarrad Branthwaite, Vitalii Mykolenko, and Nathan Patterson are all out, Michael Keane is suspended, and both C. Alcaraz and K. Dewsbury-Hall are nursing injuries. Adam Aznou could return, pending a late fitness test. Despite these setbacks, Everton’s tactical discipline and organization—often switching between a 3-2-5 in possession and a 4-1-4-1 out of possession—make them tough to break down.

Form Guide and Head to Head

• Brighton have had a mixed run: one win, three draws, and two losses in their last six Premier League games, currently sitting 13th in the table.
• Everton are slightly better off, with two wins, three draws, and a loss in their last six, holding 11th place. Their away form is notably stronger than their home record.
• In their last head to head meeting (January 25, 2025), Everton edged Brighton 1-0, despite being heavy underdogs in the betting odds.
• Brighton recently held Manchester City to a 1-1 draw away, while Everton pulled off a 1-0 win at Aston Villa—both impressive results given the pre-match odds.

Interesting Facts and Tactical Insights

• The rivalry between these two has grown as both clubs have set their sights on European football.
• Everton’s new Hill Dickinson Stadium hosted its first competitive match against Brighton in August 2025, with Jack Grealish making an instant impact by providing two assists.
• Thierno Barry is Everton’s man in form, scoring four goals in his last five league appearances.
• Brighton’s squad is valued at €531.50m, compared to Everton’s €401.65m, highlighting their investment in talent.

Brighton vs Everton Prediction: Stats, Odds, and Best Bets

Now, let’s break down the numbers for our Brighton vs Everton prediction. The betting odds favor a home win at 1.9, with a draw at 3.75 and an away win at 4.3. Our AI analysis points to a closely fought contest, with Brighton expected to dominate possession (64%) and rack up more shots (16 total, 4 on target) compared to Everton (9 total, 2 on target). The expected total corners stand at 7, with Brighton likely to win 4.

When it comes to total goals, our AI’s best tip is under 3.5 goals, with a trust score of 5.5/10 and odds of 1.38. The 1x2 market prediction leans towards a home win (confidence 5.4/10, odds 1.9), and the predicted final score is 2-1 to Brighton, with the Seagulls leading 1-0 at halftime.

1. Best Bet: Under 3.5 total goals (odds 1.38, trust score 5.5/10)
2. 1x2 Prediction: Brighton to win (odds 1.9, confidence 5.4/10)
3. Correct Score: 2-1 to Brighton

Final Thoughts and Betting Advice

While both teams have shown flashes of quality, Brighton’s superior possession game and home advantage tip the scales in their favor. Everton’s defensive discipline and recent away form mean this won’t be a walk in the park, but the numbers suggest a narrow home win with a maximum of three goals scored. For those looking at the betting odds, under 3.5 goals and a Brighton win are the standout picks for this Brighton vs Everton prediction.

As always, keep an eye on late team news and enjoy what promises to be a tactical and competitive Premier League encounter!