Match Prediction
Match Prediction
Italy
Preview
On April 13, 2025, at 14:00 GMT, the quiet town of Brusaporto will host a Serie D showdown that might not grab global headlines but offers a goldmine for sharp bettors. The Campo Sportivo Comunale Brusaporto sets the stage for a tactical duel between two sides separated by slim margins—on paper, at least. With odds of 2.6 for a home win, 3.2 for a draw, and 2.46 for an away victory, the market sees this as a coin flip. But dig deeper, and the numbers tell a more intriguing story.
The standout bet here is under 2.5 goals at 1.63 odds, with both our AI model and NerdyTips giving it a solid 5.0/10 confidence rating. This isn’t just a hunch—it’s rooted in Serie D’s Girone C trends, where only 38.7% of matches surpass 2.5 goals. To put it another way, these teams defend like two chess players with excellent pawn structures, each reluctant to overcommit. The predicted 1-0 scoreline (HT 0-0) fits like a glove, especially when you consider Brusaporto’s €1.24m squad value against Campodarsego’s €1.51m. Sometimes, the underdog bites hardest when the stakes are tight.
But history whispers warnings. Brusaporto’s shock 2-1 away win last December at 6.2 odds proves they can punch above their weight. Campodarsego, meanwhile, pulled off a 1-0 upset at Arzignano in 2022 as 5.35-odds underdogs. These results hint at volatility—the kind that makes Serie D a minefield for casual punters but paradise for those who study patterns. The 44.3% BTTS rate suggests defenses often hold firm, yet 60% of matches see over 1.5 goals, teasing the possibility of late drama. Live bettors, take note.
Serie D’s Girone C is a graveyard for home dominance, with hosts winning just 31.1% of matches—well below global averages. Add a 42.6% draw rate, and you see why the odds are so compressed. Campodarsego’s higher squad value hasn’t translated into away supremacy (league-wide, only 26.2% of away teams win), which makes NerdyTips’ lean toward a Brusaporto home win at 2.6 odds fascinating. Maybe the AI sees something intangible: a team grinding out results despite the stats, or a home crowd squeezing extra grit from their players.
One wildcard remains unaccounted for: the referee. In a league where 42.6% of games end level, a strict official could tilt this toward set-piece chaos or a flurry of cards. Statistical models don’t account for Lombardy’s spring rainfall, either—a slippery pitch might favor Brusaporto’s reported defensive discipline. If the game stays goalless at halftime (as predicted), the second half could become a battle of nerves.
For Brusaporto vs Campodarsego, prediction models agree: expect a cagey, low-scoring game. The under 2.5 goals bet at 1.63 odds is the safest play, but don’t sleep on the home win at 2.6 for those craving a bigger payout. Just remember—in Serie D, surprises lurk around every corner. Whether it’s a scrappy 1-0 or a late equalizer, this is a match where patience (and maybe an in-play wager) could pay dividends.
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U2.5 -159
No more than 2 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -1591 160
Brusaporto is expected to win with odds of 160Under 2.5 -159
No more than 2 goals will be scored in the matchNo -122
At least one team is not expected to score1X&U4.5 -161
Home win/draw and under 4.5 goals
1:0
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1
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1
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0
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 Brusaporto |
13-Apr-25
0:0
| Campodarsego  |
Recent Matches of Brusaporto| 25 Jan | L |
Brusaporto.
|
0:2
| Scanzoroscia.
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Recent Matches of Campodarsego
| 25 Jan | D | Campodarsego. |
0:0 |
Treviso. |
Italy - Serie D - Girone C| Team | Matches | Goals | Points | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Dolomiti | 38 | 65-39 | 78 |
| 2 |
Treviso | 38 | 59-32 | 74 |
| 3 |
Villa Valle | 38 | 62-44 | 67 |
| 4 |
Adriese | 38 | 55-31 | 66 |
| 5 |
Mestre | 38 | 40-34 | 64 |
| 6 |
Campodarsego | 38 | 52-36 | 62 |
| 7 |
Brusaporto | 38 | 46-37 | 60 |
| 8 |
Luparense | 38 | 48-36 | 56 |
| 9 |
Real Calepina | 38 | 44-44 | 55 |
| 10 |
Cjarlins | 38 | 50-49 | 55 |
| 11 |
Este | 38 | 50-50 | 54 |
| 12 |
Brian Lignano | 38 | 45-49 | 48 |
| 13 |
Calvi Noale | 38 | 44-44 | 47 |
| 14 |
Bassano Virtus | 38 | 43-36 | 47 |
| 15 |
Portosummaga | 38 | 32-36 | 46 |
| 16 |
Caravaggio | 38 | 42-54 | 41 |
| 17 |
Virtus Ciserano | 38 | 42-55 | 40 |
| 18 |
Chions | 38 | 35-59 | 30 |
| 19 |
Montecchio | 38 | 32-55 | 27 |
| 20 |
Lavis | 38 | 25-91 | 12 |
