Match Prediction
Match Prediction
Hungary
Preview
On Monday evening, the Bozsik Aréna will host a quietly intriguing NB II encounter as Budapest Honved welcome Gyirmot SE. The odds suggest a tight affair, with the home side favored at 1.94, while the draw and away win both sit at 3.38. But beneath these numbers lies a deeper story—one of resilience, tactical nuance, and a league where predictability often takes a backseat.
Budapest Honved’s slight edge in the betting markets isn’t just a hunch. Their squad value, hovering around €2.92 million, hints at a marginally stronger roster than Gyirmot’s €3.380 million. More tellingly, the league’s home-win rate of 40% aligns neatly with Honved’s recent form, including a hard-fought 2-2 draw in last May’s head-to-head. Yet, as their gritty 1-1 stalemate against Kisvarda (odds: 6.6) proved, this is a team that thrives on defying expectations.
Our models lean toward under 3.5 goals (confidence: 4.6/10, odds: 1.4), and the stats back it up. Only 26% of NB II matches breach that threshold, with 68.6% clearing the more modest over 1.5 goals mark. Gyirmot’s penchant for tight games—like their shock 1-1 draw against Ferencvarosi TC in 2022 (odds: 9.3)—adds weight to the argument. This isn’t a league that often serves up goal fests, and Monday’s game is unlikely to buck the trend.
Gyirmot SE might not be the flashiest side, but they’re stubborn. Their ability to grind out results against stronger opponents makes them a tricky foe, especially when the odds stack against them. The 3.38 price for an away win isn’t just a courtesy—it’s a nod to their occasional giant-killing tendencies. Honved’s defense will need to stay sharp; complacency could turn those long odds into a payout.
Our AI’s projected 2-1 finish (with Honved leading at halftime) reflects a balance of historical context and current form. Honved’s slight attacking edge, combined with Gyirmot’s tendency to concede early, paints a picture of a controlled but nervy home victory. Still, with both teams prone to late drama, don’t rule out a twist in the final act.
Budapest Honved vs Gyirmot SE might not be the headline-grabber of the weekend, but it’s a goldmine for bettors who love nuance. The home win at 1.94 offers value, but the smarter play might be under 3.5 goals at 1.4. In a league where chaos often trumps logic, though, the only certainty is that nothing’s ever certain. Place your bets accordingly.
Read More
Budapest has an unusually high recent form. Be cautious!
U3.5 -250
No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -2501 -106
Budapest is expected to win with odds of -106Under 3.5 -250
No more than 3 goals will be scored in the matchYes -167
Both teams are expected to score1X&U4.5 -208
Home win/draw and under 4.5 goals
2:1
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4
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4
-
2
|
|
 Budapest |
14-Apr-25
2:1
| Gyirmot SE  |
| Gyirmot SE |
06-Oct-24
3:1
| Budapest |
| Budapest |
19-May-24
2:2
| Gyirmot SE |
| Gyirmot SE |
26-Nov-23
1:1
| Budapest |
| Gyirmot SE |
24-Apr-22
1:1
| Budapest |
| Budapest |
29-Jan-22
0:1
| Gyirmot SE |
| Gyirmot SE |
25-Sep-21
2:4
| Budapest |
| Budapest |
29-Apr-17
1:0
| Gyirmot SE |
| Gyirmot SE |
03-Dec-16
0:4
| Budapest |
Hungary - NB II| Team | Matches | Goals | Points | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Kisvarda FC | 30 | 57-44 | 58 |
| 2 |
Kazincbarcikai | 30 | 51-30 | 53 |
| 3 |
Vasas | 30 | 47-35 | 52 |
| 4 |
Szentlőrinc | 30 | 44-32 | 47 |
| 5 |
Kozarmisleny | 30 | 45-42 | 47 |
| 6 |
Mezokovesd-zso | 30 | 44-35 | 44 |
| 7 |
Szeged 2011 | 30 | 36-32 | 42 |
| 8 |
Budapest | 30 | 41-39 | 40 |
| 9 |
BVSC | 30 | 31-32 | 38 |
| 10 |
Csakvar | 30 | 41-50 | 36 |
| 11 |
Soroksar | 30 | 42-47 | 35 |
| 12 |
Budafoki LC | 30 | 44-53 | 35 |
| 13 |
Ajka | 30 | 31-38 | 35 |
| 14 |
Bekescsaba | 30 | 30-38 | 33 |
| 15 |
Gyirmot SE | 30 | 41-46 | 31 |
| 16 |
Tatabánya | 30 | 28-60 | 24 |
